Mallorca
3/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Mallorca’s results
La LigaMatchweek 31THE MATCH CENTREMallorca vs Rayo Vallecano match centre
45′ · Live
2:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
V. Muriqi36′
V. Muriqi40′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
45′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate95.8%Mallorca
Draw3.6%at full time
Current result estimate0.6%Rayo Vallecano
Another goal69.9%before full time
Next goal: Mallorca 43.1% · no further goal 30.1% · Rayo Vallecano 26.8%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.MallorcaRayo Vallecano
1.680Expected goals · API-Football1.430
3Shots on target0
9Total Shots0
58%Ball Possession42%
4Corner Kicks2
6Fouls7
0Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves1
198Total passes149
175Passes accurate121
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primera DivisiónProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | +59 | 94 | — |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 38 | +42 | 86 | — |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 38 | +26 | 72 | — |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 38 | +18 | 69 | — |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | +11 | 60 | — |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 38 | +5 | 54 | — |
| 7 |  Getafe | 38 | -6 | 51 | — |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano | 39 | -5 | 50 | — |
| 9 |  Valencia | 38 | -9 | 49 | — |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad | 38 | -2 | 46 | — |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 38 | -12 | 46 | — |
| 12 | Mallorca | 39 | -8 | 45 | ↑ 6 |
| 13 |  Athletic Club | 38 | -15 | 45 | ↓ 1 |
| 14 |  Elche | 38 | -8 | 43 | ↑ 1 |
| 15 |  Alaves | 38 | -12 | 43 | ↓ 1 |
| 16 |  Sevilla | 38 | -14 | 43 | ↓ 3 |
| 17 |  Osasuna | 38 | -6 | 42 | — |
| 18 |  Levante | 38 | -14 | 42 | ↓ 2 |
| 19 |  Girona | 38 | -16 | 41 | — |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 38 | -34 | 29 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Mallorca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Rayo Vallecano 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Rayo Vallecano
4/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Rayo Vallecano’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Mallorca
10 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
Rayo Vallecano
10 matchesResults4 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game0.7
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AEK Athens FCHome · UEFA Europa Conference League3–0ElcheHome · La Liga1–0BarcelonaAway · La Liga0–1SamsunsporHome · UEFA Europa Conference League0–1LevanteHome · La Liga1–1SamsunsporAway · UEFA Europa Conference League3–1SevillaAway · La Liga1–1Athletic ClubHome · La Liga1–1Real BetisAway · La Liga1–1Atletico MadridHome · La Liga3–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Mallorca at home with Rayo Vallecano away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:07 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
La Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
MallorcaRayo Vallecano
30Matches played30
31Points earned35
8Wins8
1.2Goals scored / match1.0
1.6Goals conceded / match1.2
3Clean sheets9
8Failed to score11
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Mallorca at home with Rayo Vallecano away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Mallorca
Confirmed formation4-4-2Martin Demichelis
- 1
Leo RománG - 23
Pablo MaffeoD - 27
David LópezD - 5
Omar MascarellD - 22
Johan MojicaD - 12
Samú CostaM - 20
Pablo TorreM - 10
Sergi DarderM - 8
Manu MorlanesM - 7
Vedat MuriqiF - 15
Zito LuvumboF
Substitutes (12)
9 · Abdón Prats
4 · Marash Kumbulla
3 · Toni Lato
30 · Justin-Noel Kalumba
11 · Takuma Asano
39 · Jandro García
17 · Jan Virgili
25 · Ivan Cuellar
6 · Antonio Sánchez
19 · Javi Llabrés
2 · Mateu Morey
34 · Javier Olaizola
Rayo Vallecano
Confirmed formation4-3-3Inigo Perez
- 1
Dani CárdenasG - 2
Andrei RațiuD - 24
Florian LejeuneD - 32
Nobel MendyD - 22
Alfonso EspinoD - 4
Pedro DíazM - 23
Óscar ValentínM - 15
Gerard GumbauM - 12
Ilias AkhomachF - 11
Randy NtekaF - 18
Álvaro GarcíaF
Substitutes (12)
9 · Alemão
20 · Iván Balliu
13 · Augusto Batalla
8 · Oscar Trejo
7 · Isi Palazón
17 · Unai López
19 · Jorge de Frutos
3 · Josep Chavarría
6 · Pathé Ismaël Ciss
10 · Sergio Camello
5 · Luiz Felipe
14 · Carlos Martín
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Mallorca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Román | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 43 | — |
| Pablo Maffeo | 81 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 16 | — |
| David López | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 48 | 1 |
| Omar Mascarell | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 36 | 1 |
| Johan Mojica | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 32 | 2 |
| Samú Costa | 72 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 2 | 22 | 2 |
| Sergi Darder | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 39 | 2 |
| Manu Morlanes | 81 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 31 | 1 |
| Pablo Torre | 72 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 3 | 33 | 1 |
| Zito Luvumbo | 62 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 6 | — |
| Vedat Muriqi | 90 | 7.9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 1 |
| Jan Virgili | 28 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | — |
| Marash Kumbulla | 18 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Takuma Asano | 18 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 3 |
| Abdón Prats | 9 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Antonio Sánchez | 9 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Toni Lato | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Justin-Noel Kalumba | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jandro García | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Cuellar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javi Llabrés | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateu Morey | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javier Olaizola | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rayo Vallecano
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dani Cárdenas | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| Andrei Rațiu | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 56 | 7 |
| Florian Lejeune | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 64 | 1 |
| Nobel Mendy | 45 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 1 |
| Alfonso Espino | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 3 | 47 | 3 |
| Pedro Díaz | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 47 | 2 |
| Óscar Valentín | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Gerard Gumbau | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 48 | 3 |
| Ilias Akhomach | 67 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Randy Nteka | 81 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 14 | — |
| Álvaro García | 77 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Jorge de Frutos | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 4 | 11 | — |
| Pathé Ismaël Ciss | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 1 |
| Josep Chavarría | 23 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Sergio Camello | 13 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Alemão | 9 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Iván Balliu | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Augusto Batalla | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oscar Trejo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isi Palazón | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Unai López | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luiz Felipe | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Martín | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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