Mallorca
2/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
2.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Mallorca’s results
La LigaMatchweek 30THE MATCH CENTREMallorca vs Real Madrid match centre
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Morlanes41′
V. Muriqi90+1′
Eder Militao88′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate95.1%Mallorca
Draw4.8%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Real Madrid
Another goal8.2%before full time
Next goal: Mallorca 3.2% · no further goal 91.8% · Real Madrid 5.0%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.MallorcaReal Madrid
1.220Expected goals · API-Football1.270
2Shots on target6
6Total Shots15
36%Ball Possession64%
6Corner Kicks4
15Fouls12
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
5Goalkeeper Saves0
302Total passes552
241Passes accurate488
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primera DivisiónProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | +59 | 94 | — |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 39 | +41 | 86 | — |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 38 | +26 | 72 | — |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 38 | +18 | 69 | — |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | +11 | 60 | — |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 38 | +5 | 54 | — |
| 7 |  Getafe | 38 | -6 | 51 | — |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -3 | 50 | — |
| 9 |  Valencia | 38 | -9 | 49 | — |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad | 38 | -2 | 46 | — |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 38 | -12 | 46 | — |
| 12 | Mallorca | 39 | -9 | 45 | ↑ 6 |
| 13 |  Athletic Club | 38 | -15 | 45 | ↓ 1 |
| 14 |  Elche | 38 | -8 | 43 | ↑ 1 |
| 15 |  Alaves | 38 | -12 | 43 | ↓ 1 |
| 16 |  Sevilla | 38 | -14 | 43 | ↓ 3 |
| 17 |  Osasuna | 38 | -6 | 42 | — |
| 18 |  Levante | 38 | -14 | 42 | ↓ 2 |
| 19 |  Girona | 38 | -16 | 41 | — |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 38 | -34 | 29 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Mallorca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Real Madrid 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Real Madrid
8/10Wins
2.2Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Real Madrid’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Mallorca
10 matchesResults2 wins · 1 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game2.1
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
Real Madrid
10 matchesResults8 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.2
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Atletico MadridHome · La Liga3–2Manchester CityAway · UEFA Champions League2–1ElcheHome · La Liga4–1Manchester CityHome · UEFA Champions League3–0Celta VigoAway · La Liga2–1GetafeHome · La Liga0–1BenficaHome · UEFA Champions League2–1OsasunaAway · La Liga1–2BenficaAway · UEFA Champions League1–0Real SociedadHome · La Liga4–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Mallorca at home with Real Madrid away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:08 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
La Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
MallorcaReal Madrid
29Matches played29
28Points earned69
7Wins22
1.2Goals scored / match2.2
1.6Goals conceded / match0.9
3Clean sheets11
8Failed to score3
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Mallorca at home with Real Madrid away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Mallorca
Confirmed formation4-3-1-2Martin Demichelis
- 1
L. RomanG - 23
P. MaffeoD - 24
M. ValjentD - 5
O. MascarellD - 22
J. MojicaD - 12
Samu CostaM - 10
S. DarderM - 8
M. MorlanesM - 20
P. TorreM - 7
V. MuriqiF - 15
Z. LuvumboF
Substitutes (12)
25 · Pichu Cuellar
9 · A. Prats
11 · T. Asano
6 · A. Sanchez
19 · J. Llabres
4 · M. Kumbulla
3 · T. Lato
2 · M. Morey Bauza
18 · M. Joseph
27 · D. Lopez
30 · J. Kalumba
17 · J. Virgili
Real Madrid
Confirmed formation4-4-2Alvaro Arbeloa
- 13
A. LuninG - 12
T. Alexander-ArnoldD - 22
A. RudigerD - 24
D. HuijsenD - 18
A. CarrerasD - 37
M. A. MoranM - 14
A. TchouameniM - 6
E. CamavingaM - 15
A. GulerM - 21
B. DiazF - 10
K. MbappeF
Substitutes (12)
26 · Fran
4 · D. Alaba
2 · D. Carvajal
3 · Eder Militao
7 · Vinicius Junior
30 · F. Mastantuono
38 · C. Palacios
45 · T. Pitarch
20 · F. Garcia
5 · J. Bellingham
17 · R. Asencio
16 · G. Garcia
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Mallorca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Román | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 44 | — |
| Pablo Maffeo | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 20 | 1 |
| Martin Valjent | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 1 |
| Omar Mascarell | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 1 |
| Johan Mojica | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 2 |
| Samú Costa | 70 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 2 |
| Sergi Darder | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 44 | 2 |
| Manu Morlanes | 70 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | — |
| Pablo Torre | 70 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 27 | — |
| Vedat Muriqi | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | — |
| Zito Luvumbo | 81 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| David López | 20 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 1 | 1 |
| Jan Virgili | 20 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 1 |
| Mateo Joseph | 20 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 1 |
| Antonio Sánchez | 9 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Mateu Morey | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Cuéllar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdón Prats | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marash Kumbulla | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Toni Lato | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javi Llabrés | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Takuma Asano | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Justin-Noel Kalumba | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Real Madrid
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andriy Lunin | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Trent Alexander-Arnold | 90 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | 52 | 1 |
| Antonio Rüdiger | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 63 | 1 |
| Dean Huijsen | 59 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 3 |
| Álvaro Carreras | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 81 | 1 |
| Manuel Ángel Morán | 59 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 33 | 1 |
| Aurélien Tchouaméni | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 49 | 2 |
| Eduardo Camavinga | 59 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 46 | 3 |
| Arda Güler | 72 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 43 | 1 |
| Brahim Díaz | 76 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| Kylian Mbappé | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 4 | 33 | — |
| Éder Militão | 31 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 1 |
| Jude Bellingham | 31 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 1 |
| Vinicius Júnior | 31 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 10 | — |
| Thiago Pitarch | 18 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 2 |
| Franco Mastantuono | 14 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Daniel Carvajal | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo García | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fran González | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Alaba | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fran García | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| César Palacios | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raúl Asencio | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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