Athletic Club
3/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Athletic Club’s results
La LigaMatchweek 37THE MATCH CENTREAthletic Club vs Celta Vigo match centre
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
I. Williams52′
W. Swedberg4′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate4.8%Athletic Club
Draw92.4%at full time
Current result estimate2.8%Celta Vigo
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Athletic Club 4.8% · no further goal 92.3% · Celta Vigo 2.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Athletic ClubCelta Vigo
2.530Expected goals · API-Football0.150
8Shots on target2
24Total Shots3
58%Ball Possession42%
5Corner Kicks0
13Fouls10
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves7
499Total passes380
421Passes accurate303
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primera DivisiónProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | +59 | 94 | — |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 38 | +42 | 86 | — |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 38 | +26 | 72 | — |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 38 | +18 | 69 | — |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | +11 | 60 | — |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 39 | +5 | 55 | — |
| 7 |  Getafe | 38 | -6 | 51 | — |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -3 | 50 | — |
| 9 |  Valencia | 38 | -9 | 49 | — |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad | 38 | -2 | 46 | — |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 38 | -12 | 46 | — |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 39 | -15 | 46 | — |
| 13 |  Elche | 38 | -8 | 43 | ↑ 2 |
| 14 |  Alaves | 38 | -12 | 43 | — |
| 15 |  Sevilla | 38 | -14 | 43 | ↓ 2 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 38 | -6 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 17 |  Mallorca | 38 | -10 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 18 |  Levante | 38 | -14 | 42 | ↓ 2 |
| 19 |  Girona | 38 | -16 | 41 | — |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 38 | -34 | 29 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Athletic Club 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Celta Vigo 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Celta Vigo
3/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
2.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Celta Vigo’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Athletic Club
10 matchesResults3 wins · 0 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
Celta Vigo
10 matchesResults3 wins · 0 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game2.2
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Athletic Club at home with Celta Vigo away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:08 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
La Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Athletic ClubCelta Vigo
34Matches played35
44Points earned50
13Wins13
1.2Goals scored / match1.4
1.5Goals conceded / match1.3
6Clean sheets9
11Failed to score6
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Athletic Club at home with Celta Vigo away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Athletic Club
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ernesto Valverde
- 1
U. SimonG - 2
A. GorosabelD - 5
Y. AlvarezD - 14
A. LaporteD - 17
Y. BerchicheD - 16
I. Ruiz de GalarretaM - 18
M. JauregizarM - 9
I. WilliamsM - 20
U. GomezM - 7
A. BerenguerM - 11
G. GuruzetaF
Substitutes (12)
27 · A. Padilla
15 · I. Lekue
12 · J. Areso
23 · R. Navarro
4 · A. Paredes
22 · N. Serrano
30 · A. Rego
6 · M. Vesga
25 · Izeta
19 · A. Boiro
21 · M. Sannadi
44 · S. Sanchez
Celta Vigo
Confirmed formation3-4-3Claudio Giraldez
- 13
I. RaduG - 32
J. RodriguezD - 29
Y. LagoD - 20
M. AlonsoD - 17
J. RuedaM - 8
F. LopezM - 6
I. MoribaM - 5
S. CarreiraM - 9
F. JutglaF - 7
B. IglesiasF - 19
W. SwedbergF
Substitutes (12)
1 · I. Villar
15 · M. Vecino
39 · J. El Abdellaoui
12 · M. Fernandez
10 · I. Aspas
21 · M. Ristic
4 · J. Aidoo
3 · O. Mingueza
14 · A. Nunez
22 · H. Sotelo
18 · P. Duran
23 · H. Alvarez
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Athletic Club
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unai Simón | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Andoni Gorosabel | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 52 | 2 |
| Yeray Álvarez | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 64 | 1 |
| Aymeric Laporte | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 67 | 1 |
| Yuri Berchiche | 90 | 9.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 77 | — |
| Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 79 | — |
| Mikel Jauregizar | 71 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 4 | 28 | — |
| Iñaki Williams | 86 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 1 |
| Unai Gómez | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
| Álex Berenguer | 82 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 29 | 2 |
| Gorka Guruzeta | 82 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 19 | — |
| Robert Navarro | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Alejandro Rego Mora | 19 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 2 |
| Nico Serrano | 8 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
| Maroan Sannadi | 8 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Urko Izeta | 11 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Alex Padilla | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Íñigo Lekue | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesús Areso | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adama Boiro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aitor Paredes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mikel Vesga | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Selton Sanchez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Celta Vigo
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ionuț Radu | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 36 | — |
| Javi Rodríguez | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 51 | 1 |
| Yoel Lago | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 36 | 2 |
| Marcos Alonso | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 55 | — |
| Javier Rueda | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 1 |
| Fer López | 89 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 38 | 2 |
| Ilaix Moriba | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 37 | 5 |
| Sergio Carreira | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 42 | 1 |
| Ferran Jutglà | 59 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 8 | 1 |
| Borja Iglesias | 59 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Williot Swedberg | 74 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
| Óscar Mingueza | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 1 |
| Iago Aspas | 31 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 1 |
| Pablo Durán | 31 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 2 |
| Hugo Álvarez | 16 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 1 |
| Matías Vecino | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Iván Villar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joseph Aidoo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manu Fernández | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mihailo Ristić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alvaro Núñez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Sotelo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jones El-Abdellaoui | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Athletic Club | Draw | Celta Vigo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.40 |
Snapshot from 17 May 2026, 08:22 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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