Alaves
2/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Alaves’s results
La LigaMatchweek 34THE MATCH CENTREAlaves vs Athletic Club match centre
90′ · Live
2:4
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
A. Blanco8′
N. Tenaglia68′
R. Navarro46′
O. Sancet74′
N. Williams83′
N. Williams87′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.0%Alaves
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate99.9%Athletic Club
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Alaves 4.2% · no further goal 91.9% · Athletic Club 3.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.AlavesAthletic Club
0.490Expected goals · API-Football0.920
4Shots on target4
7Total Shots9
49%Ball Possession51%
3Corner Kicks6
8Fouls13
4Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves2
378Total passes387
296Passes accurate318
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primera DivisiónProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | +59 | 94 | — |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 38 | +42 | 86 | — |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 38 | +26 | 72 | — |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 38 | +18 | 69 | — |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | +11 | 60 | — |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 38 | +5 | 54 | — |
| 7 |  Getafe | 38 | -6 | 51 | — |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -3 | 50 | — |
| 9 |  Valencia | 38 | -9 | 49 | — |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 39 | -13 | 48 | ↑ 2 |
| 11 |  Real Sociedad | 38 | -2 | 46 | ↓ 1 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 38 | -12 | 46 | ↓ 1 |
| 13 |  Elche | 38 | -8 | 43 | ↑ 2 |
| 14 | Alaves | 39 | -14 | 43 | — |
| 15 |  Sevilla | 38 | -14 | 43 | ↓ 2 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 38 | -6 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 17 |  Mallorca | 38 | -10 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 18 |  Levante | 38 | -14 | 42 | ↓ 2 |
| 19 |  Girona | 38 | -16 | 41 | — |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 38 | -34 | 29 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Alaves 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Athletic Club 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Athletic Club
3/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Athletic Club’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Alaves
10 matchesResults2 wins · 5 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
Athletic Club
10 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Alaves at home with Athletic Club away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 10:13 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
La Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
AlavesAthletic Club
33Matches played33
36Points earned41
9Wins12
1.1Goals scored / match1.1
1.5Goals conceded / match1.4
3Clean sheets6
10Failed to score11
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Alaves at home with Athletic Club away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Alaves
Confirmed formation5-3-2Quique Sanchez Flores
- 1
A. SiveraG - 7
A. PerezD - 17
Jonny OttoD - 14
N. TenagliaD - 24
V. ParadaD - 21
A. RebbachD - 19
P. IbanezM - 8
A. BlancoM - 4
D. SuarezM - 11
T. MartinezF - 22
I. DiabateF
Substitutes (12)
13 · R. Fernandez
31 · G. Swiderski
16 · V. Koski
34 · A. Manas
3 · Yusi
27 · E. Munoz
9 · M. Diaz
10 · C. Alena
18 · J. Guridi
6 · A. Guevara
5 · J. Pacheco
20 · Calebe
Athletic Club
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ernesto Valverde
- 1
U. SimonG - 2
A. GorosabelD - 5
Y. AlvarezD - 14
A. LaporteD - 17
Y. BerchicheD - 30
A. RegoM - 18
M. JauregizarM - 9
I. WilliamsM - 20
U. GomezM - 10
N. WilliamsM - 11
G. GuruzetaF
Substitutes (12)
27 · A. Padilla
7 · A. Berenguer
3 · D. Vivian
12 · J. Areso
23 · R. Navarro
4 · A. Paredes
22 · N. Serrano
16 · I. Ruiz de Galarreta
6 · M. Vesga
8 · O. Sancet
25 · Izeta
19 · A. Boiro
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Alaves
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Sivera | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Ángel Pérez | 90 | 6.2 | — | 1 | — | 38 | — |
| Jonny Otto | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 57 | 4 |
| Nahuel Tenaglia | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 42 | 4 |
| Victor Parada | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 44 | 2 |
| Abderrahman Rebbach | 90 | 6.3 | — | 1 | — | 34 | 1 |
| Pablo Ibáñez | 62 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| Antonio Blanco | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 46 | 2 |
| Denis Suárez | 62 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 1 |
| Toni Martínez | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 20 | — |
| Ibrahim Diabaté | 73 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | — |
| Jon Guridi | 28 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | — |
| Ander Guevara | 28 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| Carles Aleñá | 17 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 1 |
| Raúl Fernández | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Grégoire Swiderski | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Youssef Enriquez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jon Pacheco | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Egoitz Muñoz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ville Koski | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Calebe Gonçalves | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mariano Díaz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aitor Mañas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Athletic Club
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unai Simón | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Andoni Gorosabel | 73 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 4 |
| Yeray Álvarez | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 48 | — |
| Aymeric Laporte | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 63 | 1 |
| Yuri Berchiche | 90 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 1 | 49 | 3 |
| Alejandro Rego Mora | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 38 | 5 |
| Mikel Jauregizar | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 2 |
| Iñaki Williams | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | — |
| Unai Gómez | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 2 |
| Nico Williams | 89 | 8.9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 25 | — |
| Gorka Guruzeta | 90 | 6.5 | — | 2 | 1 | 27 | 3 |
| Oihan Sancet | 45 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 2 |
| Robert Navarro | 45 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta | 45 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 3 |
| Jesús Areso | 17 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Adama Boiro | 10 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Alex Padilla | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aitor Paredes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dani Vivian | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álex Berenguer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mikel Vesga | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nico Serrano | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Urko Izeta | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Alaves | Draw | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.55 |
Snapshot from 1 May 2026, 18:41 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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