Atletico Madrid
3/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Atletico Madrid’s results
La LigaMatchweek 35THE MATCH CENTREAtletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo match centre
90′ · Live
0:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
B. Iglesias62′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.1%Atletico Madrid
Draw5.2%at full time
Current result estimate94.7%Celta Vigo
Another goal8.2%before full time
Next goal: Atletico Madrid 5.4% · no further goal 91.8% · Celta Vigo 2.8%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Atletico MadridCelta Vigo
2.040Expected goals · API-Football0.130
4Shots on target1
20Total Shots3
57%Ball Possession43%
10Corner Kicks0
8Fouls11
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves4
549Total passes442
499Passes accurate381
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primera DivisiónProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | +59 | 94 | — |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 38 | +42 | 86 | — |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 38 | +26 | 72 | — |
| 4 | Atletico Madrid | 39 | +17 | 69 | — |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | +11 | 60 | — |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 39 | +6 | 57 | — |
| 7 |  Getafe | 38 | -6 | 51 | — |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -3 | 50 | — |
| 9 |  Valencia | 38 | -9 | 49 | — |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad | 38 | -2 | 46 | — |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 38 | -12 | 46 | — |
| 12 |  Athletic Club | 38 | -15 | 45 | — |
| 13 |  Elche | 38 | -8 | 43 | ↑ 2 |
| 14 |  Alaves | 38 | -12 | 43 | — |
| 15 |  Sevilla | 38 | -14 | 43 | ↓ 2 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 38 | -6 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 17 |  Mallorca | 38 | -10 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 18 |  Levante | 38 | -14 | 42 | ↓ 2 |
| 19 |  Girona | 38 | -16 | 41 | — |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 38 | -34 | 29 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Atletico Madrid 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Celta Vigo 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Celta Vigo
3/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Celta Vigo’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Atletico Madrid
10 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
ArsenalAway · UEFA Champions League0–1ValenciaAway · La Liga2–0ArsenalHome · UEFA Champions League1–1Athletic ClubHome · La Liga3–2ElcheAway · La Liga2–3Real SociedadHome · Copa del Rey2–2BarcelonaHome · UEFA Champions League1–2SevillaAway · La Liga1–2BarcelonaAway · UEFA Champions League2–0BarcelonaHome · La Liga1–2
Celta Vigo
10 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Atletico Madrid at home with Celta Vigo away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 10:14 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
La Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Atletico MadridCelta Vigo
33Matches played33
60Points earned44
18Wins11
1.7Goals scored / match1.3
1.1Goals conceded / match1.3
12Clean sheets8
4Failed to score6
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Atletico Madrid at home with Celta Vigo away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Atletico Madrid
Confirmed formation4-4-2Diego Simeone
- 13
J. OblakG - 18
M. PubillD - 2
J. M. GimenezD - 17
D. HanckoD - 3
M. RuggeriD - 14
M. LlorenteM - 6
KokeM - 10
A. BaenaM - 22
A. LookmanM - 7
A. GriezmannF - 9
A. SorlothF
Substitutes (12)
31 · S. Esquivel
1 · J. Musso
16 · N. Molina
21 · O. Vargas
4 · R. Mendoza
47 · J. Morcillo
15 · C. Lenglet
24 · R. Le Normand
11 · T. Almada
34 · J. Diaz
37 · I. Luque
61 · M. Cubo
Celta Vigo
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Claudio Giraldez
- 13
I. RaduG - 32
J. RodriguezD - 29
Y. LagoD - 20
M. AlonsoD - 14
A. NunezM - 8
F. LopezM - 6
I. MoribaM - 3
O. MinguezaM - 18
P. DuranF - 19
W. SwedbergF - 7
B. IglesiasF
Substitutes (12)
1 · I. Villar
39 · J. El Abdellaoui
12 · M. Fernandez
36 · A. Antanon
10 · I. Aspas
21 · M. Ristic
4 · J. Aidoo
9 · F. Jutgla
5 · S. Carreira
24 · C. Dominguez
22 · H. Sotelo
23 · H. Alvarez
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Atletico Madrid
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Oblak | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Marc Pubill | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 63 | 2 |
| José María Giménez | 20 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 2 |
| Dávid Hancko | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 62 | 1 |
| Matteo Ruggeri | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 56 | — |
| Marcos Llorente | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 69 | 4 |
| Koke | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 79 | 1 |
| Alex Baena | 69 | 8.5 | — | 0 | — | 42 | 1 |
| Ademola Lookman | 60 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 16 | — |
| Antoine Griezmann | 61 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 3 | 27 | 1 |
| Alexander Sørloth | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 3 | 13 | — |
| Robin Le Normand | 49 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 37 | — |
| Nahuel Molina | 30 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 |
| Thiago Almada | 29 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | — |
| Obed Vargas | 21 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Miguel Llorente | 21 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Juan Musso | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Salvi Esquivel | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Clément Lenglet | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julio Díaz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Mendoza | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javi Morcillo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iker Luque | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Celta Vigo
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ionuț Radu | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 40 | — |
| Javi Rodríguez | 90 | 8.3 | — | 0 | — | 59 | 2 |
| Yoel Lago | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 42 | — |
| Marcos Alonso | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 61 | 4 |
| Alvaro Núñez | 68 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 46 | 2 |
| Fer López | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 37 | — |
| Ilaix Moriba | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 40 | 1 |
| Óscar Mingueza | 89 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 45 | 1 |
| Pablo Durán | 68 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 2 |
| Williot Swedberg | 77 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 23 | 2 |
| Borja Iglesias | 68 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 1 |
| Sergio Carreira | 22 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Ferran Jutglà | 22 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Iago Aspas | 22 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Hugo Álvarez | 13 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Mihailo Ristić | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Iván Villar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Domínguez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manu Fernández | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joseph Aidoo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Sotelo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrés Antañón | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jones El-Abdellaoui | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Atletico Madrid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
Snapshot from 8 May 2026, 21:32 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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