BaÅŸakÅŸehir
4/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect BaÅŸakÅŸehir’s results
Süper LigMatchweek 33THE MATCH CENTREBaşakşehir vs Samsunspor match centre
90′ · Live
3:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
E. Shomurodov6′ (pen)
Y. Sari43′
A. Fayzullaev78′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%Başakşehir
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Samsunspor
Another goal8.0%before full time
Next goal: Başakşehir 4.6% · no further goal 92.0% · Samsunspor 3.4%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.BaşakşehirSamsunspor
3.310Expected goals · API-Football0.320
6Shots on target1
19Total Shots7
42%Ball Possession58%
2Corner Kicks2
12Fouls12
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves3
291Total passes403
228Passes accurate327
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Super Lig Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 34 | +47 | 77 | — |
| 2 |  Fenerbahçe | 34 | +40 | 74 | — |
| 3 |  Trabzonspor | 34 | +22 | 69 | — |
| 4 | Başakşehir | 35 | +26 | 60 | ↑ 1 |
| 5 |  Beşiktaş | 34 | +19 | 60 | ↓ 1 |
| 6 |  Göztepe | 34 | +10 | 55 | — |
| 7 |  Samsunspor | 35 | -2 | 51 | — |
| 8 |  Rizespor | 34 | -6 | 41 | — |
| 9 |  Konyaspor | 34 | -7 | 40 | — |
| 10 |  Alanyaspor | 34 | 0 | 37 | ↑ 1 |
| 11 |  Kocaelispor | 34 | -12 | 37 | ↓ 1 |
| 12 |  Gaziantep FK | 34 | -15 | 37 | — |
| 13 |  Kasımpaşa | 34 | -16 | 35 | — |
| 14 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 34 | -11 | 34 | — |
| 15 |  Eyüpspor | 34 | -15 | 33 | — |
| 16 |  Antalyaspor | 34 | -22 | 32 | — |
| 17 |  Fatih Karagümrük | 34 | -23 | 30 | ↑ 1 |
| 18 |  Kayserispor | 34 | -35 | 30 | ↓ 1 |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
BaÅŸakÅŸehir 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Samsunspor 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Samsunspor
6/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Samsunspor’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
BaÅŸakÅŸehir
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FenerbahçeAway · Süper Lig1–3KasımpaÅŸaHome · Süper Lig4–0TrabzonsporAway · Süper Lig1–1GençlerbirliÄŸi S.K.Home · Süper Lig3–0KocaelisporAway · Süper Lig0–0AntalyasporHome · Süper Lig0–0GalatasarayAway · Süper Lig0–3GöztepeHome · Süper Lig2–1TrabzonsporHome · Türkiye Kupası2–4KonyasporHome · Süper Lig2–0
Samsunspor
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
GalatasarayHome · Süper Lig4–1AlanyasporAway · Süper Lig3–2TrabzonsporHome · Türkiye Kupası0–0BeÅŸiktaÅŸHome · Süper Lig2–1EyüpsporAway · Süper Lig2–1KonyasporHome · Süper Lig2–2Rayo VallecanoAway · UEFA Europa Conference League1–0KayserisporHome · Süper Lig2–1Rayo VallecanoHome · UEFA Europa Conference League1–3FenerbahçeAway · Süper Lig2–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare BaÅŸakÅŸehir at home with Samsunspor away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:51 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Süper Lig · 2025/26 · all league matches
BaÅŸakÅŸehirSamsunspor
32Matches played32
51Points earned48
14Wins12
1.7Goals scored / match1.4
1.1Goals conceded / match1.4
12Clean sheets8
6Failed to score8
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares BaÅŸakÅŸehir at home with Samsunspor away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
BaÅŸakÅŸehir
Confirmed formation4-4-2Nuri Sahin
- 16
M. SengezerG - 42
O. SahinerD - 5
L. DuarteD - 3
J. OpokuD - 88
K. KaratasD - 7
Y. SariM - 8
O. KemenM - 13
M. CrespoM - 25
A. HaritM - 91
B. YildirimF - 14
E. ShomurodovF
Substitutes (10)
80 · D. Alemdar
9 · D. Selke
21 · C. Operi
77 · I. Brnic
11 · A. Fayzullaev
6 · O. Bulut
10 · N. Da Costa
4 · O. Ergun
20 · U. Gunes
27 · O. Ba
Samsunspor
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Thorsten Fink
- 1
O. KocukG - 2
J. MendesD - 37
L. SatkaD - 4
R. Van DrongelenD - 17
L. TomassonD - 21
C. HolseM - 29
A. MakoumbouM - 7
E. TavsanM - 55
Y. E. CiftM - 9
MariusM - 19
C. NdiayeF
Substitutes (7)
48 · E. B. Toruz
33 · E. Ustun
18 · Z. Yavru
24 · T. Borevkovic
77 · A. Sousa
23 · E. Albak
15 · A. B. Diabbate
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Başakşehir
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammed Şengezer | 95 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 37 | — |
| Ömer Ali Şahiner | 95 | 7.5 | — | — | — | 29 | 3 |
| Léo Duarte | 76 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 21 | 3 |
| Jerome Opoku | 95 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 18 | 1 |
| Kazımcan Karataş | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 25 | — |
| Yusuf Sarı | 76 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 4 | 20 | — |
| Olivier Kemen | 95 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 23 | — |
| Miguel Crespo | 76 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 4 |
| Amine Harit | 70 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 19 | — |
| Bertuğ Yıldırım | 24 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 4 | — |
| Eldor Shomurodov | 95 | 7.9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 2 |
| Davie Selke | 71 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 21 | — |
| Abbosbek Fayzullaev | 25 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | — |
| Ousseynou Ba | 19 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 5 | — |
| Onur Ergün | 19 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 7 | — |
| Ivan Brnić | 19 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 8 | — |
| Doğan Alemdar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Onur Bulut | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christopher Operi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Umut Güneş | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nuno Da Costa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Samsunspor
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Okan Kocuk | 95 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 46 | — |
| Josafat Mendes | 86 | 5.6 | — | — | — | 26 | — |
| Ľubomír Šatka | 21 | 5.7 | — | — | — | 20 | — |
| Rick Van Drongelen | 95 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 57 | 3 |
| Logi Tomasson | 95 | 5.5 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 1 |
| Carlo Holse | 95 | 6.0 | — | — | — | 53 | — |
| Antoine Makoumbou | 95 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 46 | — |
| Elayis Tavsan | 86 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 1 |
| Yunus Emre Çift | 74 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 32 | 2 |
| Marius Mouandilmadji | 95 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 19 | 1 |
| Cherif Ndiaye | 95 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 20 | 2 |
| Toni Borevković | 74 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 1 |
| Afonso Sousa | 21 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 11 | — |
| Enes Albak | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 6 | — |
| Zeki Yavru | 9 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 8 | — |
| Efe Yiğit Üstün | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Efe Berat Törüz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Diabaté | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | BaÅŸakÅŸehir | Draw | Samsunspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.90 |
Snapshot from 8 May 2026, 21:41 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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