Guimaraes
2/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Guimaraes’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 28THE MATCH CENTREGuimaraes vs Tondela match centre
90′ · Live
5:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
O. Camara5′
M. Nogueira18′
Samu51′ (pen)
Gustavo55′
J. I. Mendes65′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%Guimaraes
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Tondela
Another goal8.0%before full time
Next goal: Guimaraes 4.7% · no further goal 92.0% · Tondela 3.3%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.GuimaraesTondela
2.550Expected goals · API-Football0.060
5Shots on target1
12Total Shots3
52%Ball Possession48%
3Corner Kicks1
14Fouls15
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves1
375Total passes359
315Passes accurate293
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primeira LigaProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | +48 | 88 | — |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 34 | +65 | 82 | — |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | +49 | 80 | — |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | +28 | 59 | — |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | +13 | 56 | — |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | +9 | 50 | — |
| 7 | Guimaraes | 35 | -7 | 45 | ↑ 2 |
| 8 |  Moreirense | 34 | -12 | 43 | ↓ 1 |
| 9 |  Arouca | 34 | -17 | 42 | ↓ 1 |
| 10 |  Estoril | 34 | -3 | 39 | — |
| 11 |  Alverca | 34 | -17 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Santa Clara | 34 | -9 | 36 | ↑ 1 |
| 13 |  Rio Ave | 34 | -22 | 36 | ↓ 1 |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | -8 | 34 | — |
| 15 |  Estrela | 34 | -18 | 30 | — |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 34 | -26 | 30 | — |
| 17 |  Tondela | 35 | -33 | 28 | — |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | -40 | 21 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Guimaraes 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Tondela 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Tondela
1/9Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Tondela’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Guimaraes
10 matchesResults2 wins · 1 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
BenficaAway · Primeira Liga0–3FamalicaoHome · Primeira Liga1–2Santa ClaraAway · Primeira Liga0–2AlvercaHome · Primeira Liga1–1SC BragaAway · Primeira Liga2–3EstrelaHome · Primeira Liga2–1AroucaAway · Primeira Liga2–3MoreirenseHome · Primeira Liga1–0EstorilAway · Primeira Liga2–4FC PortoHome · Primeira Liga0–1
Tondela
9 matchesResults1 wins · 5 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game0.8
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals3 of 9
Both teams scored3 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Guimaraes at home with Tondela away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 04:54 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
GuimaraesTondela
27Matches played26
32Points earned20
9Wins4
1.1Goals scored / match0.7
1.5Goals conceded / match1.5
7Clean sheets5
10Failed to score15
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Guimaraes at home with Tondela away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Guimaraes
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Gil Lameiras
- 27
Charles SilvaG - 66
T. StrataD - 4
O. Rivas ViondiD - 28
Thiago BalieiroD - 13
J. I. MendesD - 16
BeniM - 30
G. NogueiraM - 88
M. NogueiraM - 20
SamuM - 19
O. CamaraM - 11
GustavoF
Substitutes (9)
25 · J. Castillo
18 · T. Arcanjo
22 · F. Blanco
23 · D. Sousa
48 · N. Saviolo
17 · O. Lebedenko
3 · M. Nobrega
2 · Maga
33 · E. Opara
Tondela
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Cristiano Bacci
- 31
BernardoG - 2
BebetoD - 4
C. MarquesD - 20
B. MedinaD - 60
E. MaviramD - 32
J. RodriguezM - 10
J. HodgeM - 26
A. van der HeideM - 16
Rony LopesM - 7
Pedro MaranhaoM - 29
J. SiebatcheuF
Substitutes (9)
30 · L. Canizares
27 · R. Conceicao
23 · B. Kimpioka
90 · M. Aiko
48 · T. Manso
8 · H. Tavares
44 · J. Silva
79 · H. Felix
70 · M. Ouattara
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Guimaraes
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles | 95 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 32 | — |
| Tony Strata | 75 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 29 | 2 |
| Óscar Rivas | 95 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 48 | 2 |
| Thiago Balieiro | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 1 |
| João Mendes | 81 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | — |
| Beni Mukendi | 95 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 52 | 1 |
| Gonçalo Nogueira | 95 | 7.6 | — | 1 | 1 | 34 | 4 |
| Miguel Nogueira | 67 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 3 |
| Samu | 67 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 24 | 3 |
| Oumar Camara | 95 | 8.6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 1 |
| Gustavo Silva | 75 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | — |
| Diogo Sousa | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 2 |
| Noah Saviolo | 28 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 3 | — |
| Miguel Maga | 20 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 6 | — |
| Telmo Arcanjo | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 10 | — |
| Orest Lebedenko | 14 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 8 | — |
| Ejike Opara | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabio Blanco | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Castillo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Nóbrega | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Tondela
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernardo Fontes | 95 | 5.6 | — | — | — | 26 | — |
| Bebeto | 95 | 5.9 | — | — | — | 37 | 2 |
| Christian Marques | 95 | 6.0 | — | — | — | 56 | 2 |
| Brayan Medina | 95 | 4.3 | — | — | — | 46 | 1 |
| Emmanuel Maviram | 56 | 5.3 | — | — | 1 | 28 | — |
| Juan Rodríguez | 95 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 52 | 2 |
| Joe Hodge | 80 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 1 |
| Arjen Van Der Heide | 56 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 11 | — |
| Rony Lopes | 68 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 27 | 2 |
| Maranhão | 56 | 6.0 | — | — | — | 10 | — |
| Jordan Siebatcheu | 95 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 10 | — |
| Makan Aïko | 39 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Rodrigo Conceição | 39 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 7 | 2 |
| Moudjatovic | 39 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Hugo Félix | 27 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 13 | — |
| Hélder Tavares | 15 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 5 | — |
| João Silva | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Cañizares | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Manso | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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