Tondela
1/10Wins
0.7Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Tondela’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 29THE MATCH CENTRETondela vs GIL Vicente match centre
90′ · Live
2:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Rony Lopes15′
J. Hodge90+8′
Murilo de Souza29′ (pen)
Carlos Eduardo90′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate3.4%Tondela
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate4.2%GIL Vicente
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Tondela 3.4% · no further goal 92.3% · GIL Vicente 4.2%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.TondelaGIL Vicente
1.730Expected goals · API-Football1.670
3Shots on target6
8Total Shots14
52%Ball Possession48%
5Corner Kicks5
15Fouls11
5Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves2
414Total passes370
327Passes accurate302
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primeira LigaProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | +48 | 88 | — |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 34 | +65 | 82 | — |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | +49 | 80 | — |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | +28 | 59 | — |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | +13 | 56 | — |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 35 | +9 | 51 | — |
| 7 |  Moreirense | 34 | -12 | 43 | — |
| 8 |  Guimaraes | 34 | -12 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 9 |  Arouca | 34 | -17 | 42 | ↓ 1 |
| 10 |  Estoril | 34 | -3 | 39 | — |
| 11 |  Alverca | 34 | -17 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Santa Clara | 34 | -9 | 36 | ↑ 1 |
| 13 |  Rio Ave | 34 | -22 | 36 | ↓ 1 |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | -8 | 34 | — |
| 15 |  Estrela | 34 | -18 | 30 | — |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 34 | -26 | 30 | — |
| 17 | Tondela | 35 | -28 | 29 | — |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | -40 | 21 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Tondela 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
GIL Vicente 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
GIL Vicente
4/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect GIL Vicente’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Tondela
10 matchesResults1 wins · 5 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game0.7
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
GuimaraesAway · Primeira Liga0–5AVSHome · Primeira Liga0–0Rio AveHome · Primeira Liga0–1Santa ClaraHome · Primeira Liga2–2EstrelaAway · Primeira Liga2–0AlvercaHome · Primeira Liga1–1EstorilAway · Primeira Liga2–2BenficaHome · Primeira Liga0–0FamalicaoAway · Primeira Liga0–3SC BragaHome · Primeira Liga0–1
GIL Vicente
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AVSHome · Primeira Liga3–0Santa ClaraAway · Primeira Liga0–1AlvercaHome · Primeira Liga2–2EstrelaAway · Primeira Liga2–2BenficaHome · Primeira Liga1–2EstorilAway · Primeira Liga1–3SC BragaHome · Primeira Liga2–1MoreirenseAway · Primeira Liga2–1FamalicaoHome · Primeira Liga5–0FC PortoAway · Primeira Liga0–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Tondela at home with GIL Vicente away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 07:39 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
TondelaGIL Vicente
27Matches played28
20Points earned45
4Wins12
0.7Goals scored / match1.5
1.6Goals conceded / match1.0
5Clean sheets11
16Failed to score6
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Tondela at home with GIL Vicente away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Tondela
Confirmed formation4-3-3Cristiano Bacci
- 31
BernardoG - 2
BebetoD - 44
J. SilvaD - 4
C. MarquesD - 27
R. ConceicaoD - 10
J. HodgeM - 32
J. RodriguezM - 79
H. FelixM - 7
Pedro MaranhaoF - 16
Rony LopesF - 70
M. Ouattara
Substitutes (9)
30 · L. Canizares
5 · J. Afonso
15 · S. Sithole
90 · M. Aiko
48 · T. Manso
8 · H. Tavares
29 · J. Siebatcheu
26 · A. van der Heide
20 · B. Medina
GIL Vicente
Confirmed formation4-4-2Cesar Peixoto
- 99
Figueira DanielG - 2
Ze CarlosD - 48
A. EspigaresD - 39
J. BuatuD - 3
G. KonanD - 77
Murilo de SouzaM - 5
F. CaseresM - 10
L. EstevesM - 27
A. MoreiraM - 95
S. GarciaF - 89
G. VarelaF
Substitutes (9)
30 · Lucao
26 · Weverson
45 · J. Mutombo
20 · S. Hevertton
19 · G. Pinto Martins
80 · R. Rodrigues
11 · J. Fernandes
32 · M. Fernandez
29 · Carlos Eduardo
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Tondela
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernardo Fontes | 100 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 27 | — |
| Bebeto | 75 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 50 | 3 |
| João Silva | 100 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 66 | 4 |
| Christian Marques | 100 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 58 | 3 |
| Rodrigo Conceição | 100 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 3 |
| Joe Hodge | 100 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 31 | 3 |
| Juan Rodríguez | 100 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 26 | 1 |
| Hugo Félix | 60 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 1 |
| Maranhão | 68 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 16 | — |
| Rony Lopes | 74 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 24 | 2 |
| Moudjatovic | 60 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 12 | — |
| Siphephelo Sithole | 40 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 18 | — |
| Makan Aïko | 40 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 9 | — |
| Arjen Van Der Heide | 32 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 7 | — |
| Jordan Siebatcheu | 26 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Tiago Manso | 25 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 6 | — |
| Brayan Medina | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Helder Tavares | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Cañizares | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Afonso | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
GIL Vicente
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Figueira | 100 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 30 | — |
| Zé Carlos | 100 | 5.9 | — | — | — | 25 | 1 |
| Antonio Espigares | 100 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 60 | 2 |
| Jonathan Buatu | 100 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 44 | — |
| Ghislain Konan | 100 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 45 | — |
| Murilo Souza | 85 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 26 | 1 |
| Facundo Cáseres | 100 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 32 | 4 |
| Luís Esteves | 100 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 54 | — |
| Agustín Moreira | 74 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 17 | — |
| Santi García | 100 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 22 | — |
| Gustavo Varela | 85 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 10 | — |
| Martin Fernández | 26 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 6 | — |
| Carlos Eduardo | 15 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
| Joelson Fernandes | 15 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Gil Martins | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hevertton Santos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Mutombo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Rodrigues | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucão | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Weverson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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