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First LeagueMatchweek 28THE MATCH CENTRE

Arda Kardzhali vs Montana match centre

Arda Kardzhali badgeArda KardzhaliHome · 7 in league
WDLWW
Momentum↗ Rising69/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Montana badgeMontanaAway · 16 in league
DLLLL
Momentum↓ Low5/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
B. Karagaren22′
W. Samake90′
B. Dimitrov37′
Arena Arda · KardzhaliSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate96.3%Arda Kardzhali
Draw3.7%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Montana
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Arda Kardzhali 4.3% · no further goal 91.9% · Montana 3.8%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Arda KardzhaliMontana
5Corner Kicks2
12Fouls11
3Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves5
483Total passes405
412Passes accurate330

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

A PFG: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Levski Sofia30+4270—
2Ludogorets30+3760—
3CSKA 194830+1959—
4CSKA Sofia30+2056—
5Arda Kardzhali31+747↑ 2
6Lokomotiv Plovdiv30-346↓ 1
7Cherno More Varna30+744↓ 1
8Botev Plovdiv30+340—
9Slavia Sofia30+339—
10Botev Vratsa30-238—
11Lokomotiv Sofia30+137—
12Spartak Varna30-2527—
13Dobrudzha30-2026—
14Septemvri Sofia30-3326—
15Beroe30-2523—
16Montana31-3117—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Arda Kardzhali 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Montana 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Arda Kardzhali

6/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Arda Kardzhali’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Montana

1/10Wins
0.1Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 8 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Montana’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Arda Kardzhali at home with Montana away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:36 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

First League · 2025/26 · all league matches

Arda KardzhaliMontana
27Matches played27
38Points earned16
10Wins3
1.1Goals scored / match0.5
0.9Goals conceded / match1.6
12Clean sheets7
13Failed to score14

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Arda Kardzhali at home with Montana away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Arda Kardzhali

Confirmed formation4-4-2Blagov Tunchev Aleksander
  1. 1A. GospodinovG
  2. 2Gustavo CascardoD
  3. 93F. EboaD
  4. 24M. PaskalevD
  5. 21V. VelevD
  6. 8A. KabovM
  7. 18C. HuseynovM
  8. 80L. KotevM
  9. 99B. KaragarenM
  10. 20S. YuseinF
  11. 17Patrick LuanF
Substitutes (9)

12 · I. Nedelchev

4 · D. Idowu

6 · P. Krachunov

10 · S. Kovachev

23 · E. Viyachki

26 · B. Akandzha

30 · W. Samake

35 · D. Velkovski

39 · A. Vutov

Montana

Confirmed formation3-5-1-1Atanas Atanasov
  1. 1M. RosaG
  2. 13J. SoaresD
  3. 5I. Markov
  4. 18K. Iliev
  5. 16D. Carmona Sierra
  6. 20U. BaldeM
  7. 24A. TsingarasM
  8. 10A. TodorovM
  9. 14D. BurovM
  10. 27T. AzevedoM
  11. 7B. DimitrovF
Substitutes (9)

30 · V. Simeonov

23 · A. Tungarov

6 · V. Sakor

22 · Beji

17 · I. Kokonov

8 · P. Atanasov

21 · P. Andreev

26 · R. Slavchev

25 · S. James

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Arda Kardzhali

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Anatoli Gospodinov906.900—200
Gustavo Cascardo906.9011650
Félix Eboa Eboa906.600—460
Martin Paskalev907.2001700
Vyacheslav Velev907.3001630
Atanas Kabov466.300—190
Jalal Huseynov686.300—280
Lachezar Kotev907.300—551
Birsent Karagaren906.7101260
Serkan Yussein606.900—211
Patrick606.7001110
Svetoslav Kovachev497.301—240
Wilson Samaké367.510250
Antonio Vutov366.9001140
Idowu David Akintola276.600—150
Plamen Krachunov2—00—00

Montana

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Márcio Rosa907.600—220
Jorginho Soares906.9101450
Ivaylo Markov907.3001531
Kostadin Iliev906.5001510
David Carmona906.200—311
Umaro Baldé896.500—271
Angelos Tsingaras906.600—442
Aleksandar Todorov906.7001371
Dimitar Burov906.900—391
Tomás Azevedo726.5001270
Boris Dimitrov906.901—160
Ivan Kokonov236.300—60
Vajebah Sakor6—00—60
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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