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Liga MXClausura - 12THE MATCH CENTRE

Necaxa vs Club Tijuana match centre

Necaxa badgeNecaxaHome · 15 in league
LLLLD
Momentum↓ Low8/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
3:0
UK time · Europe/London
Club Tijuana badgeClub TijuanaAway · 9 in league
DDLLW
Momentum↗ Rising36/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
J. Ruiz35′
J. Ruiz57′
T. Badaloni75′
Estadio Victoria · AguascalientesSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate100.0%Necaxa
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Club Tijuana
Another goal8.0%before full time

Next goal: Necaxa 4.7% · no further goal 92.0% · Club Tijuana 3.4%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
NecaxaClub Tijuana
6Corner Kicks1
12Fouls5
0Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves6
474Total passes394
415Passes accurate331

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Liga MX, Clausura 2026

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1U.N.A.M. - Pumas17+1736—
2Guadalajara Chivas17+1636—
3Cruz Azul17+1333—
4CF Pachuca17+631—
5Toluca17+1230—
6Atlas17-226—
7Tigres UANL17+1025—
8Club America17+325—
9Club Tijuana18-123—
10Leon17-1022—
11Necaxa18-321↑ 4
12Club Queretaro17-420↓ 1
13FC Juarez17-619↓ 1
14Monterrey17-218↓ 1
15Atletico San Luis17-318↓ 1
16Mazatlán17-1515—
17Puebla17-1313—
18Santos Laguna17-1812—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Necaxa 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Club Tijuana 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Necaxa

3/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Necaxa’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Club Tijuana

2/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Club Tijuana’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Necaxa at home with Club Tijuana away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:33 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Liga MX · 2025/26 · all league matches

NecaxaClub Tijuana
28Matches played31
27Points earned42
7Wins10
1.3Goals scored / match1.5
1.7Goals conceded / match1.3
2Clean sheets11
10Failed to score7

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Necaxa at home with Club Tijuana away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Necaxa

Confirmed formation3-1-4-2Martin Varini
  1. 22E. UnsainG
  2. 33R. MartinezD
  3. 4A. PenaD
  4. 3A. OliverosD
  5. 5K. GutierrezM
  6. 30R. MonrealM
  7. 6D. LeyvaM
  8. 8L. FaravelliM
  9. 16C. CalderonM
  10. 35J. RuizF
  11. 9T. BadaloniF
Substitutes (10)

12 · L. Jimenez

188 · I. Tello

17 · R. Cortez

24 · F. Rossano

210 · J. Palacios

10 · A. E. Almendra

26 · E. Lara

189 · B. Casas

20 · F. Mendez

232 · R. Alonso

Club Tijuana

Confirmed formation5-3-2Sebastian Abreu
  1. 2A. RodriguezG
  2. 17R. ArcigaD
  3. 3R. InzunzaD
  4. 12J. PorozoD
  5. 4U. BilbaoD
  6. 16A. VegaD
  7. 22I. RiveroM
  8. 8I. TonaM
  9. 6A. GomezM
  10. 31D. AbreuF
  11. 10K. CastanedaF
Substitutes (10)

29 · J. Hernandez

30 · J. Martinez

34 · F. Boya

33 · P. N. Ortiz Orozco

27 · D. Blanco

25 · O. Manzanarez

9 · M. El Ghezouani

11 · A. Preciado

32 · D. O. Bagui Tobar

187 · G. Padilla

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Necaxa

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Ezequiel Unsaín907.2—0—25—
Raúl Martínez786.9—01511
Alexis Peña907.5—0—562
Agustín Oliveros907.2—0—55—
Kevin Gutiérrez906.9—02651
Ricardo Monreal907.3—16362
Danny Leyva908.0—0—632
Lorenzo Faravelli897.2—01522
Cristian Calderón787.2—01261
Javier Ruiz868.9202241
Tomás Badaloni907.2102191
Franco Rossano126.9—0—9—
Emilio Lara126.9—0—5—
Israel Tello86.7—0—3—
Rogelio Cortéz Pineda1——016—
Luis Jimenez———————
Francisco Méndez———————
Ricardo Alonso———————
Agustín Almendra———————
Joshua Palacios———————
Bryan Roque———————

Club Tijuana

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Antonio Rodríguez907.5—0—36—
Ramiro Árciga906.0—01231
Rafael Fernández906.2—0—38—
Jackson Porozo906.9—0—342
Unai Bilbao906.7—01691
Jesús Vega906.6—0—437
José Rivero907.0—02321
Iván Tona906.9—0—524
Jesús Gómez646.7—0—193
Diego Abreu736.5—0—171
Kevin Castañeda646.6—0—31—
Domingo Blanco266.5—0—101
Adonis Preciado266.5—012—
Mourad El Ghezouani176.3—0—1—
Jorge Hernández———————
Oscar Manzanares———————
Pablo Nicolás Ortíz———————
Diogo Bagüí———————
German Padilla———————
Frank Boya———————
Josef Martínez———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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