Manchester City
6/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Manchester City’s results
FA CupQuarter-finalsTHE MATCH CENTREManchester City vs Liverpool match centre
86′ · Live
4:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
E. Haaland39′ (pen)
E. Haaland45+2′
A. Semenyo50′
E. Haaland57′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
86′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%Manchester City
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Liverpool
Another goal12.2%before full time
Next goal: Manchester City 6.1% · no further goal 87.8% · Liverpool 6.1%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Manchester CityLiverpool
1.950Expected goals · API-Football1.730
7Shots on target5
11Total Shots11
53%Ball Possession47%
4Corner Kicks2
14Fouls9
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
5Goalkeeper Saves3
478Total passes417
430Passes accurate367
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
Quarter-finalsManchester City 4–0 Liverpool
→Current progressionManchester City
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Manchester City 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Liverpool 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Liverpool
6/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Liverpool’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Manchester City
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
ArsenalAway · League Cup2–0Real MadridHome · UEFA Champions League1–2West HamAway · Premier League1–1Real MadridAway · UEFA Champions League0–3NewcastleAway · FA Cup3–1Nottingham ForestHome · Premier League2–2LeedsAway · Premier League1–0NewcastleHome · Premier League2–1Salford CityHome · FA Cup2–0FulhamHome · Premier League3–0
Liverpool
10 matchesResults6 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
BrightonAway · Premier League1–2GalatasarayHome · UEFA Champions League4–0TottenhamHome · Premier League1–1GalatasarayAway · UEFA Champions League0–1WolvesAway · FA Cup3–1WolvesAway · Premier League1–2West HamHome · Premier League5–2Nottingham ForestAway · Premier League1–0BrightonHome · FA Cup3–0SunderlandAway · Premier League1–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Manchester City at home with Liverpool away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 04:18 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
FA Cup · 2025/26 · all league matches
Manchester CityLiverpool
3Matches played3
9Points earned9
3Wins3
5.0Goals scored / match3.3
0.7Goals conceded / match0.7
1Clean sheets1
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Manchester City at home with Liverpool away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Manchester City
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Pep Guardiola
- 1
J. TraffordG - 27
M. NunesD - 45
A. KhusanovD - 15
M. GuehiD - 33
N. O'ReillyD - 16
RodriM - 20
B. SilvaM - 42
A. SemenyoM - 10
R. CherkiM - 11
J. DokuM - 9
E. HaalandF
Substitutes (9)
25 · G. Donnarumma
4 · T. Reijnders
21 · R. Ait-Nouri
8 · M. Kovacic
6 · N. Ake
47 · P. Foden
7 · O. Marmoush
14 · Nico
26 · Savinho
Liverpool
Confirmed formation4-2-2-2Arne Slot
- 25
G. MamardashviliG - 2
J. GomezD - 5
I. KonateD - 4
V. van DijkD - 6
M. KerkezD - 38
R. GravenberchM - 17
C. JonesM - 8
D. SzoboszlaiM - 7
F. WirtzM - 11
M. SalahF - 22
H. EkitikeF
Substitutes (9)
28 · F. Woodman
14 · F. Chiesa
18 · C. Gakpo
10 · A. Mac Allister
30 · J. Frimpong
68 · K. Morrison
26 · A. Robertson
42 · T. Nyoni
73 · R. Ngumoha
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Manchester City
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Trafford | 90 | 8.9 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Matheus Nunes | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 46 | 2 |
| Abdukodir Khusanov | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 58 | 4 |
| Marc Guéhi | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 50 | 1 |
| Nico O'Reilly | 90 | 8.3 | — | 1 | — | 39 | 5 |
| Rodri | 62 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 78 | — |
| Bernardo Silva | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 81 | — |
| Antoine Semenyo | 71 | 7.3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 1 |
| Rayan Cherki | 71 | 7.6 | — | 1 | 1 | 36 | — |
| Jérémy Doku | 62 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 21 | 1 |
| Erling Haaland | 77 | 9.3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | — |
| Nico González | 28 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Savinho | 28 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 2 |
| Tijjani Reijnders | 19 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Phil Foden | 19 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Omar Marmoush | 13 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Gianluigi Donnarumma | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateo Kovačić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayan Aït-Nouri | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nathan Aké | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Liverpool
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giorgi Mamardashvili | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 20 | — |
| Joe Gomez | 62 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 2 |
| Ibrahima Konaté | 90 | 5.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 63 | 1 |
| Virgil van Dijk | 90 | 5.5 | — | 0 | — | 63 | — |
| Miloš Kerkez | 90 | 5.7 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 4 |
| Ryan Gravenberch | 67 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Curtis Jones | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 67 | — |
| Dominik Szoboszlai | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 47 | — |
| Florian Wirtz | 68 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 2 |
| Mohamed Salah | 77 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 3 | 15 | 1 |
| Hugo Ekitiké | 68 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 23 | — |
| Jeremie Frimpong | 28 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Alexis Mac Allister | 23 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 33 | — |
| Rio Ngumoha | 22 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Cody Gakpo | 22 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 12 | — |
| Federico Chiesa | 13 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Freddie Woodman | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew Robertson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Trey Nyoni | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kieran Morrison | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗FA Cup table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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