Sporting CP
7/10Wins
2.2Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 9 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Sporting CP’s results
UEFA Champions LeagueQuarter-finalsTHE MATCH CENTRESporting CP vs Arsenal match centre
90′ · Live
0:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
K. Havertz90+1′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.1%Sporting CP
Draw4.3%at full time
Current result estimate95.6%Arsenal
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Sporting CP 4.4% · no further goal 91.9% · Arsenal 3.7%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Sporting CPArsenal
0.840Expected goals · API-Football0.780
5Shots on target4
10Total Shots7
43%Ball Possession57%
3Corner Kicks4
11Fouls10
1Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves5
385Total passes511
328Passes accurate467
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
UEFA Champions LeagueProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | +20 | 27 | — |
| 2 |  Bayern München | 8 | +14 | 21 | — |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 8 | +12 | 18 | — |
| 4 |  Tottenham | 8 | +10 | 17 | — |
| 5 |  Barcelona | 8 | +8 | 16 | — |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 8 | +7 | 16 | — |
| 7 |  Manchester City | 8 | +6 | 16 | ↑ 1 |
| 8 | Sporting CP | 9 | +5 | 16 | ↓ 1 |
| 9 |  Real Madrid | 8 | +9 | 15 | — |
| 10 |  Inter | 8 | +8 | 15 | — |
| 11 |  Paris Saint Germain | 8 | +10 | 14 | — |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 8 | +10 | 14 | — |
| 13 |  Juventus | 8 | +4 | 13 | — |
| 14 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | +2 | 13 | — |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 8 | 0 | 13 | — |
| 16 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | -1 | 12 | — |
| 17 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | +2 | 11 | — |
| 18 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 8 | -4 | 11 | — |
| 19 |  Club Brugge KV | 8 | -2 | 10 | — |
| 20 |  Galatasaray | 8 | -2 | 10 | — |
| 21 |  Monaco | 8 | -6 | 10 | — |
| 22 |  Qarabag | 8 | -8 | 10 | — |
| 23 |  Bodo/Glimt | 8 | -1 | 9 | — |
| 24 |  Benfica | 8 | -2 | 9 | — |
| 25 |  Marseille | 8 | -3 | 9 | — |
| 26 |  Pafos | 8 | -3 | 9 | — |
| 27 |  Union St. Gilloise | 8 | -9 | 9 | — |
| 28 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 0 | 8 | — |
| 29 |  Athletic Club | 8 | -5 | 8 | — |
| 30 |  Napoli | 8 | -6 | 8 | — |
| 31 |  FC Copenhagen | 8 | -9 | 8 | — |
| 32 |  Ajax | 8 | -13 | 6 | — |
| 33 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | -11 | 4 | — |
| 34 |  Slavia Praha | 8 | -14 | 3 | — |
| 35 |  Villarreal | 8 | -13 | 1 | — |
| 36 |  Kairat Almaty | 8 | -15 | 1 | — |
Quarter-finalsSporting CP 0–1 Arsenal
→Current progressionArsenal
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Sporting CP 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Arsenal 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Arsenal
6/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Arsenal’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Sporting CP
10 matchesResults7 wins · 2 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.2
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Santa ClaraHome · Primeira Liga4–2AlvercaAway · Primeira Liga4–1Bodo/GlimtHome · UEFA Champions League3–0Bodo/GlimtAway · UEFA Champions League0–3SC BragaAway · Primeira Liga2–2FC PortoHome · Taça de Portugal1–0EstorilHome · Primeira Liga3–0MoreirenseAway · Primeira Liga3–0FamalicaoHome · Primeira Liga1–0FC PortoAway · Primeira Liga1–1
Arsenal
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SouthamptonAway · FA Cup1–2Manchester CityHome · League Cup0–2Bayer LeverkusenHome · UEFA Champions League2–0EvertonHome · Premier League2–0Bayer LeverkusenAway · UEFA Champions League1–1Mansfield TownAway · FA Cup2–1BrightonAway · Premier League1–0ChelseaHome · Premier League2–1TottenhamAway · Premier League4–1WolvesAway · Premier League2–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Sporting CP at home with Arsenal away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 08:18 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
UEFA Champions League · 2025/26 · all league matches
Sporting CPArsenal
10Matches played10
19Points earned28
6Wins9
2.2Goals scored / match2.6
1.4Goals conceded / match0.5
2Clean sheets6
1Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Sporting CP at home with Arsenal away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Sporting CP
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Rui Borges
- 1
R. SilvaG - 22
I. FresnedaD - 26
O. DiomandeD - 25
G. InacioD - 20
M. AraujoD - 5
H. MoritaM - 52
J. SimoesM - 10
G. CatamoM - 17
TrincaoM - 8
P. GoncalvesM - 97
L. SuarezF
Substitutes (11)
12 · J. Virginia
41 · Diego Callai
14 · G. Kochorashvili
23 · D. Braganca
72 · E. Quaresma
15 · S. Faye
90 · R. Nel
58 · F. Goncalves
91 · R. Mangas
13 · G. Vagiannidis
6 · Z. Debast
Arsenal
Confirmed formation4-3-3Mikel Arteta
- 1
D. RayaG - 4
B. WhiteD - 2
W. SalibaD - 6
GabrielD - 33
R. CalafioriD - 8
M. OdegaardM - 36
M. ZubimendiM - 41
D. RiceM - 20
N. MaduekeF - 14
V. GyökeresF - 19
L. TrossardF
Substitutes (11)
13 · K. Arrizabalaga
79 · K. Ranson
9 · Gabriel Jesus
29 · K. Havertz
11 · G. Martinelli
49 · M. Lewis-Skelly
3 · C. Mosquera
56 · M. Dowman
71 · A. Harriman-Annous
89 · M. Salmon
16 · C. Norgaard
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Sporting CP
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rui Silva | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 27 | — |
| Iván Fresneda | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 42 | — |
| Ousmane Diomande | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 54 | — |
| Gonçalo Inácio | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 66 | — |
| Maximiliano Araújo | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 32 | 9 |
| Hidemasa Morita | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 50 | 2 |
| João Simões | 62 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Geny Catamo | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 4 | 29 | — |
| Francisco Trincão | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 36 | 1 |
| Pedro Gonçalves | 79 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 20 | — |
| Luis Javier Suárez | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | 2 |
| Daniel Bragança | 28 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Rafael Nel | 11 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Zeno Debast | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Mangas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giorgi Kochorashvili | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Quaresma | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giorgos Vagiannidis | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Virgínia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Callai | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Souleymane Faye | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Flavio Goncalves | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Arsenal
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Raya | 90 | 8.6 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Ben White | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 50 | 2 |
| William Saliba | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 92 | 2 |
| Gabriel Magalhães | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 65 | 1 |
| Riccardo Calafiori | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 3 |
| Martin Ødegaard | 70 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 59 | 2 |
| Martín Zubimendi | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 61 | — |
| Declan Rice | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 69 | — |
| Noni Madueke | 76 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 23 | — |
| Viktor Gyökeres | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | — |
| Leandro Trossard | 76 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 20 | 3 |
| Kai Havertz | 20 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | — |
| Max Dowman | 14 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Gabriel Martinelli | 14 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 6 | — |
| Cristhian Mosquera | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kepa Arrizabalaga | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Myles Lewis-Skelly | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Jesus | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Nørgaard | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andre Harriman-Annous | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marli Salmon | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khari Ranson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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