Apollon Limassol
6/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Apollon Limassol’s results
1. DivisionChampionship Group - 28THE MATCH CENTREApollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca match centre
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
B. Thomas66′
R. Bajic56′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate4.5%Apollon Limassol
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.0%AEK Larnaca
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Apollon Limassol 4.6% · no further goal 92.3% · AEK Larnaca 3.1%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Apollon LimassolAEK Larnaca
1.900Expected goals · API-Football0.380
5Shots on target2
18Total Shots5
58%Ball Possession42%
15Corner Kicks2
10Fouls8
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
494Total passes361
412Passes accurate302
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
1-division: Regular seasonProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Omonia Nicosia | 26 | +46 | 61 | — |
| 2 |  AEK Larnaca | 27 | +27 | 54 | — |
| 3 | Apollon Limassol | 27 | +14 | 54 | — |
| 4 |  Pafos | 26 | +29 | 51 | — |
| 5 |  Apoel Nicosia | 26 | +18 | 45 | — |
| 6 |  Aris | 26 | +22 | 43 | — |
| 7 |  Omonia Aradippou | 26 | -8 | 34 | — |
| 8 |  AEL | 26 | -7 | 33 | — |
| 9 |  Anorthosis | 26 | -10 | 32 | — |
| 10 |  Krasava Ypsonas | 26 | -10 | 28 | — |
| 11 |  Olympiakos | 26 | -15 | 28 | — |
| 12 |  Akritas | 26 | -25 | 26 | — |
| 13 |  Ethnikos Achna | 26 | -19 | 23 | — |
| 14 |  Enosis | 26 | -62 | 1 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Apollon Limassol 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
AEK Larnaca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
AEK Larnaca
5/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect AEK Larnaca’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Apollon Limassol
10 matchesResults6 wins · 4 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game0.7
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
PafosAway · 1. Division1–1AnorthosisAway · 1. Division1–1AELHome · 1. Division2–1Omonia NicosiaAway · 1. Division1–1Ethnikos AchnaHome · 1. Division1–0AEK LarnacaAway · 1. Division1–0OlympiakosHome · 1. Division3–1Omonia AradippouHome · Cup2–2Omonia AradippouAway · 1. Division1–0AkritasHome · 1. Division4–0
AEK Larnaca
10 matchesResults5 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game0.6
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Apoel NicosiaHome · 1. Division1–0Crystal PalaceHome · UEFA Europa Conference League1–1Ethnikos AchnaAway · 1. Division2–0Crystal PalaceAway · UEFA Europa Conference League0–0AkritasHome · 1. Division3–0OlympiakosHome · 1. Division1–1Omonia AradippouAway · 1. Division1–2Apollon LimassolHome · 1. Division0–1Apoel NicosiaAway · 1. Division2–1EnosisHome · 1. Division5–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Apollon Limassol at home with AEK Larnaca away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:59 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
1. Division · 2025/26 · all league matches
Apollon LimassolAEK Larnaca
27Matches played27
54Points earned56
16Wins17
1.3Goals scored / match1.9
0.9Goals conceded / match0.9
13Clean sheets10
4Failed to score3
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Apollon Limassol at home with AEK Larnaca away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Apollon Limassol
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Hernan Losada
- 22
P. KuhnG - 76
B. GasparD - 4
Z. AdoniD - 14
G. MalekkidisD - 8
J. ZmrhalD - 5
M. BrownM - 77
I. LjubicM - 10
G. RodriguesM - 30
D. EscricheM - 23
B. ThomasM - 43
P. MarquesF
Substitutes (10)
41 · P. Leeuwenburgh
31 · K. Stylianou
2 · P. Vouros
26 · A. Shikkis
91 · I. Polyviou
86 · P. Charalambous
45 · A. Vrikkis
50 · L. Markovic
12 · G. Assuncao
89 · R. Rotis
AEK Larnaca
Confirmed formation5-3-2Imanol Idiakez
- 1
Z. AlomerovicG - 22
G. EkpoloD - 15
H. MilicevicD - 27
V. RobergeD - 4
E. SaboritD - 14
A. GarciaD - 8
M. RohdenM - 7
Ledes GustavoM - 17
P. PonsM - 11
R. BajicF - 9
D. IvanovicF
Substitutes (12)
51 · A. Paraskevas
99 · D. Demetriou
41 · Mathias Gonzalez
2 · P. Ioannou
86 · A. Cardero
13 · Y. Gurfinkel
25 · C. Kyriakou
32 · R. Mudrazija
21 · Miramon
23 · J. Izquierdo
29 · G. Naoum
10 · W. Rubio
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Apollon Limassol
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philipp Kühn | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 14 | 0 |
| Bruno Gaspar | 72 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 33 | 0 |
| Zacharias Adoni | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 44 | 1 |
| Giorgos Malekkidis | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 77 | 0 |
| Jaromír Zmrhal | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 1 | — | 54 | 0 |
| Morgan Brown | 87 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 61 | 0 |
| Ivan Ljubić | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 75 | 0 |
| Garry Rodrigues | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 0 |
| Dani Escriche | 72 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 24 | 0 |
| Brandon Thomas | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 42 | 1 |
| Pedro Marques | 87 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 0 |
| Antreas Shikkis | 25 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 12 | 0 |
| Agapios Vrikkis | 25 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 7 | 0 |
| Lazar Marković | 10 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 1 | 0 |
| Gustavo Assunção | 10 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
AEK Larnaca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zlatan Alomerović | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 25 | 0 |
| Godswill Ekpolo | 84 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 38 | 0 |
| Hrvoje Miličević | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 51 | 0 |
| Valentin Roberge | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 25 | 0 |
| Enric Saborit | 29 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 13 | 0 |
| Ángel García | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 45 | 0 |
| Marcus Rohdén | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 0 |
| Gus Ledes | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 0 |
| Pere Pons | 84 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 34 | 0 |
| Riad Bajić | 84 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 0 |
| Đorđe Ivanović | 76 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 0 |
| Petros Ioannou | 68 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 13 | 0 |
| Waldo Rubio Marín | 21 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 4 | 0 |
| Yahav Gurfinkel | 13 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | — | 2 | 0 |
| Jairo Izquierdo | 13 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 3 | 0 |
| Charalampos Kyriakou | 13 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 3 | 0 |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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