Greece
3/9Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Greece’s results
FriendliesFriendly InternationalTHE MATCH CENTREGreece vs Italy match centre
Full time
0:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
F. Esposito18′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
GreeceItaly
—Expected goals · API-Football—
0Shots on target2
4Total Shots8
52%Ball Possession48%
0Corner Kicks2
6Fouls10
0Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves0
384Total passes342
327Passes accurate294
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Greece 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Italy 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Italy
8/9Wins
2.7Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Italy’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Greece
9 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals7 of 9
Both teams scored5 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SwedenAway · Friendlies2–2ParaguayHome · Friendlies0–1BelarusAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe0–0ScotlandHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe3–2DenmarkAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–3ScotlandAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–3DenmarkHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe0–3BelarusHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe5–1BulgariaHome · Friendlies4–0
Italy
9 matchesResults8 wins · 0 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.7
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals5 of 9
Both teams scored3 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
See results
LuxembourgAway · Friendlies1–0Northern IrelandHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe2–0NorwayHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–4MoldovaAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe2–0IsraelHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe3–0EstoniaAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe3–1IsraelAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe5–4EstoniaHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe5–0MoldovaHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe2–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Greece at home with Italy away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 00:27 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Friendlies · 2026/27 · all league matches
GreeceItaly
2Matches played0
1Points earned0
0Wins0
0.0Goals scored / match—
0.5Goals conceded / match—
1Clean sheets0
2Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Greece at home with Italy away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Greece
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Ivan Jovanović
- 1
O. VlachodimosG - 5
P. RetsosD - 17
P. HatzidiakosD - 3
K. KoulierakisD - 2
G. VagiannidisM - 23
N. TriantisM - 8
C. MouzakitisM - 19
G. KyriakopoulosM - 7
G. MasourasF - 10
C. TzolisF - 9
A. DouvikasF
Substitutes (14)
13 · C. Mandas
12 · K. Tzolakis
24 · A. Androutsos
21 · K. Tsimikas
16 · A. Tetteh
11 · C. Kostoulas
18 · S. Kontouris
6 · D. Kourbelis
14 · V. Pavlidis
4 · K. Mavropanos
15 · L. Rota
25 · A. Ntoi
20 · C. Zafeiris
26 · A. Kyziridis
Italy
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Ivan Gennaro Gattuso
- 1
G. DonnarummaG - 24
H. AhanorD - 15
P. ComuzzoD - 4
F. C. ChiarodiaD - 11
L. KoleoshoM - 5
L. LipaniM - 10
C. NdourM - 3
D. BartesaghiM - 21
N. PisilliF - 18
J. EkhatorF - 9
F. EspositoF
Substitutes (13)
12 · G. Daffara
23 · L. Palmisani
16 · G. Faticanti
14 · T. Berti
6 · F. Mane
20 · M. Dagasso
17 · S. Fini
8 · F. Camarda
19 · S. Inacio
2 · N. Fortini
13 · L. Reggiani
7 · A. Cacciamani
22 · C. Favasuli
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Greece
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odysseas Vlachodimos | 96 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 54 | — |
| Panagiotis Retsos | 96 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 84 | 2 |
| Pantelis Hatzidiakos | 96 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 74 | 2 |
| Konstantinos Koulierakis | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 26 | — |
| Georgios Vagiannidis | 76 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 41 | 1 |
| Nectarios Triantis | 62 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 34 | — |
| Christos Mouzakitis | 76 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 34 | 1 |
| Georgios Kyriakopoulos | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 23 | 1 |
| Giorgos Masouras | 62 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 25 | 2 |
| Christos Tzolis | 88 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 29 | 1 |
| Anastasios Douvikas | 88 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 14 | 1 |
| Lazaros Rota | 51 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 41 | — |
| Kostas Tsimikas | 34 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 16 | — |
| Athanasios Androutsos | 34 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 16 | 1 |
| Alexandros Kyziridis | 34 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 1 |
| Christos Zafeiris | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 1 |
| Andreas Tetteh | 20 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 6 | — |
| Charalampos Kostoulas | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 2 | — |
| Vangelis Pavlidis | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — |
| Konstantinos Tzolakis | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christos Mandas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Konstantinos Mavropanos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dimitris Kourbelis | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sotiris Kontouris | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andreas Ndoj | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Italy
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianluigi Donnarumma | 96 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 27 | — |
| Honest Ahanor | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 25 | 2 |
| Pietro Comuzzo | 55 | 7.6 | — | — | — | 46 | 2 |
| Fabio Chiarodia | 96 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 53 | — |
| Luca Koleosho | 88 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 3 |
| Luca Lipani | 74 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 39 | 3 |
| Cher Ndour | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 46 | 6 |
| Davide Bartesaghi | 96 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 37 | — |
| Niccolò Pisilli | 96 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 39 | 1 |
| Jeff Ekhator | 45 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 1 | 16 | — |
| Francesco Pio Esposito | 87 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 17 | 1 |
| Filippo Mané | 51 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 8 | — |
| Seydou Fini | 29 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 5 | — |
| Luca Reggiani | 13 | 5.0 | — | 0 | — | 3 | 1 |
| Matteo Dagasso | 22 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 5 | 1 |
| Costantino Favasuli | 22 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Francesco Camarda | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Giacomo Faticanti | 8 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 2 | 1 |
| Giovanni Daffara | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lorenzo Palmisani | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Niccolò Fortini | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alessio Cacciamani | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tommaso Berti | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuele Inacio | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Friendlies table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Greece | Draw | Italy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.20 |
Snapshot from 7 Jun 2026, 00:20 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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