Luxembourg
1/9Wins
0.3Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Luxembourg’s results
FriendliesFriendly InternationalTHE MATCH CENTRELuxembourg vs Italy match centre
Full time
0:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
F. Esposito49′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
LuxembourgItaly
—Expected goals · API-Football—
1Shots on target3
8Total Shots15
48%Ball Possession52%
3Corner Kicks7
13Fouls9
0Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves1
406Total passes434
344Passes accurate372
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Luxembourg 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Italy 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Italy
7/9Wins
2.6Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Italy’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Luxembourg
9 matchesResults1 wins · 1 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game0.3
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals2 of 9
Both teams scored1 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
See results
MaltaAway · UEFA Nations League2–0Northern IrelandAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe0–1GermanyHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe0–2SlovakiaAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe0–2GermanyAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe0–4SlovakiaHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe0–1Northern IrelandHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–3Rep. Of IrelandHome · Friendlies0–0SloveniaHome · Friendlies0–1
Italy
9 matchesResults7 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.6
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals6 of 9
Both teams scored3 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Northern IrelandHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe2–0NorwayHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–4MoldovaAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe2–0IsraelHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe3–0EstoniaAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe3–1IsraelAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe5–4EstoniaHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe5–0MoldovaHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe2–0NorwayAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe0–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Luxembourg at home with Italy away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:09 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Friendlies · 2026/27 · all league matches
LuxembourgItaly
0Matches played0
0Points earned0
0Wins0
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Luxembourg at home with Italy away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Luxembourg
Confirmed formation4-5-1Jeff Strasser
- 1
A. MorisG - 18
L. JansD - 2
S. KoracD - 13
D. CarlsonD - 17
Mica Pinto - 15
V. ThillM - 8
C. MartinsM - 19
M. OlesenM - 6
T. de SousaM - 7
F. BohnertM - 10
D. SinaniF
Substitutes (12)
23 · L. Fox
12 · T. Pereira Cardoso
11 · E. Muratovic
3 · E. Mahmutovic
14 · E. Veiga
21 · S. Thill
5 · V. Selimovic
9 · A. Curci
16 · M. Goncalves
4 · D. Duarte
22 · E. Duarte
20 · H. Kadamani
Italy
Confirmed formation4-3-3Ivan Gennaro Gattuso
- 1
G. DonnarummaG - 22
C. FavasuliD - 15
P. ComuzzoD - 4
F. C. ChiarodiaD - 3
D. BartesaghiD - 21
N. PisilliM - 5
L. LipaniM - 10
C. NdourM - 7
L. CherubiniF - 9
F. EspositoF - 11
L. KoleoshoF
Substitutes (14)
12 · G. Daffara
23 · L. Palmisani
16 · G. Faticanti
14 · T. Berti
6 · F. Mane
20 · M. Dagasso
17 · S. Fini
2 · M. Palestra
8 · F. Camarda
19 · S. Inacio
25 · N. Fortini
13 · L. Reggiani
18 · J. Ekhator
24 · H. Ahanor
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Luxembourg
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Moris | 94 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 51 | — |
| Laurent Jans | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 34 | 1 |
| Seid Korać | 94 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 3 |
| Dirk Carlson | 94 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 32 | — |
| Mica Pinto | 67 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 19 | — |
| Vincent Thill | 77 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 32 | 6 |
| Christopher Martins | 94 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 30 | — |
| Mathias Olesen | 86 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 35 | — |
| Tomas de Sousa Moreira | 86 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 24 | — |
| Florian Bohnert | 66 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 17 | 2 |
| Danel Sinani | 86 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 35 | 1 |
| Hamza Kadamani | 28 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 4 | 2 |
| Enes Mahmutović | 27 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 13 | — |
| Sebastien Thill | 17 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 15 | 1 |
| Alessio Curci | 8 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Fernandes Goncalves | 8 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 5 | — |
| Diego Duarte | 8 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 2 | 1 |
| Tiago Pereira Cardoso | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Fox | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vahid Selimović | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eric Veiga | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Enzo Duarte | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edvin Muratović | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Italy
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianluigi Donnarumma | 94 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 31 | — |
| Costantino Favasuli | 67 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 28 | 2 |
| Pietro Comuzzo | 76 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 59 | — |
| Fabio Chiarodia | 94 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 76 | — |
| Davide Bartesaghi | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | 40 | 1 |
| Niccolò Pisilli | 94 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 2 | 37 | 1 |
| Luca Lipani | 76 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 38 | — |
| Cher Ndour | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 2 |
| Luigi Cherubini | 67 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 23 | — |
| Francesco Pio Esposito | 76 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 4 | 19 | — |
| Luca Koleosho | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 33 | — |
| Niccolò Fortini | 27 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 8 | 2 |
| Seydou Fini | 27 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Filippo Mané | 18 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 4 | 1 |
| Matteo Dagasso | 18 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Francesco Camarda | 18 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 3 | — |
| Honest Ahanor | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Samuele Inacio | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giovanni Daffara | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lorenzo Palmisani | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Reggiani | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Palestra | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tommaso Berti | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giacomo Faticanti | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeff Ekhator | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Friendlies table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Luxembourg | Draw | Italy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 6.00 | 3.90 | 1.50 |
Snapshot from 3 Jun 2026, 00:21 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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