Toluca
6/10Wins
2.3Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Toluca’s results
Liga MXClausura - 14THE MATCH CENTREToluca vs Atletico San Luis match centre
28′ · Live
0:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
F. Rossi72′
Joao Pedro Galvao90+7′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
28′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate34.1%Toluca
Draw36.5%at full time
Current result estimate29.5%Atletico San Luis
Another goal78.0%before full time
Next goal: Toluca 41.0% · no further goal 22.0% · Atletico San Luis 37.0%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.TolucaAtletico San Luis
1.100Expected goals · API-Football1.240
0Shots on target0
3Total Shots2
59%Ball Possession41%
—Corner Kicks—
4Fouls2
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
—Goalkeeper Saves—
145Total passes104
128Passes accurate78
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Liga MX, Clausura 2026Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 17 | +17 | 36 | — |
| 2 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | +16 | 36 | — |
| 3 |  Cruz Azul | 17 | +13 | 33 | — |
| 4 | Toluca | 18 | +12 | 31 | ↑ 1 |
| 5 |  CF Pachuca | 17 | +6 | 31 | ↓ 1 |
| 6 |  Atlas | 17 | -2 | 26 | — |
| 7 |  Tigres UANL | 17 | +10 | 25 | — |
| 8 |  Club America | 17 | +3 | 25 | — |
| 9 |  Club Tijuana | 17 | +2 | 23 | — |
| 10 |  Leon | 17 | -10 | 22 | — |
| 11 |  Club Queretaro | 17 | -4 | 20 | — |
| 12 |  Atletico San Luis | 18 | -3 | 19 | ↑ 2 |
| 13 |  FC Juarez | 17 | -6 | 19 | ↓ 1 |
| 14 |  Monterrey | 17 | -2 | 18 | ↓ 1 |
| 15 |  Necaxa | 17 | -6 | 18 | — |
| 16 |  Mazatlán | 17 | -15 | 15 | — |
| 17 |  Puebla | 17 | -13 | 13 | — |
| 18 |  Santos Laguna | 17 | -18 | 12 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Toluca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Atletico San Luis 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Atletico San Luis
3/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Atletico San Luis’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Toluca
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.3
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Los Angeles GalaxyHome · CONCACAF Champions League4–2Club QueretaroAway · Liga MX0–1PachucaAway · Liga MX1–1San DiegoHome · CONCACAF Champions League4–0AtlasHome · Liga MX1–1San DiegoAway · CONCACAF Champions League2–3FC JuarezHome · Liga MX3–1U.N.A.M. - PumasAway · Liga MX3–2Guadalajara ChivasHome · Liga MX2–0NecaxaAway · Liga MX3–0
Atletico San Luis
10 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.9
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Toluca at home with Atletico San Luis away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:50 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Liga MX · 2025/26 · all league matches
TolucaAtletico San Luis
36Matches played30
73Points earned30
21Wins9
1.9Goals scored / match1.5
0.9Goals conceded / match1.7
13Clean sheets6
9Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Toluca at home with Atletico San Luis away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Toluca
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich Antonio
- 1
H. GonzalezG - 2
D. BarbosaD - 3
A. BrisenoD - 13
LuanD - 17
M. IsaisD - 33
V. ArteagaM - 24
F. ArceM - 7
S. CordovaM - 15
P. PerezM - 9
A. VegaM - 27
F. RossiF
Substitutes (10)
22 · L. Garcia
19 · S. Simon
10 · J. Angulo
4 · Bruno Mendez
29 · J. Diaz
8 · N. Castro
5 · F. Romero
23 · O. Virgen
25 · E. del Villar
250 · J. Estrada
Atletico San Luis
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Guillermo Abascal
- 1
A. SanchezG - 2
R. TorresD - 6
JuanpeD - 31
E. AguilaD - 18
A. CruzD - 5
R. MerazM - 21
O. MaciasM - 28
J. MedinaM - 20
L. FloresM - 10
S. Salles-LamongeM - 9
Joao Pedro GalvaoF
Substitutes (10)
34 · G. Lajud
4 · J. Dominguez
3 · Robson Bambu
19 · S. Munoz
15 · Lucas Esteves
11 · D. Rodriguez
17 · A. Duarte
30 · B. Galindo
7 · B. Galdames
14 · M. Garcia
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Toluca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Gonzalez | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 42 | — |
| Diego Barbosa | 45 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 28 | 2 |
| Antonio Briseño | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 68 | 1 |
| Luan Garcia | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 42 | — |
| Mauricio Andre Isais | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 41 | 1 |
| Victor Arteaga | 45 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 1 |
| Fernando Arce Juárez | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 81 | 3 |
| Sebastián Córdova | 63 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 27 | — |
| Pavel Pérez | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 57 | 2 |
| Alexis Vega | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 4 | 46 | 1 |
| Franco Rossi | 75 | 6.3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | — |
| Santiago Simón | 45 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 2 |
| Jorge Díaz | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 11 | — |
| Everardo López | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 38 | — |
| Nicolás Castro | 27 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 19 | — |
| Franco Romero | 15 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | — |
| Jesús Ricardo Angulo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis García | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Méndez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jose Estrada | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oswaldo Virgen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Atletico San Luis
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrés Sánchez | 90 | 8.2 | — | 0 | — | 32 | — |
| Román Torres | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 1 |
| Juanpe | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 56 | — |
| Eduardo Águila | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 49 | 1 |
| Aldo Cruz | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 4 |
| Roberto Meraz | 73 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 1 |
| Oscar Macías | 83 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 1 |
| Jesús Medina | 73 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 21 | 1 |
| Leonardo Flores | 58 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | — |
| Sébastien Salles-Lamonge | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 33 | — |
| João Pedro Galvão | 90 | 6.3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | — |
| Anderson Duarte | 32 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | — |
| David Rodriguez | 17 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Miguel Alonso García | 17 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 1 |
| Santiago Muñoz | 15 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Gibran Lajud | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julio Cesar Dominguez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Esteves | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robson Bambu | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamín Galindo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamín Galdames | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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