Toluca
6/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Toluca’s results
CONCACAF Champions LeagueQuarter-finalsTHE MATCH CENTREToluca vs Los Angeles Galaxy match centre
90′ · Live
4:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
N. Castro12′
Paulinho43′
Paulinho73′
Paulinho86′
Gabriel Pec66′
M. Reus78′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate99.9%Toluca
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Los Angeles Galaxy
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Toluca 4.4% · no further goal 91.9% · Los Angeles Galaxy 3.7%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.TolucaLos Angeles Galaxy
2.250Expected goals · API-Football1.580
6Shots on target3
17Total Shots7
73%Ball Possession27%
6Corner Kicks3
12Fouls8
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves2
693Total passes259
635Passes accurate198
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
Quarter-finalsToluca 4–2 Los Angeles Galaxy
→Current progressionToluca
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Toluca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Los Angeles Galaxy 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Los Angeles Galaxy
3/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Los Angeles Galaxy’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Toluca
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Club QueretaroAway · Liga MX0–1PachucaAway · Liga MX1–1San DiegoHome · CONCACAF Champions League4–0AtlasHome · Liga MX1–1San DiegoAway · CONCACAF Champions League2–3FC JuarezHome · Liga MX3–1U.N.A.M. - PumasAway · Liga MX3–2Guadalajara ChivasHome · Liga MX2–0NecaxaAway · Liga MX3–0Club TijuanaHome · Liga MX1–0
Los Angeles Galaxy
10 matchesResults3 wins · 4 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Minnesota United FCHome · Major League Soccer1–2Portland TimbersAway · Major League Soccer1–1Mount Pleasant AcademyAway · CONCACAF Champions League3–0Sporting Kansas CityHome · Major League Soccer1–2Mount Pleasant AcademyHome · CONCACAF Champions League3–0Colorado RapidsAway · Major League Soccer1–4CharlotteHome · Major League Soccer3–0Sporting San MiguelitoHome · CONCACAF Champions League0–0Sporting San MiguelitoAway · CONCACAF Champions League1–1Real Salt LakeHome · Friendlies Clubs3–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Toluca at home with Los Angeles Galaxy away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:35 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
CONCACAF Champions League · 2026/27 · all league matches
TolucaLos Angeles Galaxy
2Matches played4
3Points earned8
1Wins2
3.0Goals scored / match1.8
1.5Goals conceded / match0.3
1Clean sheets3
0Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Toluca at home with Los Angeles Galaxy away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Toluca
Confirmed formation4-1-3-2Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich Antonio
- 22
L. GarciaG - 19
S. SimonD - 4
Bruno MendezD - 6
F. PereiraD - 20
J. GallardoD - 5
F. RomeroM - 11
HelinhoM - 8
N. CastroM - 9
A. VegaM - 26
PaulinhoF - 10
J. AnguloF
Substitutes (12)
1 · H. Gonzalez
13 · Luan
24 · F. Arce
2 · D. Barbosa
17 · M. Isais
15 · P. Perez
33 · V. Arteaga
3 · A. Briseno
7 · S. Cordova
23 · O. Virgen
25 · E. del Villar
27 · F. Rossi
Los Angeles Galaxy
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Greg Vanney
- 12
J. MarcinkowskiG - 2
M. YamaneD - 25
C. GarcesD - 4
M. YoshidaD - 14
J. NelsonD - 22
E. WynderM - 6
E. CerrilloM - 11
Gabriel PecM - 27
E. ThommyM - 26
H. MillerM - 99
Joao KlaussF
Substitutes (12)
31 · B. Scott
1 · N. Micovic
18 · M. Reus
19 · M. Cuevas
16 · I. Parente
24 · R. Ramos
57 · J. Placias
8 · L. Sanabria
3 · J. Aude
15 · J. Haak
20 · C. Rindov
76 · T. Elgersma
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Toluca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis García | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Santiago Simón | 84 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 60 | 3 |
| Bruno Méndez | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 83 | — |
| Federico Pereira | 44 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 51 | — |
| Jesús Gallardo | 84 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 66 | 1 |
| Franco Romero | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 86 | 2 |
| Helinho | 70 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 55 | — |
| Nicolás Castro | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 64 | 1 |
| Alexis Vega | 84 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 73 | — |
| Paulinho | 90 | 9.5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 1 |
| Jesús Ricardo Angulo | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 45 | — |
| Luan Garcia | 46 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 44 | 1 |
| Everardo López | 20 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 1 |
| Mauricio Andre Isais | 9 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Franco Rossi | 9 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Diego Barbosa | 9 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Oswaldo Virgen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonio Briseño | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Arteaga | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fernando Arce Juárez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastián Córdova | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Gonzalez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pavel Pérez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Los Angeles Galaxy
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Marcinkowski | 90 | 5.6 | — | 0 | — | 32 | — |
| Miki Yamane | 80 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 13 | 6 |
| Carlos Garcés | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 1 |
| Maya Yoshida | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 38 | — |
| John Nelson | 72 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 4 |
| Elijah Wynder | 58 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 1 |
| Edwin Cerrillo | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 2 |
| Gabriel Pec | 90 | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | — |
| Erik Thommy | 80 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 19 | 1 |
| Harbor Miller | 59 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 8 | 2 |
| João Klauss | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 17 | — |
| Marco Reus | 32 | 7.7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | — |
| Justin Haak | 31 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Julián Aude | 18 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1 |
| Mauricio Cuevas | 10 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Lucas Sanabria | 10 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 1 | 1 |
| Chris Rindov | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julian Placias | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ruben Ramos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brady Scott | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Troy Elgersma | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Novak Mićović | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isaiah Parente | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗CONCACAF Champions League table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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