Skip to content
Liga MXClausura - 13THE MATCH CENTRE

Club Queretaro vs Toluca match centre

Club Queretaro badgeClub QueretaroHome · 11 in league
DLLDD
Momentum↗ Rising21/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Toluca badgeTolucaAway · 5 in league
WLDWD
Momentum↗ Rising52/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
A. Avila76′
Estadio La Corregidora · Santiago de QueretaroSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate95.3%Club Queretaro
Draw4.5%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Toluca
Another goal8.2%before full time

Next goal: Club Queretaro 3.4% · no further goal 91.8% · Toluca 4.7%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Club QueretaroToluca
3Corner Kicks7
11Fouls6
1Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
5Goalkeeper Saves3
184Total passes616
116Passes accurate557

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Liga MX, Clausura 2026

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1U.N.A.M. - Pumas17+1736—
2Guadalajara Chivas17+1636—
3Cruz Azul17+1333—
4CF Pachuca17+631—
5Toluca18+1130—
6Atlas17-226—
7Tigres UANL17+1025—
8Club America17+325—
9Club Tijuana17+223—
10Club Queretaro18-323↑ 1
11Leon17-1022↓ 1
12FC Juarez17-619—
13Monterrey17-218—
14Atletico San Luis17-318—
15Necaxa17-618—
16Mazatlán17-1515—
17Puebla17-1313—
18Santos Laguna17-1812—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Club Queretaro 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Toluca 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Club Queretaro

1/10Wins
0.7Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Club Queretaro’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Toluca

6/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Toluca’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Club Queretaro at home with Toluca away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:48 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Liga MX · 2025/26 · all league matches

Club QueretaroToluca
28Matches played35
28Points earned73
7Wins21
1.0Goals scored / match2.0
1.6Goals conceded / match0.9
7Clean sheets13
12Failed to score8

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Club Queretaro at home with Toluca away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Club Queretaro

Confirmed formation4-4-2Eduardo Gonzalez Herrera Esteban
  1. 1J. HernandezG
  2. 22B. DuarteD
  3. 9D. ReyesD
  4. 2L. AbasciaD
  5. 27D. ParraD
  6. 7Jhojan JulioM
  7. 4C. GarciaM
  8. 6S. HomenchenkoM
  9. 37M. CoronelM
  10. 190J. CazaresF
  11. 31A. AvilaF
Substitutes (10)

24 · L. Villegas

10 · L. Rodriguez

17 · F. Venegas

14 · J. Unjanque

12 · J. Gomez

15 · C. Villanueva

26 · E. Perez

55 · M. A. Carcelen Carabali

23 · J. Robles

8 · B. Parra

Toluca

Confirmed formation3-4-3Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich Antonio
  1. 22L. GarciaG
  2. 2D. BarbosaD
  3. 6F. PereiraD
  4. 25E. del VillarD
  5. 11HelinhoM
  6. 8N. CastroM
  7. 5F. RomeroM
  8. 17M. IsaisM
  9. 10J. AnguloF
  10. 26PaulinhoF
  11. 29J. DiazF
Substitutes (10)

1 · H. Gonzalez

13 · Luan

19 · S. Simon

33 · V. Arteaga

3 · A. Briseno

20 · J. Gallardo

9 · A. Vega

4 · Bruno Mendez

7 · S. Cordova

27 · F. Rossi

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Club Queretaro

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
José Hernández756.2———19—
Bayron Duarte757.7———166
Diego Reyes757.2———19—
Lucas Abascia756.9———18—
Daniel Parra756.7———122
Jhojan Julio756.6———112
Carlo Adriano García756.7——111—
Santiago Homenchenko756.9———162
Mateo Coronel756.2———112
Juan Pablo Cázares626.0——18—
Ali Ávila756.9——119—
Francisco Venegas136.3———2—
Juan Eduardo Robles———————
Michael Carcelén———————
Jaime Gomez———————
Jean Unjanque———————
Lucas Rodríguez———————
Eduardo Perez———————
Carlos Villanueva———————
Bernardo Parra———————
Luis Garcia———————

Toluca

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Luis García756.9———24—
Diego Barbosa757.0——1471
Federico Pereira757.3———811
Everardo López757.3———811
Helinho597.2——3302
Nicolás Castro757.5——2721
Franco Romero757.0———73—
Mauricio Andre Isais586.5———27—
Jesús Ricardo Angulo756.3———401
Paulinho756.9——3121
Jorge Díaz726.9———171
Jesús Gallardo176.5——161
Alexis Vega166.3———91
Sebastián Córdova3————1—
Santiago Simón———————
Hugo Gonzalez———————
Franco Rossi———————
Victor Arteaga———————
Antonio Briseño———————
Bruno Méndez———————
Luan Garcia———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

Try it with virtual funds

Open practice slip +

Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗

Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →