VfL Wolfsburg
1/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
2.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect VfL Wolfsburg’s results
BundesligaMatchweek 33THE MATCH CENTREVfL Wolfsburg vs Bayern München match centre
90′ · Live
0:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Olise56′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.1%VfL Wolfsburg
Draw3.8%at full time
Current result estimate96.1%Bayern München
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: VfL Wolfsburg 4.0% · no further goal 91.9% · Bayern München 4.1%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.VfL WolfsburgBayern München
3.070Expected goals · API-Football1.860
5Shots on target9
15Total Shots16
29%Ball Possession71%
5Corner Kicks3
7Fouls5
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
8Goalkeeper Saves5
285Total passes719
216Passes accurate650
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Bundesliga Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 35 | +87 | 92 | — |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | +36 | 73 | — |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | +19 | 65 | — |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | +22 | 62 | — |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | +13 | 61 | — |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | +21 | 59 | — |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | -6 | 47 | — |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | -4 | 44 | — |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | -16 | 43 | — |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | -9 | 40 | — |
| 11 |  Union Berlin | 34 | -14 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | -11 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 34 | -14 | 38 | — |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | -14 | 32 | — |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | -23 | 32 | — |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 35 | -25 | 29 | — |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
| 18 |  FC St. Pauli | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
VfL Wolfsburg 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Bayern München 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Bayern München
7/10Wins
3.2Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 8 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Bayern München’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
VfL Wolfsburg
10 matchesResults1 wins · 3 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game2.1
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SC FreiburgAway · Bundesliga1–1Borussia MönchengladbachHome · Bundesliga0–0Union BerlinAway · Bundesliga2–1Eintracht FrankfurtHome · Bundesliga1–2Bayer LeverkusenAway · Bundesliga3–6Werder BremenHome · Bundesliga0–11899 HoffenheimAway · Bundesliga1–1Hamburger SVHome · Bundesliga1–2VfB StuttgartAway · Bundesliga0–4FC AugsburgHome · Bundesliga2–3
Bayern München
10 matchesResults7 wins · 2 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game3.2
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Paris Saint GermainHome · UEFA Champions League1–11. FC HeidenheimHome · Bundesliga3–3Paris Saint GermainAway · UEFA Champions League4–5FSV Mainz 05Away · Bundesliga4–3Bayer LeverkusenAway · DFB Pokal2–0VfB StuttgartHome · Bundesliga4–2Real MadridHome · UEFA Champions League4–3FC St. PauliAway · Bundesliga5–0Real MadridAway · UEFA Champions League2–1SC FreiburgAway · Bundesliga3–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare VfL Wolfsburg at home with Bayern München away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:08 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
VfL WolfsburgBayern München
31Matches played31
25Points earned82
6Wins26
1.3Goals scored / match3.6
2.1Goals conceded / match1.1
2Clean sheets11
7Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares VfL Wolfsburg at home with Bayern München away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
VfL Wolfsburg
Confirmed formation3-5-2Dieter Hecking
- 1
K. GrabaraG - 6
J. BelocianD - 3
D. VavroD - 4
K. KoulierakisD - 26
S. KumbediM - 39
P. WimmerM - 5
Vini SouzaM - 24
C. EriksenM - 21
J. MaehleM - 11
A. DaghimF - 17
D. PejcinovicF
Substitutes (9)
12 · P. Pervan
31 · Y. Gerhardt
32 · M. Svanberg
15 · M. Jenz
19 · J. Lindstrom
10 · L. Majer
18 · J. Adjetey
25 · A. Zehnter
7 · K. Shiogai
Bayern München
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Vincent Kompany
- 40
J. UrbigG - 44
J. StanisicD - 3
Kim Min-JaeD - 21
H. ItoD - 20
T. BischofD - 6
J. KimmichM - 8
L. GoretzkaM - 17
M. OliseM - 10
J. MusialaM - 11
N. JacksonM - 9
H. KaneF
Substitutes (9)
1 · M. Neuer
14 · L. Diaz
22 · R. Guerreiro
4 · J. Tah
27 · K. Laimer
45 · A. Pavlovic
42 · L. Karl
2 · D. Upamecano
39 · B. Ndiaye
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
VfL Wolfsburg
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamil Grabara | 95 | 8.7 | — | — | — | 27 | — |
| Jeanuël Belocian | 95 | 7.5 | — | — | — | 31 | 5 |
| Denis Vavro | 95 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 1 |
| Konstantinos Koulierakis | 95 | 5.9 | — | — | — | 35 | — |
| Saël Kumbedi | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 27 | 3 |
| Patrick Wimmer | 67 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 2 |
| Vinícius Souza | 74 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 3 |
| Christian Eriksen | 67 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 2 |
| Joakim Mæhle | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 33 | 3 |
| Adam Daghim | 74 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 16 | 1 |
| Dženan Pejčinović | 95 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 31 | — |
| Mattias Svanberg | 28 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 10 | — |
| Lovro Majer | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 8 | 2 |
| Yannick Gerhardt | 21 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Kento Shiogai | 21 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 5 | — |
| Jesper Lindstrøm | 5 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| Pavao Pervan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Zehnter | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Moritz Jenz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonas Adjei Adjetey | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Bayern München
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Urbig | 95 | 8.0 | — | — | — | 35 | — |
| Josip Stanišić | 95 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 73 | 2 |
| Kim Min-jae | 45 | 8.7 | — | — | — | 55 | 1 |
| Hiroki Itō | 84 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 64 | 1 |
| Tom Bischof | 95 | 7.7 | — | — | 2 | 87 | 5 |
| Joshua Kimmich | 95 | 8.3 | — | — | — | 114 | 2 |
| Leon Goretzka | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 2 |
| Michael Olise | 95 | 8.6 | 1 | — | 3 | 81 | — |
| Jamal Musiala | 76 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 1 |
| Nicolas Jackson | 60 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 25 | — |
| Harry Kane | 95 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 1 |
| Dayot Upamecano | 50 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 47 | 2 |
| Konrad Laimer | 50 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 53 | 3 |
| Luis Díaz | 35 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 24 | — |
| Lennart Karl | 19 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 2 |
| Jonathan Tah | 11 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 7 | 1 |
| Manuel Neuer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raphaël Guerreiro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bara Sapoko Ndiaye | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aleksandar Pavlović | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | VfL Wolfsburg | Draw | Bayern München |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 4.75 | 1.57 |
Snapshot from 9 May 2026, 00:02 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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