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Ukraine vs Iceland match centre

Ukraine badgeUkraineHome · 2 in league
LDWWL
Momentum→ Steady49/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:0
UK time · Europe/London
Iceland badgeIcelandAway · 3 in league
WLLDW
Momentum↗ Rising48/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
O. Zubkov83′
O. Gutsulyak90′
Stadion Wojska Polskiego · WarsawSeason 2024/25Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
UkraineIceland
—Corner Kicks—
—Fouls—
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
—Goalkeeper Saves—
—Total passes—
—Passes accurate—

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Ukraine 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Iceland 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Ukraine

5/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
2.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Ukraine’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Iceland

3/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Iceland’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

Ukraine

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results5 wins · 1 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game2.1
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results

Iceland

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results3 wins · 1 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Ukraine at home with Iceland away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:47 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

World Cup - Qualification Europe · 2024/25 · all league matches

UkraineIceland
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Ukraine at home with Iceland away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Ukraine

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Serhii Rebrov
  1. 12A. TrubinG
  2. 2Y. KonoplyaD
  3. 13I. ZabarnyiD
  4. 22M. MatviienkoD
  5. 16V. MykolenkoD
  6. 6I. KaliuzhnyiM
  7. 15V. TsygankovM
  8. 8R. MalinovskyiM
  9. 18Y. YarmolyukM
  10. 20O. ZubkovM
  11. 7V. VanatF
Substitutes (12)

1 · Y. Volynets

23 · D. Riznyk

3 · B. Mykhaylichenko

4 · O. Svatok

5 · V. Bondar

9 · R. Yaremchuk

10 · M. Shaparenko

11 · O. Gutsulyak

14 · T. Mykhavko

17 · Y. Nazaryna

19 · N. Voloshyn

21 · O. Karavaev

Iceland

Confirmed formationPending
  1. 1E. OlafssonG
  2. 4V. PalssonD
  3. 5S. I. IngasonD
  4. 23H. MagnussonD
  5. 14M. E. EllertssonD
  6. 11J. ThorsteinssonM
  7. 9H. HaraldssonM
  8. 8I. JohannessonM
  9. 10A. GudmundssonM
  10. 15B. WillumssonF
  11. 22A. GudjohnsenF
Substitutes (12)

12 · H. R. Valdimarsson

13 · A. Einarsson

2 · L. Tomasson

3 · D. L. Gretarsson

6 · G. Thordarson

7 · J. Gudmundsson

16 · S. T. Thordarson

17 · A. Gunnarsson

18 · A. F. Baldursson

19 · B. Bjarkason

20 · K. Hlynsson

21 · D. T. Gudjohnsen

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Ukraine

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Anatoliy Trubin907.2—0—23—
Yukhym Konoplia907.5—01401
Ilya Zabarnyi907.2—0—62—
Mykola Matviyenko907.2—0—68—
Vitaliy Mykolenko907.2—0—492
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi907.7—1—413
Viktor Tsygankov877.3—01301
Ruslan Malinovskyi776.9—01301
Yehor Yarmolyuk696.6—0—34—
Oleksandr Zubkov877.9105245
Vladyslav Vanat696.9—028—
Mykola Shaparenko216.7—0—15—
Roman Yaremchuk215.9—022—
Oleksii Hutsuliak139.011164
Oleksandr Svatok96.7—0———
Yehor Nazaryna96.7—0———
Yevgen Volynets———————
Dmytro Riznyk———————
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko———————
Valeriy Bondar———————
Taras Mykhavko———————
Oleksandr Karavayev———————
Nazar Voloshyn———————

Iceland

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Elías Ólafsson907.3—0—24—
Victor Pálsson906.9—0141—
Sverrir Ingi Ingason907.2—0—412
Hörður Magnússon906.9—0—522
Mikael Ellertsson866.9—02241
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson866.3—0—212
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson906.0—0—492
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson906.9—0—502
Albert Guðmundsson906.6—0—30—
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson656.3—0125—
Andri Guðjohnsen907.3—0—281
Jóhann Guðmundsson256.9—0—81
Logi Tomasson106.0—0—4—
Daníel Tristan Guðjohnsen106.7—01——
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson———————
Anton Ari Einarsson———————
Daníel Grétarsson———————
Kristian Hlynsson———————
Gisli Thordarson———————
Stefán Teitur Þórðarson———————
Aron Gunnarsson———————
Andri Baldursson———————
Bjarki Steinn Bjarkason———————
2024/25 STANDINGS

World Cup - Qualification Europe table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group D. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1France65101641216
WWDWW
2Ukraine63121011-110
WLWWD
3Iceland6213131127
LWDLL
4Azerbaijan6015316-131
LLLLD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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