Ajax
4/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Ajax’s results
EredivisieMatchweek 33THE MATCH CENTREAjax vs Utrecht match centre
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
W. Weghorst84′
N. Vesterlund81′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate3.9%Ajax
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.7%Utrecht
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Ajax 4.0% · no further goal 92.3% · Utrecht 3.7%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.AjaxUtrecht
—Expected goals · API-Football—
6Shots on target5
14Total Shots12
64%Ball Possession36%
4Corner Kicks6
9Fouls9
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves5
639Total passes355
563Passes accurate292
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
EredivisieProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 33 | +52 | 81 | — |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 33 | +24 | 62 | — |
| 3 |  Twente | 33 | +23 | 58 | — |
| 4 |  NEC Nijmegen | 33 | +23 | 56 | — |
| 5 | Ajax | 34 | +21 | 56 | — |
| 6 |  Utrecht | 34 | +11 | 51 | ↑ 1 |
| 7 |  AZ Alkmaar | 33 | +7 | 51 | ↓ 1 |
| 8 |  Heerenveen | 33 | +4 | 50 | — |
| 9 |  Groningen | 33 | +3 | 45 | — |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -21 | 43 | — |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -12 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 33 | +2 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 33 | -25 | 37 | — |
| 14 |  Excelsior | 33 | -14 | 35 | — |
| 15 |  Telstar | 33 | -7 | 34 | — |
| 16 |  FC Volendam | 33 | -19 | 32 | — |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 33 | -23 | 28 | — |
| 18 |  Heracles | 33 | -49 | 19 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Ajax 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Utrecht 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Utrecht
6/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Utrecht’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Ajax
10 matchesResults4 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
PSV EindhovenHome · Eredivisie2–2NAC BredaAway · Eredivisie2–0HeraclesAway · Eredivisie3–0TwenteHome · Eredivisie1–2FeyenoordAway · Eredivisie1–1Sparta RotterdamHome · Eredivisie4–0GroningenAway · Eredivisie1–3PEC ZwolleAway · Eredivisie0–0NEC NijmegenHome · Eredivisie1–1Fortuna SittardHome · Eredivisie4–1
Utrecht
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Ajax at home with Utrecht away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:37 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Eredivisie · 2025/26 · all league matches
AjaxUtrecht
32Matches played32
55Points earned47
14Wins13
1.9Goals scored / match1.6
1.2Goals conceded / match1.3
9Clean sheets8
2Failed to score6
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Ajax at home with Utrecht away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Ajax
Confirmed formation4-3-3Oscar Garcia Junyent
- 26
M. PaesG - 3
A. GaaeiD - 37
J. SutaloD - 15
Y. BaasD - 2
L. RosaD - 6
Y. RegeerM - 10
O. GloukhM - 24
J. MokioM - 23
S. BerghuisF - 9
K. DolbergF - 11
M. GodtsF
Substitutes (12)
52 · P. Reverson
25 · W. Weghorst
4 · K. Itakura
32 · T. Tomiyasu
17 · O. Edvardsen
43 · R. Bounida
45 · R. van de Pavert
30 · A. Bouwman
48 · S. Steur
18 · D. Klaassen
7 · M. Carrizo
19 · D. Konadu
Utrecht
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ron Jans
- 1
V. BarkasG - 23
N. VesterlundD - 3
M. van der HoornD - 44
M. EerdhuijzenD - 16
S. El KarouaniD - 27
A. EngwandaM - 21
G. ZechielM - 11
J. KarlssonM - 20
D. de WitM - 10
Y. CathlineM - 91
S. HallerF
Substitutes (10)
33 · K. Gadellaa
51 · M. Eppink
24 · N. Viergever
15 · A. Blake
5 · E. Adiele
2 · S. Horemans
9 · D. Min
43 · R. El Arguioui
53 · N. Viereck
57 · P. Kloosterboer
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Ajax
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maarten Paes | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 38 | — |
| Anton Gaaei | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 64 | 6 |
| Josip Šutalo | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 93 | — |
| Youri Baas | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 93 | 1 |
| Lucas Rosa | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 61 | 7 |
| Youri Regeer | 73 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 41 | 1 |
| Oscar Gloukh | 58 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 35 | — |
| Jorthy Mokio | 83 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 54 | 7 |
| Steven Berghuis | 73 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 54 | 2 |
| Kasper Dolberg | 57 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 |
| Mika Godts | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 53 | 1 |
| Wout Weghorst | 33 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | — |
| Davy Klaassen | 32 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 |
| Rayane Bounida | 17 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 1 | 13 | — |
| Sean Steur | 17 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 20 | — |
| Oliver Valaker Edvardsen | 14 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Paul Reverson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Bouwman | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan van de Pavert | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Takehiro Tomiyasu | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ko Itakura | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maher Carrizo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Don-Angelo Konadu | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Utrecht
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasilis Barkas | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 41 | — |
| Niklas Vesterlund | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 1 |
| Mike Van der Hoorn | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 2 |
| Mike Eerdhuijzen | 66 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 29 | 2 |
| Souffian El Karouani | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | 48 | 3 |
| Alonzo Engwanda | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 2 |
| Gjivai Zechiël | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | 42 | 3 |
| Jesper Karlsson | 66 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 |
| Dani De Wit | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 37 | 3 |
| Yoann Cathline | 89 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 3 | 15 | 1 |
| Sébastien Haller | 75 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 21 | — |
| Nick Viergever | 24 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Adrian Blake | 24 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 8 | — |
| David Min | 15 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | — |
| Siebe Horemans | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Mees Eppink | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Gadellaa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Neal Viereck | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Per Kloosterboer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emeka Adeile | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafik El Arguioui | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Ajax | Draw | Utrecht |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 4.20 | 4.50 |
Snapshot from 9 May 2026, 20:08 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST
Open practice slip +Try it with virtual funds
Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗
Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →