Plymouth
6/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Plymouth’s results
League OneMatchweek 43THE MATCH CENTREPlymouth vs Exeter City match centre
90′ · Live
2:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
L. Tolaj79′
M. Boateng90′
R. Cole47′
J. Wareham87′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate4.7%Plymouth
Draw92.4%at full time
Current result estimate2.8%Exeter City
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Plymouth 4.8% · no further goal 92.3% · Exeter City 2.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.PlymouthExeter City
4.750Expected goals · API-Football1.060
10Shots on target2
19Total Shots4
55%Ball Possession45%
10Corner Kicks2
8Fouls14
2Yellow Cards4
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves9
286Total passes237
171Passes accurate123
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
League One: Regular seasonProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lincoln | 46 | +48 | 103 | — |
| 2 |  Cardiff | 46 | +40 | 91 | — |
| 3 |  Stockport County | 46 | +13 | 77 | — |
| 4 |  Bradford | 46 | +7 | 77 | — |
| 5 |  Bolton | 46 | +18 | 75 | — |
| 6 |  Stevenage | 46 | +3 | 75 | — |
| 7 | Plymouth | 47 | +12 | 74 | ↑ 1 |
| 8 |  Luton | 46 | +12 | 74 | ↓ 1 |
| 9 |  Huddersfield | 46 | +10 | 67 | — |
| 10 |  Mansfield Town | 46 | +12 | 65 | — |
| 11 |  Wycombe | 46 | +11 | 63 | — |
| 12 |  Reading | 46 | +4 | 63 | — |
| 13 |  Blackpool | 46 | -11 | 60 | — |
| 14 |  Doncaster | 46 | -19 | 60 | — |
| 15 |  Barnsley | 46 | -5 | 59 | — |
| 16 |  Wigan | 46 | -9 | 56 | — |
| 17 |  Burton Albion | 46 | -10 | 54 | — |
| 18 |  Peterborough | 46 | -4 | 53 | — |
| 19 |  AFC Wimbledon | 46 | -21 | 53 | — |
| 20 |  Leyton Orient | 46 | -12 | 52 | — |
| 21 |  Exeter City | 47 | -9 | 50 | — |
| 22 |  Port Vale | 46 | -25 | 42 | — |
| 23 |  Rotherham | 46 | -30 | 41 | — |
| 24 |  Northampton | 46 | -35 | 35 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Plymouth 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Exeter City 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Exeter City
1/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
2.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Exeter City’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Plymouth
10 matchesResults6 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.1
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
Exeter City
10 matchesResults1 wins · 3 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game2.1
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Plymouth at home with Exeter City away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 04:51 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
League One · 2025/26 · all league matches
PlymouthExeter City
41Matches played42
62Points earned46
19Wins12
1.6Goals scored / match1.1
1.4Goals conceded / match1.3
12Clean sheets13
9Failed to score16
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Plymouth at home with Exeter City away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Plymouth
Confirmed formation4-4-2Tom Cleverley
- 1
C. HazardG - 8
J. EdwardsD - 2
M. RossD - 15
A. MitchellD - 45
W. HardingD - 28
R. CurtisM - 19
M. BoatengM - 7
J. PatersonM - 35
O. DaleM - 9
L. TolajF - 18
O. Oseni
Substitutes (7)
21 · L. Ashby-Hammond
17 · C. Watts
22 · B. Galloway
10 · X. Amaechi
3 · J. MacKenzie
29 · M. Sorinola
24 · C. Roberts
Exeter City
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Dan Green
- 23
J. BycroftG - 2
J. McMillanD - 40
E. JamesD - 26
P. SweeneyD - 21
D. AndrewD - 45
C. CumminsM - 29
K. McDonaldM - 14
I. NiskanenM - 12
R. ColeM - 7
C. MendesM - 9
J. WarehamF
Substitutes (7)
32 · F. Phillips
27 · J. Magennis
10 · J. Aitchison
6 · E. Brierley
20 · L. Woodhouse
3 · R. Rydel
28 · T. Tuterov
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Plymouth
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Hazard | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 42 | — |
| Joe Edwards | 80 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Mathias Ross | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 37 | — |
| Alex Mitchell | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 3 | 36 | 1 |
| Wes Harding | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 1 |
| Ronan Curtis | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 35 | 2 |
| Malachi Boateng | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 3 |
| Jamie Paterson | 57 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 1 |
| Owen Dale | 90 | 8.5 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 1 |
| Lorent Tolaj | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | — |
| Owen Oseni | 56 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 4 | 7 | — |
| Xavier Amaechi | 34 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Caleb Watts | 33 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Jack Mackenzie | 10 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Brendan Galloway | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Caleb Roberts | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Ashby-Hammond | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matthew Sorinola | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Exeter City
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Bycroft | 90 | 8.5 | — | 0 | — | 40 | — |
| Jack McMillan | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 1 |
| Edward James | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 14 | — |
| Pierce Sweeney | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| Danny Andrew | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 20 | — |
| Charlie Cummins | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 27 | 4 |
| Kevin McDonald | 67 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Ilmari Niskanen | 90 | 6.5 | — | 1 | — | 21 | 4 |
| Reece Cole | 77 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | — |
| Carlos Mendes Gomes | 67 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 2 |
| Jayden Wareham | 90 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | — |
| Josh Magennis | 23 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Ryan Rydel | 23 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Jack Aitchison | 13 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Ethan Brierley | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Frankie Phillips | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Woodhouse | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Timur Tutierov | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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