Paris Saint Germain
7/10Wins
2.6Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Paris Saint Germain’s results
Ligue 1Matchweek 33THE MATCH CENTREParis Saint Germain vs Stade Brestois 29 match centre
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
D. Doue82′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate96.8%Paris Saint Germain
Draw3.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Stade Brestois 29
Another goal8.0%before full time
Next goal: Paris Saint Germain 4.7% · no further goal 92.0% · Stade Brestois 29 3.3%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Paris Saint GermainStade Brestois 29
1.250Expected goals · API-Football0.160
6Shots on target2
23Total Shots3
67%Ball Possession33%
11Corner Kicks2
5Fouls11
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves5
646Total passes312
580Passes accurate251
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Ligue 1 Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 35 | +46 | 79 | — |
| 2 |  Lens | 34 | +31 | 70 | — |
| 3 |  Lille | 34 | +15 | 61 | — |
| 4 |  Lyon | 34 | +13 | 60 | — |
| 5 |  Marseille | 34 | +18 | 59 | — |
| 6 |  Rennes | 34 | +9 | 59 | — |
| 7 |  Monaco | 34 | +6 | 54 | — |
| 8 |  Strasbourg | 34 | +11 | 53 | — |
| 9 |  Lorient | 34 | -3 | 45 | — |
| 10 |  Toulouse | 33 | +1 | 44 | — |
| 11 |  Paris FC | 34 | -3 | 44 | — |
| 12 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 35 | -13 | 39 | — |
| 13 |  Angers | 34 | -19 | 36 | — |
| 14 |  Le Havre | 34 | -12 | 35 | — |
| 15 |  Auxerre | 34 | -10 | 34 | — |
| 16 |  Nice | 34 | -23 | 32 | — |
| 17 |  Nantes | 33 | -23 | 23 | — |
| 18 |  Metz | 34 | -44 | 17 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Paris Saint Germain 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Stade Brestois 29 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Stade Brestois 29
3/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Stade Brestois 29’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Paris Saint Germain
10 matchesResults7 wins · 2 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.6
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Bayern MünchenAway · UEFA Champions League1–1LorientHome · Ligue 12–2Bayern MünchenHome · UEFA Champions League5–4AngersAway · Ligue 13–0LyonHome · Ligue 11–2LiverpoolAway · UEFA Champions League2–0LiverpoolHome · UEFA Champions League2–0ToulouseHome · Ligue 13–1NiceAway · Ligue 14–0ChelseaAway · UEFA Champions League3–0
Stade Brestois 29
10 matchesResults3 wins · 3 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Paris Saint Germain at home with Stade Brestois 29 away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:42 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Ligue 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches
Paris Saint GermainStade Brestois 29
31Matches played30
70Points earned38
22Wins10
2.3Goals scored / match1.4
0.9Goals conceded / match1.6
16Clean sheets9
2Failed to score9
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Paris Saint Germain at home with Stade Brestois 29 away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Paris Saint Germain
Confirmed formation4-3-3Enrique Luis
- 89
R. MarinG - 24
S. MayuluD - 5
MarquinhosD - 6
I. ZabarnyiD - 21
L. HernandezD - 27
D. FernandezM - 4
L. BeraldoM - 8
F. RuizM - 19
Lee Kang-InF - 9
G. RamosF - 29
B. BarcolaF
Substitutes (9)
39 · M. Safonov
10 · O. Dembele
17 · Vitinha
87 · J. Neves
7 · K. Kvaratskhelia
14 · D. Doue
49 · I. Mbaye
54 · D. Lucea
42 · D. Boly
Stade Brestois 29
Confirmed formation3-4-3Eric Roy
- 30
G. CoudertG - 71
R. Le GuenD - 24
L. TousartD - 4
J. M. DiazD - 7
J. Dina EbimbeM - 13
J. ChotardM - 8
H. MagnettiM - 27
D. GuindoM - 10
R. Del CastilloF - 19
L. AjorqueF - 23
K. DoumbiaF
Substitutes (9)
1 · R. Majecki
5 · B. Chardonnet
17 · M. Balde
33 · H. Makalou
14 · R. Labeau Lascary
99 · P. Mboup
12 · L. Zogbe
29 · S. Diop
39 · A. Lassus
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Paris Saint Germain
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renato Marin | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 20 | — |
| Senny Mayulu | 90 | 8.7 | — | 0 | 3 | 79 | 4 |
| Marquinhos | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 81 | — |
| Ilya Zabarnyi | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 69 | — |
| Lucas Hernández | 90 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 88 | 2 |
| Dro Fernández | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 61 | 1 |
| Lucas Beraldo | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 65 | 2 |
| Fabián Ruiz | 61 | 7.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 56 | — |
| Kang-in Lee | 53 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 30 | — |
| Gonçalo Ramos | 61 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
| Bradley Barcola | 69 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Désiré Doué | 37 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | — |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 29 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Ousmane Dembélé | 29 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 20 | — |
| João Neves | 21 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 25 | 2 |
| Matvey Safonov | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Boly | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dimitri Lucea | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitinha | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Mbaye | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Stade Brestois 29
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grégoire Coudert | 90 | 9.3 | — | 0 | — | 39 | — |
| Raphaël Le Guen | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 22 | 1 |
| Lucas Tousart | 88 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 1 |
| Michel Diaz | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 38 | 1 |
| Eric Ebimbe | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 30 | 2 |
| Joris Chotard | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 35 | 2 |
| Hugo Magnetti | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 27 | 2 |
| Daouda Guindo | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 27 | 1 |
| Romain Del Castillo | 87 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 38 | 2 |
| Ludovic Ajorque | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 36 | — |
| Kamory Doumbia | 67 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 3 |
| Remy Labeau Lascary | 23 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Mama Baldé | 10 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Hamidou Makalou | 9 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Radosław Majecki | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brendan Chardonnet | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luc Zogbé | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Axel Lassus | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pathé Mboup | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Serigne Diop | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Paris Saint Germain | Draw | Stade Brestois 29 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.18 | 7.50 | 13.00 |
Snapshot from 9 May 2026, 20:22 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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