Bayern München
8/10Wins
3.5Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 8 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Bayern München’s results
UEFA Champions LeagueSemi-finalsTHE MATCH CENTREBayern München vs Paris Saint Germain match centre
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
H. Kane90+4′
O. Dembele3′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate3.6%Bayern München
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.9%Paris Saint Germain
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Bayern München 3.7% · no further goal 92.3% · Paris Saint Germain 4.0%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Bayern MünchenParis Saint Germain
1.400Expected goals · API-Football1.030
5Shots on target7
17Total Shots15
65%Ball Possession35%
1Corner Kicks8
10Fouls12
2Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
6Goalkeeper Saves4
549Total passes296
476Passes accurate211
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
UEFA Champions LeagueProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 8 | +19 | 24 | — |
| 2 | Bayern München | 9 | +14 | 22 | — |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 8 | +12 | 18 | — |
| 4 |  Tottenham | 8 | +10 | 17 | — |
| 5 |  Barcelona | 8 | +8 | 16 | — |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 8 | +7 | 16 | — |
| 7 |  Sporting CP | 8 | +6 | 16 | — |
| 8 |  Manchester City | 8 | +6 | 16 | — |
| 9 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | +10 | 15 | ↑ 2 |
| 10 |  Real Madrid | 8 | +9 | 15 | ↓ 1 |
| 11 |  Inter | 8 | +8 | 15 | ↓ 1 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 8 | +10 | 14 | — |
| 13 |  Juventus | 8 | +4 | 13 | — |
| 14 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | +2 | 13 | — |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 8 | 0 | 13 | — |
| 16 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | -1 | 12 | — |
| 17 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | +2 | 11 | — |
| 18 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 8 | -4 | 11 | — |
| 19 |  Club Brugge KV | 8 | -2 | 10 | — |
| 20 |  Galatasaray | 8 | -2 | 10 | — |
| 21 |  Monaco | 8 | -6 | 10 | — |
| 22 |  Qarabag | 8 | -8 | 10 | — |
| 23 |  Bodo/Glimt | 8 | -1 | 9 | — |
| 24 |  Benfica | 8 | -2 | 9 | — |
| 25 |  Marseille | 8 | -3 | 9 | — |
| 26 |  Pafos | 8 | -3 | 9 | — |
| 27 |  Union St. Gilloise | 8 | -9 | 9 | — |
| 28 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 0 | 8 | — |
| 29 |  Athletic Club | 8 | -5 | 8 | — |
| 30 |  Napoli | 8 | -6 | 8 | — |
| 31 |  FC Copenhagen | 8 | -9 | 8 | — |
| 32 |  Ajax | 8 | -13 | 6 | — |
| 33 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | -11 | 4 | — |
| 34 |  Slavia Praha | 8 | -14 | 3 | — |
| 35 |  Villarreal | 8 | -13 | 1 | — |
| 36 |  Kairat Almaty | 8 | -15 | 1 | — |
Semi-finalsBayern München 1–1 Paris Saint Germain
→Current progressionLevel
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Bayern München 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Paris Saint Germain 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Paris Saint Germain
8/10Wins
3.0Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 8 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Paris Saint Germain’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Bayern München
10 matchesResults8 wins · 1 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game3.5
Goals conceded per game1.9
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
1. FC HeidenheimHome · Bundesliga3–3Paris Saint GermainAway · UEFA Champions League4–5FSV Mainz 05Away · Bundesliga4–3Bayer LeverkusenAway · DFB Pokal2–0VfB StuttgartHome · Bundesliga4–2Real MadridHome · UEFA Champions League4–3FC St. PauliAway · Bundesliga5–0Real MadridAway · UEFA Champions League2–1SC FreiburgAway · Bundesliga3–2Union BerlinHome · Bundesliga4–0
Paris Saint Germain
10 matchesResults8 wins · 1 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game3.0
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
LorientHome · Ligue 12–2Bayern MünchenHome · UEFA Champions League5–4AngersAway · Ligue 13–0LyonHome · Ligue 11–2LiverpoolAway · UEFA Champions League2–0LiverpoolHome · UEFA Champions League2–0ToulouseHome · Ligue 13–1NiceAway · Ligue 14–0ChelseaAway · UEFA Champions League3–0ChelseaHome · UEFA Champions League5–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Bayern München at home with Paris Saint Germain away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:54 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
UEFA Champions League · 2025/26 · all league matches
Bayern MünchenParis Saint Germain
12Matches played14
33Points earned30
11Wins9
3.2Goals scored / match2.8
1.2Goals conceded / match1.2
2Clean sheets5
0Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Bayern München at home with Paris Saint Germain away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Bayern München
3wins5MEETINGS
Paris Saint Germain
2winsMar 2023 – Apr 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Bayern München first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Bayern München
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Vincent Kompany
- 1
M. NeuerG - 27
K. LaimerD - 2
D. UpamecanoD - 4
J. TahD - 44
J. StanisicD - 6
J. KimmichM - 45
A. PavlovicM - 17
M. OliseM - 10
J. MusialaM - 14
L. DiazM - 9
H. KaneF
Substitutes (10)
26 · S. Ulreich
40 · J. Urbig
8 · L. Goretzka
22 · R. Guerreiro
19 · A. Davies
11 · N. Jackson
20 · T. Bischof
42 · L. Karl
3 · Kim Min-Jae
21 · H. Ito
Paris Saint Germain
Confirmed formation4-3-3Enrique Luis
- 39
M. SafonovG - 33
W. Zaire-EmeryD - 5
MarquinhosD - 51
W. PachoD - 25
N. MendesD - 8
F. RuizM - 17
VitinhaM - 87
J. NevesM - 14
D. DoueF - 10
O. DembeleF - 7
K. KvaratskheliaF
Substitutes (12)
80 · B. Laurendon
70 · A. Vignaud
89 · R. Marin
9 · G. Ramos
24 · S. Mayulu
27 · D. Fernandez
21 · L. Hernandez
19 · Lee Kang-In
6 · I. Zabarnyi
29 · B. Barcola
4 · L. Beraldo
49 · I. Mbaye
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Bayern München
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manuel Neuer | 90 | 8.9 | — | 0 | — | 37 | — |
| Konrad Laimer | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 47 | 1 |
| Dayot Upamecano | 85 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 56 | — |
| Jonathan Tah | 68 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 42 | — |
| Josip Stanišić | 67 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 44 | 2 |
| Joshua Kimmich | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 77 | — |
| Aleksandar Pavlović | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 69 | 1 |
| Michael Olise | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 3 | 54 | 1 |
| Jamal Musiala | 79 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 3 | 23 | 1 |
| Luis Díaz | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 36 | 1 |
| Harry Kane | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | — |
| Alphonso Davies | 23 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 1 |
| Kim Min-jae | 22 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Nicolas Jackson | 11 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Lennart Karl | 12 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Sven Ulreich | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonas Urbig | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raphaël Guerreiro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hiroki Itō | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leon Goretzka | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom Bischof | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Paris Saint Germain
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matvey Safonov | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Warren Zaïre-Emery | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 3 |
| Marquinhos | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 1 |
| Willian Pacho | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 4 |
| Nuno Mendes | 85 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 34 | 3 |
| Fabián Ruiz | 76 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 2 |
| Vitinha | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 1 |
| João Neves | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 21 | 4 |
| Désiré Doué | 76 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 4 | 21 | 3 |
| Ousmane Dembélé | 65 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 90 | 8.0 | — | 1 | 2 | 31 | 2 |
| Bradley Barcola | 25 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Lucas Beraldo | 14 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Lucas Hernández | 14 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 2 |
| Senny Mayulu | 12 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Bilal Laurendon | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Renato Marin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arthur Vignaud | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ilya Zabarnyi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dro Fernández | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kang-in Lee | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Ramos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Mbaye | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Bayern München | Draw | Paris Saint Germain |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 5.25 | 4.10 |
Snapshot from 6 May 2026, 04:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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