Union Berlin
2/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Union Berlin’s results
BundesligaMatchweek 28THE MATCH CENTREUnion Berlin vs FC St. Pauli match centre
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
A. Ilic52′
M. Pereira Lage25′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate5.5%Union Berlin
Draw92.7%at full time
Current result estimate1.8%FC St. Pauli
Another goal7.4%before full time
Next goal: Union Berlin 5.6% · no further goal 92.6% · FC St. Pauli 1.8%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Union BerlinFC St. Pauli
1.950Expected goals · API-Football0.330
8Shots on target2
16Total Shots9
55%Ball Possession45%
7Corner Kicks2
9Fouls8
0Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves8
439Total passes374
322Passes accurate260
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Bundesliga Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | +86 | 89 | — |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | +36 | 73 | — |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | +19 | 65 | — |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | +22 | 62 | — |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | +13 | 61 | — |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | +21 | 59 | — |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | -6 | 47 | — |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | -4 | 44 | — |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | -16 | 43 | — |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | -9 | 40 | — |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 35 | -14 | 40 | — |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | -11 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 34 | -14 | 38 | — |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | -14 | 32 | — |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | -23 | 32 | — |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | -24 | 29 | — |
| 17 |  FC St. Pauli | 35 | -31 | 27 | ↑ 1 |
| 18 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | -31 | 26 | ↓ 1 |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Union Berlin 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
FC St. Pauli 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
FC St. Pauli
3/10Wins
0.7Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect FC St. Pauli’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Union Berlin
10 matchesResults2 wins · 2 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game0.8
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Bayern MünchenAway · Bundesliga0–4SC FreiburgAway · Bundesliga1–0Werder BremenHome · Bundesliga1–4Borussia MönchengladbachAway · Bundesliga0–1Bayer LeverkusenHome · Bundesliga1–0Hamburger SVAway · Bundesliga2–3Eintracht FrankfurtHome · Bundesliga1–11899 HoffenheimAway · Bundesliga1–3Borussia DortmundHome · Bundesliga0–3VfB StuttgartAway · Bundesliga1–1
FC St. Pauli
10 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game0.7
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SC FreiburgHome · Bundesliga1–2Borussia MönchengladbachAway · Bundesliga0–2Eintracht FrankfurtHome · Bundesliga0–01899 HoffenheimAway · Bundesliga1–0Werder BremenHome · Bundesliga2–1Bayer LeverkusenAway · Bundesliga0–4VfB StuttgartHome · Bundesliga2–1Bayer LeverkusenAway · DFB Pokal0–3FC AugsburgAway · Bundesliga1–2Hamburger SVHome · Bundesliga0–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Union Berlin at home with FC St. Pauli away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:20 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Union BerlinFC St. Pauli
27Matches played27
31Points earned24
8Wins6
1.1Goals scored / match0.9
1.7Goals conceded / match1.6
6Clean sheets5
8Failed to score11
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Union Berlin at home with FC St. Pauli away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Union Berlin
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Steffen Baumgart
- 1
F. RonnowG - 5
D. DoekhiD - 14
L. QuerfeldD - 4
D. LeiteD - 19
J. HabererM - 13
A. SchaferM - 8
R. KhediraM - 39
D. KohnM - 11
Jeong Woo-YeongF - 23
A. IlicF - 7
O. BurkeF
Substitutes (9)
25 · C. Klaus
28 · C. Trimmel
33 · A. Kral
18 · J. Juranovic
21 · T. Skarke
15 · T. Rothe
10 · I. Ansah
6 · A. Kemlein
9 · L. Burcu
FC St. Pauli
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Alexander Blessin
- 22
N. VasiljG - 25
A. DzwigalaD - 5
H. WahlD - 3
K. MetsD - 11
A. PyrkaM - 20
M. RasmussenM - 7
J. IrvineM - 28
M. Pereira LageM - 10
D. SinaniF - 16
J. FujitaF - 19
M. KaarsF
Substitutes (9)
1 · B. A. Voll
21 · L. Ritzka
4 · D. Nemeth
27 · A. Hountondji
18 · T. Hara
24 · C. Metcalfe
23 · L. Oppie
34 · J. Robatsch
9 · A. Ceesay
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Union Berlin
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederik Rønnow | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 40 | — |
| Danilho Doekhi | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 53 | — |
| Leopold Querfeld | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 75 | 2 |
| Diogo Leite | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 70 | 1 |
| Janik Haberer | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 46 | — |
| András Schäfer | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 37 | 1 |
| Rani Khedira | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 19 | 1 |
| Derrick Köhn | 80 | 8.0 | — | 1 | 2 | 32 | 2 |
| Woo-Yeong Jeong | 73 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 2 |
| Andrej Ilić | 90 | 8.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | — |
| Oliver Burke | 80 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 15 | 1 |
| Alex Král | 17 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Ilyas Ansah | 10 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Tom Rothe | 10 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Aljoscha Kemlein | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carl Klaus | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christopher Trimmel | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Livan Burcu | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josip Juranović | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tim Skarke | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FC St. Pauli
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Vasilj | 90 | 9.2 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Adam Dźwigała | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 31 | 2 |
| Hauke Wahl | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 50 | — |
| Karol Mets | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 48 | 2 |
| Arkadiusz Pyrka | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 36 | 1 |
| Mathias Rasmussen | 89 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 42 | 1 |
| Jackson Irvine | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 42 | 5 |
| Mathias Pereira Lage | 90 | 8.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 2 |
| Danel Sinani | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 33 | 1 |
| Joel Chima Fujita | 73 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 5 |
| Martijn Kaars | 60 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 10 | 3 |
| Andreas Hountondji | 30 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Connor Metcalfe | 17 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Abdoulie Ceesay | 8 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Louis Oppie | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ben Voll | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jannik Thomas Robatsch | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Taichi Hara | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Nemeth | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lars Ritzka | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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