Werder Bremen
3/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Werder Bremen’s results
BundesligaMatchweek 30THE MATCH CENTREWerder Bremen vs Hamburger SV match centre
90′ · Live
3:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Stage37′
J. Stage57′
C. Puertas90+1′
R. Glatzel41′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%Werder Bremen
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Hamburger SV
Another goal7.5%before full time
Next goal: Werder Bremen 5.4% · no further goal 92.5% · Hamburger SV 2.1%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Werder BremenHamburger SV
1.730Expected goals · API-Football0.580
9Shots on target3
17Total Shots11
57%Ball Possession43%
4Corner Kicks3
14Fouls13
4Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves6
427Total passes327
344Passes accurate244
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Bundesliga Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | +86 | 89 | — |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | +36 | 73 | — |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | +19 | 65 | — |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | +22 | 62 | — |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | +13 | 61 | — |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | +21 | 59 | — |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | -6 | 47 | — |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | -4 | 44 | — |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | -16 | 43 | — |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | -9 | 40 | — |
| 11 |  Union Berlin | 34 | -14 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | -11 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 35 | -16 | 38 | — |
| 14 | Werder Bremen | 35 | -21 | 35 | ↑ 1 |
| 15 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | -14 | 32 | ↓ 1 |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | -24 | 29 | — |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
| 18 |  FC St. Pauli | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Werder Bremen 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Hamburger SV 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Hamburger SV
3/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Hamburger SV’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Werder Bremen
10 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
1. FC KölnAway · Bundesliga1–3RB LeipzigHome · Bundesliga1–2VfL WolfsburgAway · Bundesliga1–0FSV Mainz 05Home · Bundesliga0–2Union BerlinAway · Bundesliga4–11. FC HeidenheimHome · Bundesliga2–0FC St. PauliAway · Bundesliga1–2Bayern MünchenHome · Bundesliga0–3SC FreiburgAway · Bundesliga0–1Borussia MönchengladbachHome · Bundesliga1–1
Hamburger SV
10 matchesResults3 wins · 4 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
VfB StuttgartAway · Bundesliga0–4FC AugsburgHome · Bundesliga1–1Borussia DortmundAway · Bundesliga2–31. FC KölnHome · Bundesliga1–1VfL WolfsburgAway · Bundesliga2–1RB LeipzigHome · Bundesliga1–2FSV Mainz 05Away · Bundesliga1–1Union BerlinHome · Bundesliga3–21. FC HeidenheimAway · Bundesliga2–0Bayern MünchenHome · Bundesliga2–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Werder Bremen at home with Hamburger SV away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:22 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Werder BremenHamburger SV
29Matches played29
28Points earned31
7Wins7
1.1Goals scored / match1.1
1.8Goals conceded / match1.5
6Clean sheets6
11Failed to score10
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Werder Bremen at home with Hamburger SV away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Werder Bremen
Confirmed formation4-5-1Daniel Thioune
- 30
Mio BackhausG - 3
Yukinari SugawaraD - 5
Amos PieperD - 31
Karim CoulibalyD - 2
Olivier DemanD - 11
Justin NjinmahM - 6
Jens StageM - 14
Senne LynenM - 18
Cameron PuertasM - 20
Romano SchmidM - 19
Jovan MiloševićF
Substitutes (9)
25 · Markus Kolke
4 · Niklas Stark
23 · Isaac Schmidt
39 · Maximilian Wöber
10 · Leonardo Bittencourt
24 · Patrice Čović
7 · Samuel Mbangula
29 · Salim Musah
17 · Marco Grüll
Hamburger SV
Confirmed formation3-4-1-2Merlin Polzin
- 1
Daniel FernandesG - 24
Nicolás CapaldoD - 25
Jordan TorunarighaD - 17
Warmed OmariD - 2
William MikelbrencisM - 21
Nicolai RembergM - 23
Albert GrønbækM - 28
Miro MuheimM - 20
Fábio VieiraF - 9
Robert GlatzelF - 11
Ransford Yeboah KönigsdörfferF
Substitutes (9)
12 · Sander Tangvik
8 · Daniel Elfadli
43 · Shafiq Nandja
16 · Giorgi Gocholeishvili
27 · Philip Otele
18 · Bakery Jatta
19 · Damion Downs
14 · Rayan Philippe
49 · Otto Stange
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Werder Bremen
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mio Backhaus | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Yukinari Sugawara | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | 33 | 2 |
| Amos Pieper | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 53 | — |
| Karim Coulibaly | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 61 | 2 |
| Olivier Deman | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 49 | 5 |
| Senne Lynen | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 50 | 4 |
| Justin Njinmah | 89 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 3 | 19 | 2 |
| Jens Stage | 67 | 8.5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | — |
| Cameron Puertas | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 49 | 3 |
| Romano Schmid | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 4 | 48 | 3 |
| Jovan Milošević | 60 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Marco Grüll | 30 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 1 |
| Leonardo Bittencourt | 23 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 10 | — |
| Niklas Stark | 14 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Markus Kolke | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isaac Schmidt | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maximilian Wöber | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Patrice Čović | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel Mbangula | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Salim Musah | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Hamburger SV
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Fernandes | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 52 | — |
| Nicolás Capaldo | 83 | 6.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 31 | 4 |
| Jordan Torunarigha | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 43 | — |
| Warmed Omari | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 41 | 4 |
| William Mikelbrencis | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 |
| Nicolai Remberg | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 48 | — |
| Albert Grønbæk | 66 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 3 |
| Miro Muheim | 75 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 2 |
| Fábio Vieira | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 36 | 1 |
| Robert Glatzel | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 1 |
| Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer | 75 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| Philip Otele | 13 | 4.9 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Bakery Jatta | 15 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Otto Stange | 15 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | — |
| Damion Downs | 20 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Sander Tangvik | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Elfadli | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Shafiq Nandja | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giorgi Gocholeishvili | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayan Philippe | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Werder Bremen | Draw | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.75 |
Snapshot from 17 Apr 2026, 21:30 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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