VfB Stuttgart
4/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect VfB Stuttgart’s results
BundesligaMatchweek 29THE MATCH CENTREVfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV match centre
82′ · Live
3:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
A. Stiller21′
C. Fuhrich32′
M. Mittelstadt56′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
82′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%VfB Stuttgart
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Hamburger SV
Another goal28.0%before full time
Next goal: VfB Stuttgart 16.4% · no further goal 72.0% · Hamburger SV 11.6%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.VfB StuttgartHamburger SV
3.640Expected goals · API-Football0.610
11Shots on target3
23Total Shots7
65%Ball Possession35%
8Corner Kicks1
9Fouls13
1Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves8
483Total passes256
409Passes accurate190
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Bundesliga Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | +86 | 89 | — |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | +36 | 73 | — |
| 3 | VfB Stuttgart | 35 | +25 | 65 | ↑ 1 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | +19 | 65 | ↓ 1 |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | +13 | 61 | — |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | +21 | 59 | — |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | -6 | 47 | — |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | -4 | 44 | — |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | -16 | 43 | — |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | -9 | 40 | — |
| 11 |  Union Berlin | 34 | -14 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | -11 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 35 | -17 | 38 | — |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | -14 | 32 | — |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | -23 | 32 | — |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | -24 | 29 | — |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
| 18 |  FC St. Pauli | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
VfB Stuttgart 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Hamburger SV 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Hamburger SV
3/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Hamburger SV’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
VfB Stuttgart
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Borussia DortmundHome · Bundesliga0–2FC AugsburgAway · Bundesliga5–2FC PortoAway · UEFA Europa League0–2RB LeipzigHome · Bundesliga1–0FC PortoHome · UEFA Europa League1–2FSV Mainz 05Away · Bundesliga2–2VfL WolfsburgHome · Bundesliga4–0CelticHome · UEFA Europa League0–11. FC HeidenheimAway · Bundesliga3–3CelticAway · UEFA Europa League4–1
Hamburger SV
10 matchesResults3 wins · 5 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FC AugsburgHome · Bundesliga1–1Borussia DortmundAway · Bundesliga2–31. FC KölnHome · Bundesliga1–1VfL WolfsburgAway · Bundesliga2–1RB LeipzigHome · Bundesliga1–2FSV Mainz 05Away · Bundesliga1–1Union BerlinHome · Bundesliga3–21. FC HeidenheimAway · Bundesliga2–0Bayern MünchenHome · Bundesliga2–2FC St. PauliAway · Bundesliga0–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare VfB Stuttgart at home with Hamburger SV away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:52 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
VfB StuttgartHamburger SV
28Matches played28
53Points earned31
16Wins7
2.0Goals scored / match1.1
1.4Goals conceded / match1.5
10Clean sheets6
3Failed to score9
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares VfB Stuttgart at home with Hamburger SV away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
VfB Stuttgart
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Sebastian Hoeness
- 33
A. NubelG - 22
L. AssignonD - 3
R. HendriksD - 24
J. ChabotD - 7
M. MittelstadtD - 30
C. AndresM - 6
A. StillerM - 18
J. LewelingM - 26
D. UndavM - 10
C. FuhrichM - 9
E. DemirovicF
Substitutes (9)
1 · F. Bredlow
23 · D. Zagadou
28 · N. Nartey
4 · J. Vagnoman
8 · T. Tomas
14 · L. Jaquez
11 · B. El Khannouss
29 · F. Jeltsch
25 · Jeremy Arevalo
Hamburger SV
Confirmed formation3-4-1-2Merlin Polzin
- 1
D. Heuer FernandesG - 17
W. OmariD - 25
J. TorunarighaD - 8
D. ElfadliD - 2
W. MikelbrencisM - 23
A. GronbaekM - 21
N. RembergM - 45
F. BaldeM - 20
F. VieiraF - 11
R. KonigsdorfferF - 14
R. PhilippeF
Substitutes (9)
40 · H. Hermann
19 · D. Downs
49 · O. Stange
9 · R. Glatzel
16 · G. Gocholeishvili
3 · N. Katterbach
24 · N. Capaldo
27 · P. Otele
43 · S. Nandja
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
VfB Stuttgart
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Nübel | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Lorenz Assignon | 88 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 1 |
| Ramon Hendriks | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 58 | 1 |
| Jeff Chabot | 90 | 8.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 73 | 2 |
| Maximilian Mittelstädt | 90 | 9.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 63 | 4 |
| Chema Andrés | 70 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 35 | — |
| Angelo Stiller | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 78 | 2 |
| Jamie Leweling | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | 26 | — |
| Deniz Undav | 88 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 4 | 39 | — |
| Chris Führich | 70 | 8.9 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 1 |
| Ermedin Demirović | 70 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 16 | — |
| Tiago Tomás | 20 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Bilal El Khannouss | 20 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 |
| Nikolas Nartey | 20 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Jeremy Arevalo | 2 | — | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Josha Vagnoman | 2 | — | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Finn Jeltsch | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dan-Axel Zagadou | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabian Bredlow | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Jaquez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Hamburger SV
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Heuer Fernandes | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 57 | — |
| Warmed Omari | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 1 |
| Jordan Torunarigha | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 1 |
| Daniel Elfadli | 72 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 2 |
| William Mikelbrencis | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 4 |
| Albert Grønbæk | 60 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 1 |
| Nicolai Remberg | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 38 | — |
| Fabio Baldé | 72 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 17 | 2 |
| Fábio Vieira | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 28 | — |
| Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 4 | 13 | — |
| Rayan Philippe | 60 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| Robert Glatzel | 30 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Otto Stange | 30 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 5 | — |
| Giorgi Gocholeishvili | 18 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Nicolás Capaldo | 18 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Noah Katterbach | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hannes Hermann | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Damion Downs | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Shafiq Nandja | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Philip Otele | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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