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BundesligaMatchweek 32THE MATCH CENTRE

Bayern München vs 1. FC Heidenheim match centre

Bayern München badgeBayern MünchenHome · 1 in league
WWWWW
Momentum↑ Strong100/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:3
UK time · Europe/London
1. FC Heidenheim badge1. FC HeidenheimAway · 17 in league
LLLDD
Momentum↗ Rising16/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
L. Goretzka44′
L. Goretzka57′
B. Zivzivadze22′
E. Dinkci31′
B. Zivzivadze76′
Allianz Arena · MunichSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.1%Bayern München
Draw4.4%at full time
Current result estimate95.4%1. FC Heidenheim
Another goal8.2%before full time

Next goal: Bayern München 4.6% · no further goal 91.8% · 1. FC Heidenheim 3.5%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Bayern München1. FC Heidenheim
11Corner Kicks5
6Fouls7
3Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves3
655Total passes226
585Passes accurate154

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Bundesliga

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Bayern München35+8589—
2Borussia Dortmund34+3673—
3RB Leipzig34+1965—
4VfB Stuttgart34+2262—
51899 Hoffenheim34+1361—
6Bayer Leverkusen34+2159—
7SC Freiburg34-647—
8Eintracht Frankfurt34-444—
9FC Augsburg34-1643—
10FSV Mainz 0534-940—
11Union Berlin34-1439—
12Borussia Mönchengladbach34-1138—
13Hamburger SV34-1438—
141. FC Köln34-1432—
15Werder Bremen34-2332—
16VfL Wolfsburg34-2429—
171. FC Heidenheim35-3029—
18FC St. Pauli34-3126—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Bayern München 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

1. FC Heidenheim 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

1. FC Heidenheim

2/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect 1. FC Heidenheim’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Bayern München at home with 1. FC Heidenheim away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:49 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches

Bayern München1. FC Heidenheim
31Matches played31
82Points earned22
26Wins5
3.6Goals scored / match1.1
1.1Goals conceded / match2.2
11Clean sheets1
0Failed to score11

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Bayern München at home with 1. FC Heidenheim away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Bayern München

Confirmed formation4-3-1-2Vincent Kompany
  1. 40J. UrbigG
  2. 44J. StanisicD
  3. 3Kim Min-JaeD
  4. 4J. TahD
  5. 21H. ItoD
  6. 45A. PavlovicM
  7. 39B. NdiayeM
  8. 27K. LaimerM
  9. 8L. GoretzkaM
  10. 11N. JacksonF
  11. 10J. MusialaF
Substitutes (9)

1 · M. Neuer

14 · L. Diaz

19 · A. Davies

17 · M. Olise

20 · T. Bischof

9 · H. Kane

6 · J. Kimmich

2 · D. Upamecano

43 · F. Pavic

1. FC Heidenheim

Confirmed formation3-4-3Frank Schmidt
  1. 41D. RamajG
  2. 2M. BuschD
  3. 6P. MainkaD
  4. 19J. FohrenbachD
  5. 8E. DinkciM
  6. 3J. SchoppnerM
  7. 30N. DorschM
  8. 26H. BehrensM
  9. 18M. PieringerF
  10. 11B. ZivzivadzeF
  11. 22A. IbrahimovicF
Substitutes (9)

40 · F. Feller

9 · S. Schimmer

29 · M. Kaufmann

4 · T. Siersleben

25 · L. Stergiou

21 · A. Beck

23 · O. H. Traore

16 · J. Niehues

20 · L. Kerber

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Bayern München

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Jonas Urbig906.9—0—26—
Josip Stanišić456.2—0—24—
Kim Min-jae906.6—01942
Jonathan Tah776.6—0—861
Hiroki Itō906.3—01751
Aleksandar Pavlović456.5—0—40—
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye456.5—0—381
Konrad Laimer906.7—0—46—
Leon Goretzka909.0204561
Nicolas Jackson906.3—02331
Jamal Musiala456.6—0118—
Joshua Kimmich456.6—0250—
Michael Olise459.611239—
Luis Díaz456.7—0224—
Harry Kane456.7—0—10—
Alphonso Davies136.9—1—16—
Manuel Neuer———————
Dayot Upamecano———————
Filip Pavić———————
Tom Bischof———————

1. FC Heidenheim

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Diant Ramaj906.2—0—41—
Marnon Busch907.6—2—15—
Patrick Mainka906.3—02161
Jonas Föhrenbach906.3—0—193
Eren Dinkçi907.2103251
Jan Schöppner906.7—0—172
Niklas Dorsch897.0—0—214
Hennes Behrens906.7—01161
Marvin Pieringer776.3—0—192
Budu Zivzivadze818.3202152
Arijon Ibrahimović817.2—1—201
Stefan Schimmer136.3—0—1—
Luca Kerber96.3—0——2
Mikkel Kaufmann96.7—0—4—
Tim Siersleben126.5—0———
Frank Feller———————
Leonidas Stergiou———————
Omar Haktab Traore———————
Adrian Beck———————
Julian Niehues———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerBayern MünchenDraw1. FC Heidenheim
Bet3651.257.009.50

Snapshot from 1 May 2026, 21:28 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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