SC Freiburg
4/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect SC Freiburg’s results
BundesligaMatchweek 28THE MATCH CENTRESC Freiburg vs Bayern München match centre
90′ · Live
2:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Manzambi46′
L. Holer71′
T. Bischof81′
T. Bischof90+2′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate3.3%SC Freiburg
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate4.3%Bayern München
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: SC Freiburg 3.4% · no further goal 92.3% · Bayern München 4.3%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.SC FreiburgBayern München
1.820Expected goals · API-Football2.800
4Shots on target8
11Total Shots20
29%Ball Possession71%
5Corner Kicks8
9Fouls13
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
6Goalkeeper Saves2
241Total passes623
179Passes accurate552
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Bundesliga Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 35 | +86 | 90 | — |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | +36 | 73 | — |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | +19 | 65 | — |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | +22 | 62 | — |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | +13 | 61 | — |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | +21 | 59 | — |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 35 | -6 | 48 | — |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | -4 | 44 | — |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | -16 | 43 | — |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | -9 | 40 | — |
| 11 |  Union Berlin | 34 | -14 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | -11 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 34 | -14 | 38 | — |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | -14 | 32 | — |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | -23 | 32 | — |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | -24 | 29 | — |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
| 18 |  FC St. Pauli | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
SC Freiburg 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Bayern München 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Bayern München
9/10Wins
3.5Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 6 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Bayern München’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
SC Freiburg
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FC St. PauliAway · Bundesliga2–1GenkHome · UEFA Europa League5–1Union BerlinHome · Bundesliga0–1GenkAway · UEFA Europa League0–1Bayer LeverkusenHome · Bundesliga3–3Eintracht FrankfurtAway · Bundesliga0–2Borussia MönchengladbachHome · Bundesliga2–11899 HoffenheimAway · Bundesliga0–3Hertha BSCAway · DFB Pokal0–0Werder BremenHome · Bundesliga1–0
Bayern München
10 matchesResults9 wins · 1 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game3.5
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Union BerlinHome · Bundesliga4–0AtalantaHome · UEFA Champions League4–1Bayer LeverkusenAway · Bundesliga1–1AtalantaAway · UEFA Champions League6–1Borussia MönchengladbachHome · Bundesliga4–1Borussia DortmundAway · Bundesliga3–2Eintracht FrankfurtHome · Bundesliga3–2Werder BremenAway · Bundesliga3–0RB LeipzigHome · DFB Pokal2–01899 HoffenheimHome · Bundesliga5–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare SC Freiburg at home with Bayern München away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:43 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
SC FreiburgBayern München
27Matches played27
37Points earned70
10Wins22
1.4Goals scored / match3.6
1.6Goals conceded / match0.9
5Clean sheets10
8Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares SC Freiburg at home with Bayern München away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
SC Freiburg
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Julian Schuster
- 1
N. AtuboluG - 29
P. TreuD - 28
M. GinterD - 3
P. LienhartD - 30
C. GunterD - 8
M. EggesteinM - 44
J. ManzambiM - 19
J. BesteM - 14
Y. SuzukiM - 7
D. ScherhantM - 9
L. HolerF
Substitutes (9)
21 · F. Muller
27 · N. Hofler
32 · V. Grifo
17 · L. Kubler
26 · M. Philipp
31 · I. Matanovic
43 · B. Ogbus
5 · A. Jung
22 · C. Irie
Bayern München
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Vincent Kompany
- 1
M. NeuerG - 44
J. StanisicD - 3
Kim Min-JaeD - 4
J. TahD - 20
T. BischofD - 6
J. KimmichM - 8
L. GoretzkaM - 42
L. KarlM - 22
R. GuerreiroM - 14
L. DiazM - 7
S. GnabryF
Substitutes (9)
40 · J. Urbig
27 · K. Laimer
19 · A. Davies
17 · M. Olise
45 · A. Pavlovic
2 · D. Upamecano
21 · H. Ito
10 · J. Musiala
49 · M. Cardozo
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
SC Freiburg
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Atubolu | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 42 | — |
| Philipp Treu | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 27 | 2 |
| Matthias Ginter | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 3 |
| Philipp Lienhart | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 33 | 4 |
| Christian Günter | 65 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 1 |
| Maximilian Eggestein | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 1 |
| Johan Manzambi | 78 | 8.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 1 |
| Jan-Niklas Beste | 78 | 8.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 18 | 5 |
| Yuito Suzuki | 89 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 1 |
| Derry Scherhant | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 10 | 1 |
| Lucas Höler | 89 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 2 |
| Lukas Kübler | 25 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 3 | 1 |
| Igor Matanović | 12 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Cyriaque Irié | 12 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Bruno Ogbus | 12 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 2 |
| Nicolas Höfler | 11 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Anthony Jung | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vincenzo Grifo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maximilian Philipp | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Florian Müller | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Bayern München
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manuel Neuer | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 48 | — |
| Josip Stanišić | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 57 | 1 |
| Min-jae Kim | 87 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 58 | 1 |
| Jonathan Tah | 56 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 53 | 2 |
| Tom Bischof | 90 | 8.6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 52 | 1 |
| Joshua Kimmich | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 84 | 3 |
| Leon Goretzka | 56 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Lennart Karl | 90 | 6.9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 39 | 2 |
| Raphaël Guerreiro | 56 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Luis Díaz | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 45 | 1 |
| Serge Gnabry | 65 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 32 | 2 |
| Konrad Laimer | 34 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 27 | 1 |
| Michael Olise | 34 | 5.9 | — | 1 | 2 | 33 | — |
| Aleksandar Pavlović | 34 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 40 | 1 |
| Jamal Musiala | 25 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 14 | — |
| Alphonso Davies | 14 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 7 | — |
| Dayot Upamecano | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonas Urbig | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hiroki Itō | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maycon Cardozo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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