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DFB PokalSemi-finalsTHE MATCH CENTRE

Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern München match centre

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DLDWW
Momentum↗ Rising60/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:1
UK time · Europe/London
Bayern München badgeBayern MünchenAway
WWWWW
Momentum↑ Strong100/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
H. Kane22′
BayArena · LeverkusenSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.1%Bayer Leverkusen
Draw3.0%at full time
Current result estimate96.9%Bayern München
Another goal8.0%before full time

Next goal: Bayer Leverkusen 3.1% · no further goal 92.0% · Bayern München 4.9%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Bayer LeverkusenBayern München
3Corner Kicks6
11Fouls17
2Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
7Goalkeeper Saves1
495Total passes564
425Passes accurate499

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

Semi-finalsBayer Leverkusen 0–1 Bayern München
Current progressionBayern München
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Bayer Leverkusen 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Bayern München 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Bayern München

9/10Wins
3.7Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 8 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Bayern München’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Bayer Leverkusen at home with Bayern München away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:24 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

DFB Pokal · 2025/26 · all league matches

Bayer LeverkusenBayern München
4Matches played4
12Points earned12
4Wins4
3.0Goals scored / match3.0
0.5Goals conceded / match1.3
3Clean sheets1
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Bayer Leverkusen at home with Bayern München away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Bayer Leverkusen

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Kasper Hjulmand
  1. 1M. FlekkenG
  2. 4J. QuansahD
  3. 8R. AndrichD
  4. 12E. TapsobaD
  5. 21LucasM
  6. 25E. PalaciosM
  7. 24A. GarciaM
  8. 20A. GrimaldoM
  9. 30I. MazaF
  10. 23N. TellaF
  11. 14P. SchickF
Substitutes (9)

28 · J. Blaswich

6 · E. Fernandez

5 · L. Bade

15 · T. Oermann

7 · J. Hofmann

10 · M. Tillman

19 · E. Poku

17 · E. Ben Seghir

42 · M. Culbreath

Bayern München

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Vincent Kompany
  1. 1M. NeuerG
  2. 44J. StanisicD
  3. 2D. UpamecanoD
  4. 4J. TahD
  5. 27K. LaimerD
  6. 6J. KimmichM
  7. 45A. PavlovicM
  8. 17M. OliseM
  9. 10J. MusialaM
  10. 14L. DiazM
  11. 9H. KaneF
Substitutes (9)

40 · J. Urbig

8 · L. Goretzka

22 · R. Guerreiro

19 · A. Davies

11 · N. Jackson

3 · Kim Min-Jae

21 · H. Ito

34 · D. Ofli

39 · B. Ndiaye

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Bayer Leverkusen

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Mark Flekken909.3—0—31—
Jarell Quansah906.0—0—56—
Robert Andrich847.5—0—451
Edmond Tapsoba906.9—0—691
Lucas Vazquez396.6—0—9—
Exequiel Palacios907.3—0—765
Aleix García907.3—0—77—
Alejandro Grimaldo906.9—0—623
Ibrahim Maza906.9—0—261
Nathan Tella776.7—0117—
Patrik Schick906.2—01141
Ernest Poku516.9—0—152
Montrell Culbreath136.5—0—10—
Malik Tillman106.5—0—11
Janis Blaswich———————
Loïc Badé———————
Tim Oermann———————
Ezequiel Fernández———————
Eliesse Ben Seghir———————
Jonas Hofmann———————

Bayern München

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Manuel Neuer907.5—0—27—
Josip Stanišić906.5—02481
Dayot Upamecano907.3—01564
Jonathan Tah907.3—0—511
Konrad Laimer746.3—0—392
Joshua Kimmich907.6—011122
Aleksandar Pavlović736.7—0—671
Michael Olise907.3—0166—
Jamal Musiala846.9—11362
Luis Díaz908.3104362
Harry Kane907.9105221
Leon Goretzka176.9—1110—
Alphonso Davies166.7—0—71
Min-jae Kim106.9—0—3—
Jonas Urbig———————
Hiroki Itō———————
Deniz Ofli———————
Raphael Guerreiro———————
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye———————
Nicolas Jackson———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

DFB Pokal table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerBayer LeverkusenDrawBayern München
Bet3654.755.001.50

Snapshot from 21 Apr 2026, 21:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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