Bayern München
8/10Wins
3.1Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Bayern München’s results
UEFA Champions LeagueRound of 16THE MATCH CENTREBayern München vs Atalanta match centre
90′ · Live
4:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
H. Kane25′ (pen)
H. Kane54′
L. Karl56′
L. Diaz70′
L. Samardzic86′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%Bayern München
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Atalanta
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Bayern München 4.0% · no further goal 91.9% · Atalanta 4.1%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Bayern MünchenAtalanta
3.610Expected goals · API-Football2.300
8Shots on target8
24Total Shots13
71%Ball Possession29%
5Corner Kicks3
8Fouls4
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
7Goalkeeper Saves4
827Total passes331
771Passes accurate280
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
UEFA Champions LeagueProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 8 | +19 | 24 | — |
| 2 | Bayern München | 9 | +17 | 24 | — |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 8 | +12 | 18 | — |
| 4 |  Tottenham | 8 | +10 | 17 | — |
| 5 |  Barcelona | 8 | +8 | 16 | — |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 8 | +7 | 16 | — |
| 7 |  Sporting CP | 8 | +6 | 16 | — |
| 8 |  Manchester City | 8 | +6 | 16 | — |
| 9 |  Real Madrid | 8 | +9 | 15 | — |
| 10 |  Inter | 8 | +8 | 15 | — |
| 11 |  Paris Saint Germain | 8 | +10 | 14 | — |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 8 | +10 | 14 | — |
| 13 |  Juventus | 8 | +4 | 13 | — |
| 14 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | +2 | 13 | — |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 9 | -3 | 13 | — |
| 16 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | -1 | 12 | — |
| 17 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | +2 | 11 | — |
| 18 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 8 | -4 | 11 | — |
| 19 |  Club Brugge KV | 8 | -2 | 10 | — |
| 20 |  Galatasaray | 8 | -2 | 10 | — |
| 21 |  Monaco | 8 | -6 | 10 | — |
| 22 |  Qarabag | 8 | -8 | 10 | — |
| 23 |  Bodo/Glimt | 8 | -1 | 9 | — |
| 24 |  Benfica | 8 | -2 | 9 | — |
| 25 |  Marseille | 8 | -3 | 9 | — |
| 26 |  Pafos | 8 | -3 | 9 | — |
| 27 |  Union St. Gilloise | 8 | -9 | 9 | — |
| 28 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 0 | 8 | — |
| 29 |  Athletic Club | 8 | -5 | 8 | — |
| 30 |  Napoli | 8 | -6 | 8 | — |
| 31 |  FC Copenhagen | 8 | -9 | 8 | — |
| 32 |  Ajax | 8 | -13 | 6 | — |
| 33 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | -11 | 4 | — |
| 34 |  Slavia Praha | 8 | -14 | 3 | — |
| 35 |  Villarreal | 8 | -13 | 1 | — |
| 36 |  Kairat Almaty | 8 | -15 | 1 | — |
Round of 16Bayern München 4–1 Atalanta
→Current progressionBayern München
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Bayern München 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Atalanta 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Atalanta
4/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Atalanta’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Bayern München
10 matchesResults8 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game3.1
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Bayer LeverkusenAway · Bundesliga1–1AtalantaAway · UEFA Champions League6–1Borussia MönchengladbachHome · Bundesliga4–1Borussia DortmundAway · Bundesliga3–2Eintracht FrankfurtHome · Bundesliga3–2Werder BremenAway · Bundesliga3–0RB LeipzigHome · DFB Pokal2–01899 HoffenheimHome · Bundesliga5–1Hamburger SVAway · Bundesliga2–2PSV EindhovenAway · UEFA Champions League2–1
Atalanta
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
InterAway · Serie A1–1Bayern MünchenHome · UEFA Champions League1–6UdineseHome · Serie A2–2LazioAway · Coppa Italia2–2SassuoloAway · Serie A1–2Borussia DortmundHome · UEFA Champions League4–1NapoliHome · Serie A2–1Borussia DortmundAway · UEFA Champions League0–2LazioAway · Serie A2–0CremoneseHome · Serie A2–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Bayern München at home with Atalanta away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:08 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
UEFA Champions League · 2025/26 · all league matches
Bayern MünchenAtalanta
9Matches played11
24Points earned16
8Wins5
3.1Goals scored / match1.3
1.0Goals conceded / match1.7
2Clean sheets3
0Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Bayern München at home with Atalanta away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Bayern München
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Vincent Kompany
- 40
J. UrbigG - 44
J. StanisicD - 3
Kim Min-JaeD - 4
J. TahD - 20
T. BischofD - 8
L. GoretzkaM - 45
A. PavlovicM - 42
L. KarlM - 22
R. GuerreiroM - 14
L. DiazM - 9
H. KaneF
Substitutes (10)
35 · J. Bartl
37 · L. Prescott
27 · K. Laimer
11 · N. Jackson
7 · S. Gnabry
2 · D. Upamecano
21 · H. Ito
41 · V. Manuba
34 · D. Ofli
43 · F. Pavic
Atalanta
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Raffaele Palladino
- 57
M. SportielloG - 3
O. KossounouD - 4
I. HienD - 42
G. ScalviniD - 16
R. BellanovaM - 8
M. PasalicM - 13
EdersonM - 47
L. BernasconiM - 17
C. De KetelaereF - 7
K. SulemanaF - 9
G. ScamaccaF
Substitutes (12)
29 · M. Carnesecchi
31 · F. Rossi
19 · B. Djimsiti
23 · S. Kolasinac
77 · D. Zappacosta
18 · G. Raspadori
69 · H. Ahanor
15 · M. De Roon
5 · M. Bakker
90 · N. Krstovic
59 · N. Zalewski
10 · L. Samardzic
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Bayern München
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Urbig | 90 | 8.7 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Josip Stanišić | 72 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 70 | 1 |
| Min-jae Kim | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 80 | 3 |
| Jonathan Tah | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 108 | 4 |
| Tom Bischof | 72 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 55 | 3 |
| Leon Goretzka | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 101 | — |
| Aleksandar Pavlović | 56 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 90 | 1 |
| Lennart Karl | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 67 | 2 |
| Raphaël Guerreiro | 83 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 3 | 62 | 1 |
| Luis Díaz | 90 | 8.3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 59 | — |
| Harry Kane | 72 | 9.2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 43 | — |
| Deniz Ofli | 34 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 3 |
| Filip Pavic | 18 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Serge Gnabry | 18 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 1 |
| Nicolas Jackson | 18 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 18 | — |
| Hiroki Itō | 11 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Leonard Prescott | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jannis Bartl | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dayot Upamecano | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Konrad Laimer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vincent Manuba | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Atalanta
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Sportiello | 90 | 5.7 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Odilon Kossounou | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 28 | 1 |
| Isak Hien | 90 | 5.6 | — | 0 | — | 36 | 1 |
| Giorgio Scalvini | 83 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 40 | 1 |
| Raoul Bellanova | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 18 | 1 |
| Mario Pašalić | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 2 | 42 | 3 |
| Éderson | 57 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Lorenzo Bernasconi | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 37 | — |
| Charles De Ketelaere | 57 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Kamaldeen Sulemana | 71 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1 |
| Gianluca Scamacca | 71 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 10 | — |
| Marten de Roon | 33 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 1 |
| Lazar Samardžić | 33 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | — |
| Giacomo Raspadori | 19 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Nikola Krstović | 19 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 6 | — |
| Honest Ahanor | 11 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Marco Carnesecchi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francesco Rossi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mitchel Bakker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Berat Djimsiti | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sead Kolašinac | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicola Zalewski | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Davide Zappacosta | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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