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La LigaMatchweek 32THE MATCH CENTRE

Alaves vs Mallorca match centre

Alaves badgeAlavesHome · 14 in league
LLDWD
Momentum↗ Rising38/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Mallorca badgeMallorcaAway · 18 in league
LLDWL
Momentum↗ Rising29/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
T. Martinez56′
T. Martinez69′
J. Virgili18′
Estadio Mendizorrotza · Vitoria-GasteizSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate96.4%Alaves
Draw3.5%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Mallorca
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Alaves 4.4% · no further goal 91.9% · Mallorca 3.7%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
AlavesMallorca
9Corner Kicks4
14Fouls12
2Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves2
389Total passes396
333Passes accurate331

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Primera División

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Barcelona38+5994—
2Real Madrid38+4286—
3Villarreal38+2672—
4Atletico Madrid38+1869—
5Real Betis38+1160—
6Celta Vigo38+554—
7Getafe38-651—
8Rayo Vallecano38-350—
9Valencia38-949—
10Real Sociedad38-246—
11Alaves39-1146↑ 3
12Espanyol38-1246↓ 1
13Athletic Club38-1545↓ 1
14Elche38-843↑ 1
15Sevilla38-1443↓ 2
16Osasuna38-642↑ 1
17Mallorca39-1142↑ 1
18Levante38-1442↓ 2
19Girona38-1641—
20Oviedo38-3429—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Alaves 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Mallorca 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Alaves

1/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
2.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect Alaves’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Mallorca

3/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Mallorca’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Alaves at home with Mallorca away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:49 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

La Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches

AlavesMallorca
32Matches played32
33Points earned35
8Wins9
1.1Goals scored / match1.3
1.5Goals conceded / match1.5
3Clean sheets4
10Failed to score8

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Alaves at home with Mallorca away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Alaves

Confirmed formation5-3-2Quique Sanchez Flores
  1. 1A. SiveraG
  2. 7A. PerezD
  3. 17Jonny OttoD
  4. 14N. TenagliaD
  5. 24V. ParadaD
  6. 21A. RebbachD
  7. 19P. IbanezM
  8. 8A. BlancoM
  9. 10C. AlenaM
  10. 11T. MartinezF
  11. 15L. BoyeF
Substitutes (12)

13 · R. Fernandez

31 · G. Swiderski

4 · D. Suarez

16 · V. Koski

22 · I. Diabate

3 · Yusi

27 · E. Munoz

9 · M. Diaz

18 · J. Guridi

6 · A. Guevara

5 · J. Pacheco

20 · Calebe

Mallorca

Confirmed formation4-3-1-2Martin Demichelis
  1. 1L. RomanG
  2. 23P. MaffeoD
  3. 27D. LopezD
  4. 24M. ValjentD
  5. 22J. MojicaD
  6. 12Samu CostaM
  7. 5O. MascarellM
  8. 10S. DarderM
  9. 20P. TorreM
  10. 7V. MuriqiF
  11. 17J. VirgiliF
Substitutes (12)

25 · Pichu Cuellar

9 · A. Prats

11 · T. Asano

6 · A. Sanchez

19 · J. Llabres

28 · C. Riba

3 · T. Lato

8 · M. Morlanes

2 · M. Morey Bauza

30 · J. Kalumba

34 · J. Olaizola

39 · J. Garcia

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Alaves

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Antonio Sivera976.6———29—
Ángel Pérez817.0—1—341
Jonny Otto976.9——172—
Nahuel Tenaglia976.9——1482
Victor Parada816.3———232
Abderrahman Rebbach976.9—11291
Pablo Ibáñez976.6——1513
Antonio Blanco976.9———394
Carles Aleñá636.6———231
Toni Martínez819.22—2211
Lucas Boyé4——————
Ibrahim Diabaté936.7——213—
Denis Suarez346.9———10—
Jon Pacheco166.9———3—
Calebe Gonçalves166.7———4—
Jon Guridi166.7———2—
Grégoire Swiderski———————
Raúl Fernández———————
Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim———————
Ville Koski———————
Egoitz Muñoz———————
Ander Guevara———————
Mariano Diaz———————

Mallorca

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Leo Román977.2———48—
Pablo Maffeo856.5———264
David López976.7———651
Martin Valjent976.9———573
Johan Mojica866.3———142
Samú Costa976.7—1—441
Omar Mascarell977.3———411
Sergi Darder816.9——1221
Pablo Torre706.6———402
Vedat Muriqi976.2———20—
Jan Virgili977.31—1151
Manu Morlanes277.2———101
Abdon166.2—————
Mateu Morey126.9———8—
Toni Lato116.9———6—
Iván Cuéllar———————
Javier Olaizola———————
Takuma Asano———————
Cesc Riba———————
Jandro García———————
Antonio Sánchez———————
Justin-Noel Kalumba———————
Javi Llabrés———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerAlavesDrawMallorca
Bet3652.053.254.00

Snapshot from 25 Apr 2026, 06:40 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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