Casa Pia
3/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Casa Pia’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 28THE MATCH CENTRECasa Pia vs Benfica match centre
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
R. Brito78′
R. Rios68′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate3.2%Casa Pia
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate4.3%Benfica
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Casa Pia 3.3% · no further goal 92.3% · Benfica 4.4%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Casa PiaBenfica
0.360Expected goals · API-Football1.670
2Shots on target3
8Total Shots17
22%Ball Possession78%
3Corner Kicks12
19Fouls9
1Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves1
160Total passes596
71Passes accurate514
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primeira LigaProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | +48 | 88 | — |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 34 | +65 | 82 | — |
| 3 |  Benfica | 35 | +49 | 81 | — |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | +28 | 59 | — |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | +13 | 56 | — |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | +9 | 50 | — |
| 7 |  Moreirense | 34 | -12 | 43 | — |
| 8 |  Guimaraes | 34 | -12 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 9 |  Arouca | 34 | -17 | 42 | ↓ 1 |
| 10 |  Estoril | 34 | -3 | 39 | — |
| 11 |  Alverca | 34 | -17 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Santa Clara | 34 | -9 | 36 | ↑ 1 |
| 13 |  Rio Ave | 34 | -22 | 36 | ↓ 1 |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | -8 | 34 | — |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 35 | -26 | 31 | ↑ 1 |
| 16 |  Estrela | 34 | -18 | 30 | ↓ 1 |
| 17 |  Tondela | 34 | -28 | 28 | — |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | -40 | 21 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Casa Pia 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Benfica 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Benfica
6/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Benfica’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Casa Pia
10 matchesResults3 wins · 4 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
EstrelaAway · Primeira Liga0–4EstorilAway · Primeira Liga0–0MoreirenseHome · Primeira Liga1–1FamalicaoAway · Primeira Liga0–2AroucaHome · Primeira Liga3–2NacionalAway · Primeira Liga0–0FC PortoHome · Primeira Liga2–1AVSHome · Primeira Liga3–3Sporting CPAway · Primeira Liga0–3AnçãAway · Taça de Portugal3–0
Benfica
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
GuimaraesHome · Primeira Liga3–0AroucaAway · Primeira Liga2–1FC PortoHome · Primeira Liga2–2GIL VicenteAway · Primeira Liga2–1Real MadridAway · UEFA Champions League1–2AVSHome · Primeira Liga3–0Real MadridHome · UEFA Champions League0–1Santa ClaraAway · Primeira Liga2–1AlvercaHome · Primeira Liga2–1TondelaAway · Primeira Liga0–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Casa Pia at home with Benfica away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 06:49 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Casa PiaBenfica
26Matches played27
24Points earned65
5Wins19
1.0Goals scored / match2.2
1.9Goals conceded / match0.6
5Clean sheets13
12Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Casa Pia at home with Benfica away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Casa Pia
Confirmed formation3-4-3Alvaro Pacheco
- 1
P. SequeiraG - 4
J. GoulartD - 18
A. GeraldesD - 43
D. SousaD - 72
G. LarrazabalM - 24
I. MohamedM - 8
R. BritoM - 75
P. RosasM - 29
J. LivolantF - 90
CassianoF - 21
T. MoraisF
Substitutes (9)
95 · I. Mandic
27 · Kaique Rocha
7 · K. Nsona
13 · K. Osundina
5 · A. Conte
99 · C. Mendes
11 · J. Marques
19 · K. Prieto
59 · A. Dafe
Benfica
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Jose Mourinho
- 1
A. TrubinG - 6
A. BahD - 4
A. SilvaD - 30
N. OtamendiD - 26
S. DahlD - 20
R. RiosM - 5
E. BarrenecheaM - 11
D. LukebakioM - 27
Rafa SilvaM - 21
A. SchjelderupM - 14
V. PavlidisF
Substitutes (9)
24 · S. Soares
9 · F. Ivanovic
16 · Manu
25 · G. Prestianni
64 · G. Oliveira
58 · D. Banjaqui
72 · Anisio
10 · G. Sudakov
15 · S. Lopes Cabral
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Casa Pia
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Sequeira | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| João Goulart | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| André Geraldes | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| David Sousa | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 1 |
| Gaizka Larrazabal | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 19 | 2 |
| Iyad Mohamed | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 4 |
| Rafael Brito | 87 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1 |
| Pedro Rosas | 87 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| Jérémy Livolant | 89 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Cassiano | 70 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Tiago Morais | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 5 | — |
| Oluwakorede Osundina | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Claudio Mendes | 20 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Abdu Conté | 11 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 1 |
| Joao Marques | 11 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 1 | 1 |
| Kelian Nsona | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Kevin Prieto | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Mandić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kaique Rocha | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdu Dafe | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Benfica
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anatoliy Trubin | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Alexander Bah | 81 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 68 | 2 |
| António Silva | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 113 | 3 |
| Nicolás Otamendi | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 82 | — |
| Samuel Dahl | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 64 | 1 |
| Richard Ríos | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 65 | 4 |
| Enzo Barrenechea | 81 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 53 | 1 |
| Dodi Lukebakio | 58 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 18 | 1 |
| Rafa Silva | 70 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 19 | 1 |
| Andreas Schjelderup | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 2 | 43 | — |
| Vangelis Pavlidis | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 26 | — |
| Gianluca Prestianni | 32 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Georgiy Sudakov | 20 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 17 | — |
| Anísio Cabral | 9 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Franjo Ivanović | 9 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Gonçalo Oliveira | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manuel Silva | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sidny Lopes Cabral | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Banjaqui | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel Soares | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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