Real Madrid
7/10Wins
2.4Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Real Madrid’s results
UEFA Champions LeagueRound of 32THE MATCH CENTREReal Madrid vs Benfica match centre
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
A. Tchouameni16′
Vinicius Junior80′
Rafa Silva14′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Real MadridBenfica
1.110Expected goals · API-Football1.980
4Shots on target4
14Total Shots12
56%Ball Possession44%
4Corner Kicks7
16Fouls10
2Yellow Cards2
Red Cards
4Goalkeeper Saves2
568Total passes440
512Passes accurate380
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Real Madrid 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Benfica 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Benfica
6/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Benfica’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Real Madrid
10 matchesResults7 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.4
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Benfica
10 matchesResults6 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AVSHome · Primeira Liga3–0Real MadridHome · UEFA Champions League0–1Santa ClaraAway · Primeira Liga2–1AlvercaHome · Primeira Liga2–1TondelaAway · Primeira Liga0–0Real MadridHome · UEFA Champions League4–2EstrelaHome · Primeira Liga4–0JuventusAway · UEFA Champions League0–2Rio AveAway · Primeira Liga2–0FC PortoAway · Taça de Portugal0–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Real Madrid at home with Benfica away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 11:21 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
UEFA Champions League · 2025/26 · all league matches
Real MadridBenfica
9Matches played13
18Points earned19
6Wins6
2.4Goals scored / match1.2
1.3Goals conceded / match1.0
3Clean sheets6
1Failed to score6
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Real Madrid at home with Benfica away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Real Madrid
Confirmed formation4-4-2Alvaro Arbeloa
- 1
T. CourtoisG - 12
T. Alexander-ArnoldD - 17
R. AsencioD - 22
A. RudigerD - 18
A. CarrerasD - 8
F. ValverdeM - 15
A. GulerM - 14
A. TchouameniM - 6
E. CamavingaM - 16
G. GarciaF - 7
Vinicius JuniorF
Substitutes (12)
13 · A. Lunin
26 · Fran
2 · D. Carvajal
4 · D. Alaba
20 · F. Garcia
21 · B. Diaz
23 · F. Mendy
28 · J. Cestero Sancho
30 · F. Mastantuono
37 · M. A. Moran
38 · C. Palacios
45 · T. Pitarch
Benfica
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Jose Mourinho
- 1
A. TrubinG - 17
A. DedicD - 44
T. AraujoD - 30
N. OtamendiD - 26
S. DahlD - 18
L. BarreiroM - 8
F. AursnesM - 20
R. RiosM - 27
Rafa SilvaM - 21
A. SchjelderupM - 14
V. PavlidisF
Substitutes (12)
24 · S. Soares
50 · D. Ferreira
4 · A. Silva
5 · E. Barrenechea
6 · A. Bah
9 · F. Ivanovic
10 · G. Sudakov
11 · D. Lukebakio
15 · S. Lopes Cabral
16 · Manu
62 · J. Neto
72 · Anisio
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Real Madrid
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thibaut Courtois | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 45 | — |
| Trent Alexander-Arnold | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 44 | — |
| Raúl Asencio | 77 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 48 | 2 |
| Antonio Rüdiger | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 68 | — |
| Álvaro Carreras | 89 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 58 | 4 |
| Federico Valverde | 90 | 7.6 | — | 2 | 1 | 45 | 3 |
| Arda Güler | 84 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 43 | 2 |
| Aurélien Tchouaméni | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 68 | 1 |
| Eduardo Camavinga | 77 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 49 | 2 |
| Gonzalo García | 84 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 1 |
| Vinícius Júnior | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 40 | — |
| David Alaba | 13 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Franco Mastantuono | 13 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| César Palacios | 16 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Thiago Pitarch | 16 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Fran García | 9 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Andriy Lunin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fran González | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Carvajal | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ferland Mendy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brahim Díaz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Cestero | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manuel Ángel Morán | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Benfica
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anatoliy Trubin | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| Amar Dedić | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 1 |
| Tomás Araújo | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 52 | 1 |
| Nicolás Otamendi | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 70 | 3 |
| Samuel Dahl | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 48 | 2 |
| Leandro Barreiro | 89 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 48 | 1 |
| Fredrik Aursnes | 85 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 47 | 3 |
| Richard Ríos | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 24 | 2 |
| Rafa Silva | 90 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | — |
| Andreas Schjelderup | 85 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Vangelis Pavlidis | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 28 | 1 |
| Enzo Barrenechea | 15 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 1 |
| Franjo Ivanović | 15 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 3 | 1 |
| Sidny Lopes Cabral | 9 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Diogo Ferreira | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel Soares | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| António Silva | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexander Bah | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Neto | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Georgiy Sudakov | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dodi Lukebakio | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manuel Silva | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anísio Cabral | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗UEFA Champions League table
Current standings · UEFA Champions League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 4 | 19 | 24 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Bayern München | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 18 | WWWLW |
| 4 |  Tottenham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 17 | WWWLW |
| 5 |  Barcelona | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 16 | WWWLD |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 16 | WWLWD |
| 7 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 16 | WWLWD |
| 8 |  Manchester City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 16 | WLWLW |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 15 | LWLWL |
| 10 |  Inter | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 15 | WLLLW |
| 11 |  Paris Saint Germain | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 14 | DLDWL |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 14 | DWDLW |
| 13 |  Juventus | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 13 | DWWWD |
| 14 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 13 | LDWWW |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 13 | LLWWW |
| 16 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 | WLDWW |
| 17 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 11 | LLDWL |
| 18 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 11 | WWWLD |
| 19 |  Club Brugge KV | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 10 | WWLLD |
| 20 |  Galatasaray | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 | LDLLW |
| 21 |  Monaco | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 | DLWDW |
| 22 |  Qarabag | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 | LWLLD |
| 23 |  Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 9 | WWDLL |
| 24 | Benfica | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 25 |  Marseille | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 9 | LLWWL |
| 26 |  Pafos | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 9 | WLLDW |
| 27 |  Union St. Gilloise | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 | WLLWL |
| 28 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 8 | LLLWD |
| 29 |  Athletic Club | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 8 | LWDDL |
| 30 |  Napoli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 8 | LDLWD |
| 31 |  FC Copenhagen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 8 | LDWWL |
| 32 |  Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 6 | LWWLL |
| 33 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 4 | LLLLD |
| 34 |  Slavia Praha | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 3 | LLLDL |
| 35 |  Villarreal | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 1 | LLLLL |
| 36 |  Kairat Almaty | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 1 | LLLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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