Arouca
4/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Arouca’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 32THE MATCH CENTREArouca vs Santa Clara match centre
90′ · Live
2:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
H. Lee8′
Tiago Esgaio84′
Gabriel Silva10′
Scorer pending90+5′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate2.3%Arouca
Draw93.3%at full time
Current result estimate4.4%Santa Clara
Another goal6.8%before full time
Next goal: Arouca 2.3% · no further goal 93.2% · Santa Clara 4.5%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.AroucaSanta Clara
0.780Expected goals · API-Football1.860
5Shots on target3
9Total Shots10
53%Ball Possession47%
5Corner Kicks6
12Fouls8
3Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves3
417Total passes365
375Passes accurate319
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primeira LigaProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | +48 | 88 | — |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 34 | +65 | 82 | — |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | +49 | 80 | — |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | +28 | 59 | — |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | +13 | 56 | — |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | +9 | 50 | — |
| 7 |  Moreirense | 34 | -12 | 43 | — |
| 8 | Arouca | 35 | -17 | 43 | — |
| 9 |  Guimaraes | 34 | -12 | 42 | — |
| 10 |  Estoril | 34 | -3 | 39 | — |
| 11 |  Alverca | 34 | -17 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Santa Clara | 35 | -9 | 37 | ↑ 1 |
| 13 |  Rio Ave | 34 | -22 | 36 | ↓ 1 |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | -8 | 34 | — |
| 15 |  Estrela | 34 | -18 | 30 | — |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 34 | -26 | 30 | — |
| 17 |  Tondela | 34 | -28 | 28 | — |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | -40 | 21 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Arouca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Santa Clara 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Santa Clara
4/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Santa Clara’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Arouca
10 matchesResults4 wins · 0 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AlvercaAway · Primeira Liga1–2EstrelaHome · Primeira Liga1–0SC BragaAway · Primeira Liga0–1EstorilHome · Primeira Liga3–2MoreirenseAway · Primeira Liga1–0BenficaHome · Primeira Liga1–2FamalicaoAway · Primeira Liga0–1FC PortoAway · Primeira Liga1–3NacionalHome · Primeira Liga3–0Casa PiaAway · Primeira Liga2–3
Santa Clara
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SC BragaHome · Primeira Liga2–1Casa PiaAway · Primeira Liga0–0Rio AveHome · Primeira Liga0–2Sporting CPAway · Primeira Liga2–4GIL VicenteHome · Primeira Liga1–0AVSAway · Primeira Liga1–0GuimaraesHome · Primeira Liga2–0TondelaAway · Primeira Liga2–2AlvercaAway · Primeira Liga1–1BenficaHome · Primeira Liga1–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Arouca at home with Santa Clara away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 04:24 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
AroucaSanta Clara
31Matches played30
35Points earned29
10Wins7
1.3Goals scored / match0.9
2.0Goals conceded / match1.3
7Clean sheets9
9Failed to score12
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Arouca at home with Santa Clara away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Arouca
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Vasco Seabra
- 12
I. De ArruabarrenaG - 28
Tiago EsgaioD - 15
J. SanchezD - 3
J. FontanD - 25
B. KuipersD - 21
T. FukuiM - 22
E. van EeM - 19
A. TrezzaM - 14
H. LeeM - 7
N. DjouahraM - 17
I. BarberoF
Substitutes (9)
30 · J. Vinarcik
44 · A. Dante
89 · Pedro Santos
4 · M. Rocha
9 · F. Mayulu
24 · B. Mansilla
10 · P. Gozalbez
6 · D. Monteiro
46 · M. Flores
Santa Clara
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Vasco Matos
- 1
Gabriel BatistaG - 2
Diogo CalilaD - 23
S. LimaD - 21
F. VenancioD - 5
Guilherme RomaoD - 65
J. TavaresM - 35
SerginhoM - 11
BrennerM - 77
Gustavo KlismahnM - 10
Gabriel SilvaM - 39
G. PacienciaF
Substitutes (9)
50 · J. Afonso
4 · P. Pacheco
42 · Lucas Soares
64 · Paulo Victor
49 · Welinton Torrao
37 · Darlan
7 · Elias Manoel
70 · Vinicius Lopes
78 · Andrey
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Arouca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio de Arruabarrena | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Tiago Esgaio | 90 | 8.7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 1 |
| Javi Sánchez | 45 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 48 | — |
| Jose Fontán | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 85 | — |
| Bas Kuipers | 64 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 1 |
| Taichi Fukui | 85 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 64 | 1 |
| Espen Van Ee | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 3 | 34 | 3 |
| Alfonso Trezza | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 2 |
| Hyun-ju Lee | 66 | 6.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | — |
| Naïs Djouahra | 76 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 1 |
| Ivan Barbero | 75 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 12 | — |
| Matías Rocha | 45 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| Amadou Dante | 26 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 3 |
| Mateo Flores | 15 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Pablo Gozálbez | 14 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Diogo Monteiro | 12 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 1 | 1 |
| Jakub Vinarčík | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Santos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fally Mayulu | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brian Mansilla | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Santa Clara
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Batista | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Diogo Calila | 76 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 20 | — |
| Sidney Lima | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 64 | — |
| Frederico Venâncio | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 65 | 2 |
| Guilherme Romão | 22 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| José Tavares | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 3 | 38 | 2 |
| Serginho | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | 54 | 1 |
| Brenner | 59 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 8 | 1 |
| Gustavo Klismahn | 76 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 20 | — |
| Gabriel Silva | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | — |
| Gonçalo Paciência | 76 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | — |
| Paulo Victor | 68 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 1 |
| Welinton Torrao | 31 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 13 | — |
| Lucas Soares | 14 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Elias Manoel | 14 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Vinícius Lopes | 14 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 1 |
| João Afonso | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrey | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Pacheco | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Darlan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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