Casa Pia
2/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Casa Pia’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 30THE MATCH CENTRECasa Pia vs Santa Clara match centre
90′ · Live
0:0
UK time · Europe/LondonTHE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate4.2%Casa Pia
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.3%Santa Clara
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Casa Pia 4.3% · no further goal 92.3% · Santa Clara 3.4%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Casa PiaSanta Clara
1.270Expected goals · API-Football0.190
3Shots on target1
10Total Shots4
32%Ball Possession68%
4Corner Kicks5
18Fouls12
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves3
185Total passes412
116Passes accurate343
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primeira LigaProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | +48 | 88 | — |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 34 | +65 | 82 | — |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | +49 | 80 | — |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | +28 | 59 | — |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | +13 | 56 | — |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | +9 | 50 | — |
| 7 |  Moreirense | 34 | -12 | 43 | — |
| 8 |  Guimaraes | 34 | -12 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 9 |  Arouca | 34 | -17 | 42 | ↓ 1 |
| 10 |  Estoril | 34 | -3 | 39 | — |
| 11 |  Alverca | 34 | -17 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Santa Clara | 35 | -9 | 37 | ↑ 1 |
| 13 |  Rio Ave | 34 | -22 | 36 | ↓ 1 |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | -8 | 34 | — |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 35 | -26 | 31 | ↑ 1 |
| 16 |  Estrela | 34 | -18 | 30 | ↓ 1 |
| 17 |  Tondela | 34 | -28 | 28 | — |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | -40 | 21 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Casa Pia 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Santa Clara 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Santa Clara
3/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Santa Clara’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Casa Pia
10 matchesResults2 wins · 5 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AlvercaAway · Primeira Liga1–3BenficaHome · Primeira Liga1–1EstrelaAway · Primeira Liga0–4EstorilAway · Primeira Liga0–0MoreirenseHome · Primeira Liga1–1FamalicaoAway · Primeira Liga0–2AroucaHome · Primeira Liga3–2NacionalAway · Primeira Liga0–0FC PortoHome · Primeira Liga2–1AVSHome · Primeira Liga3–3
Santa Clara
10 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Rio AveHome · Primeira Liga0–2Sporting CPAway · Primeira Liga2–4GIL VicenteHome · Primeira Liga1–0AVSAway · Primeira Liga1–0GuimaraesHome · Primeira Liga2–0TondelaAway · Primeira Liga2–2AlvercaAway · Primeira Liga1–1BenficaHome · Primeira Liga1–2EstrelaAway · Primeira Liga0–1EstorilHome · Primeira Liga2–4
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Casa Pia at home with Santa Clara away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:30 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Casa PiaSanta Clara
28Matches played29
25Points earned28
5Wins7
1.0Goals scored / match0.9
1.9Goals conceded / match1.3
5Clean sheets8
12Failed to score11
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Casa Pia at home with Santa Clara away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Casa Pia
Confirmed formation3-4-3Alvaro Pacheco
- 1
Patrick SequeiraG - 4
João GoulartD - 18
Andre GeraldesD - 43
David SousaD - 72
Gaizka LarrazabalM - 24
Iyad MohamedM - 8
Rafael BritoM - 75
Pedro RosasM - 29
Jérémy LivolantF - 90
CassianoF - 11
Joao MarquesF
Substitutes (9)
95 · Ivan Mandić
3 · Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira
80 · Lawrence Ofori
19 · Kevin Prieto
42 · Sebastian Perez
99 · Claudio Mendes
10 · Dailon Rocha Livramento
21 · Tiago Morais
13 · Oluwakorede Osundina
Santa Clara
Confirmed formation4-3-3Vasco Matos
- 1
Gabriel BatistaG - 42
Lucas SoaresD - 23
Sidney LimaD - 94
Henrique SilvaD - 5
Guilherme RomãoD - 65
José TavaresM - 8
Pedro FerreiraM - 35
SerginhoM - 10
Gabriel SilvaF - 39
Goncalo PacienciaF - 70
Vinícius LopesF
Substitutes (9)
12 · Neneca
64 · Paulo Victor
21 · Frederico Venancio
2 · Diogo Calila
77 · Gustavo Klismahn
49 · Welinton
37 · Darlan
26 · Luis Fernando
11 · Brenner
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Casa Pia
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Sequeira | 98 | 7.5 | — | — | — | 19 | — |
| João Goulart | 98 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 23 | 1 |
| Andre Geraldes | 98 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 12 | — |
| David Sousa | 98 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 4 |
| Gaizka Larrazabal | 98 | 7.6 | — | — | 3 | 21 | — |
| Iyad Mohamed | 63 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 17 | 3 |
| Rafael Brito | 73 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 16 | 1 |
| Pedro Rosas | 98 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 2 |
| Jérémy Livolant | 86 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 2 |
| Cassiano | 63 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 4 | — |
| Joao Marques | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 12 | 3 |
| Lawrence Ofori | 35 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 8 | — |
| Claudio Mendes | 35 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 4 | — |
| Sebastian Perez | 25 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 7 | 1 |
| Dailon Rocha Livramento | 25 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Oluwakorede Osundina | 12 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ivan Mandić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Prieto | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Morais | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Santa Clara
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Batista | 98 | 8.7 | — | — | — | 39 | — |
| Lucas Soares | 67 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 1 |
| Sidney Lima | 98 | 7.5 | — | — | — | 61 | 1 |
| Henrique Silva | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 62 | — |
| Guilherme Romão | 98 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 38 | — |
| José Tavares | 67 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 31 | — |
| Pedro Ferreira | 98 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 47 | 2 |
| Serginho | 98 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 32 | 2 |
| Gabriel Silva | 85 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 18 | — |
| Goncalo Paciencia | 74 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 12 | — |
| Vinícius Lopes | 74 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 1 |
| Diogo Calila | 31 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 5 | — |
| Darlan | 31 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Luis Fernando | 24 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 2 | — |
| Brenner | 24 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Welinton | 13 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Neneca | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulo Victor | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Frederico Venancio | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Klismahn | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Casa Pia | Draw | Santa Clara |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 2.90 | 2.25 |
Snapshot from 18 Apr 2026, 12:53 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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