Arda Kardzhali
6/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Arda Kardzhali’s results
First LeagueMatchweek 30THE MATCH CENTREArda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets match centre
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
D. Velkovski4′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate95.3%Arda Kardzhali
Draw4.6%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Ludogorets
Another goal8.2%before full time
Next goal: Arda Kardzhali 3.4% · no further goal 91.8% · Ludogorets 4.8%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Arda KardzhaliLudogorets
0.350Expected goals · API-Football2.190
3Shots on target4
9Total Shots19
30%Ball Possession70%
1Corner Kicks9
11Fouls9
1Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves2
196Total passes648
140Passes accurate552
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
A PFG: Regular seasonProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Levski Sofia | 30 | +42 | 70 | — |
| 2 |  Ludogorets | 31 | +36 | 60 | — |
| 3 |  CSKA 1948 | 30 | +19 | 59 | — |
| 4 |  CSKA Sofia | 30 | +20 | 56 | — |
| 5 | Arda Kardzhali | 31 | +7 | 47 | ↑ 2 |
| 6 |  Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 30 | -3 | 46 | ↓ 1 |
| 7 |  Cherno More Varna | 30 | +7 | 44 | ↓ 1 |
| 8 |  Botev Plovdiv | 30 | +3 | 40 | — |
| 9 |  Slavia Sofia | 30 | +3 | 39 | — |
| 10 |  Botev Vratsa | 30 | -2 | 38 | — |
| 11 |  Lokomotiv Sofia | 30 | +1 | 37 | — |
| 12 |  Spartak Varna | 30 | -25 | 27 | — |
| 13 |  Dobrudzha | 30 | -20 | 26 | — |
| 14 |  Septemvri Sofia | 30 | -33 | 26 | — |
| 15 |  Beroe | 30 | -25 | 23 | — |
| 16 |  Montana | 30 | -30 | 17 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Arda Kardzhali 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Ludogorets 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Ludogorets
6/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Ludogorets’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Arda Kardzhali
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game0.7
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Levski SofiaAway · First League0–1MontanaHome · First League2–1Septemvri SofiaAway · First League4–1DobrudzhaHome · First League2–0Botev VratsaAway · First League0–1Cherno More VarnaAway · First League0–0Spartak VarnaHome · First League1–0BeroeAway · First League0–0Slavia SofiaHome · First League2–1Botev VratsaAway · Cup3–2
Ludogorets
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game0.7
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Cherno More VarnaHome · First League0–0CSKA 1948Home · First League3–0Spartak VarnaAway · First League5–1CSKA SofiaHome · First League3–0MontanaAway · First League3–0Levski SofiaHome · First League1–0Lokomotiv PlovdivHome · First League1–1Ferencvarosi TCAway · UEFA Europa League0–2Botev PlovdivAway · First League1–2Ferencvarosi TCHome · UEFA Europa League2–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Arda Kardzhali at home with Ludogorets away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:50 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
First League · 2025/26 · all league matches
Arda KardzhaliLudogorets
29Matches played29
41Points earned60
11Wins17
1.1Goals scored / match2.0
1.0Goals conceded / match0.6
12Clean sheets17
14Failed to score5
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Arda Kardzhali at home with Ludogorets away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Arda Kardzhali
Confirmed formation4-4-2Blagov Tunchev Aleksander
- 1
A. GospodinovG - 2
Gustavo CascardoD - 93
F. EboaD - 6
P. KrachunovD - 35
D. VelkovskiD - 10
S. KovachevM - 18
C. HuseynovM - 20
S. YuseinM - 8
A. KabovM - 39
A. VutovF - 30
W. SamakeF
Substitutes (9)
12 · I. Nedelchev
4 · D. Idowu
11 · A. Shinyashiki
17 · Patrick Luan
21 · V. Velev
23 · E. Viyachki
24 · M. Paskalev
26 · B. Akandzha
99 · B. Karagaren
Ludogorets
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Per-Mathias Hogmo
- 39
H. BonmannG - 2
J. AnderssonD - 15
E. KurtulusD - 24
O. VerdonD - 3
A. NedyalkovD - 30
Pedro NaressiM - 23
D. DuarteM - 77
Erick MarcusM - 14
P. StanicM - 18
I. ChochevM - 9
K. DuahF
Substitutes (9)
1 · S. Padt
4 · D. Almeida
7 · A. Salido Tajero
12 · Rwan Cruz
17 · Son
26 · F. Kaloc
27 · Vinicius Nogueira
37 · B. Tekpetey
55 · I. Nachmias
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Arda Kardzhali
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anatoli Gospodinov | 90 | 8.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 22 | 0 |
| Gustavo Cascardo | 80 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 23 | 0 |
| Félix Eboa Eboa | 90 | 7.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 18 | 0 |
| Plamen Krachunov | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 16 | 0 |
| Dimitar Velkovski | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 0 |
| Svetoslav Kovachev | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 0 |
| Jalal Huseynov | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 11 | 1 |
| Serkan Yussein | 58 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 12 | 0 |
| Atanas Kabov | 74 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 |
| Antonio Vutov | 80 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 14 | 0 |
| Wilson Samaké | 80 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 8 | 0 |
| Idowu David Akintola | 40 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Birsent Karagaren | 23 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| Emil Viyachki | 17 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 3 | 0 |
| Vyacheslav Velev | 17 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 4 | 0 |
| Patrick | 17 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 5 | 0 |
Ludogorets
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hendrik Bonmann | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 24 | 0 |
| Joel Andersson | 70 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 44 | 0 |
| Edvin Kurtulus | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 102 | 0 |
| Olivier Verdon | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 102 | 0 |
| Anton Nedyalkov | 90 | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | — | 75 | 0 |
| Pedro Naressi | 80 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 71 | 2 |
| Deroy Duarte | 68 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 41 | 0 |
| Erick Marcus | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 41 | 0 |
| Petar Stanić | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 48 | 0 |
| Ivajlo Chochev | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 0 |
| Kwadwo Duah | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 0 |
| Rwan Cruz | 29 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 6 | 0 |
| Son | 27 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 27 | 0 |
| Filip Kaloč | 17 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 18 | 0 |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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