Ecuador
3/7Wins
1.1Goals / game
0.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Ecuador’s results
World CupGroup Stage - 3THE MATCH CENTREEcuador vs Germany match centre
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Nilson Angulo9′
Gonzalo Plata77′
Leroy Sané2′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
EcuadorGermany
1.270Expected goals · API-Football0.650
3Shots on target3
7Total Shots11
39%Ball Possession61%
3Corner Kicks2
15Fouls10
3Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves1
—Total passes—
—Passes accurate—
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Ecuador 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Germany 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Germany
10/10Wins
3.5Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Germany’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Ecuador
7 matchesResults3 wins · 3 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game0.4
Games with 3+ goals2 of 7
Both teams scored2 of 7
Past results, not predictions.
Germany
10 matchesResults10 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game3.5
Goals conceded per game0.7
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Ivory CoastHome · World Cup2–1CuraçaoHome · World Cup7–1USAAway · Friendlies2–1FinlandHome · Friendlies4–0SwitzerlandAway · Friendlies4–3SlovakiaHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe6–0LuxembourgAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe2–0Northern IrelandAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–0LuxembourgHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe4–0Northern IrelandHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe3–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Ecuador at home with Germany away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 00:25 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
World Cup · 2026/27 · all league matches
EcuadorGermany
1Matches played1
0Points earned3
0Wins1
0.0Goals scored / match7.0
1.0Goals conceded / match1.0
0Clean sheets0
1Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Ecuador at home with Germany away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Ecuador
Confirmed formationPending
- 1
H. GalindezG - 21
A. FrancoD - 4
J. OrdonezD - 6
W. PachoD - 3
P. HincapieD - 9
J. YeboahM - 23
M. CaicedoM - 15
P. ViteM - 20
N. AnguloM - 19
G. PlataF - 13
E. ValenciaF
Substitutes (15)
22 · G. Valle
12 · M. Ramirez
7 · P. Estupinan
16 · J. Caicedo
17 · A. Preciado
8 · A. Valencia
11 · K. Rodriguez
2 · F. Torres
25 · J. Porozo
5 · J. Alcivar
14 · A. Minda
18 · D. Castillo
26 · Y. Medina
24 · J. Arevalo
10 · K. Paez
Germany
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Julian Nagelsmann
- 1
M. NeuerG - 6
J. KimmichD - 4
J. TahD - 2
A. RudigerD - 19
L. SaneM - 23
F. NmechaM - 5
A. PavlovicM - 22
D. RaumM - 10
J. MusialaF - 17
F. WirtzF - 7
K. HavertzF
Substitutes (13)
12 · O. Baumann
21 · A. Nubel
13 · P. Gross
8 · L. Goretzka
20 · N. Amiri
14 · M. Beier
24 · M. Thiaw
11 · N. Woltemade
9 · J. Leweling
3 · W. Anton
26 · D. Undav
16 · A. Stiller
25 · A. Ouedraogo
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Ecuador
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Páez | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| K. Rodríguez | 26 | 7.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| J. Ordoñez | 90 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 3 |
| A. Valencia | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeremy Arévalo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| N. Angulo | 85 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 0 |
| A. Minda | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Y. Medina | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Castillo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| P. Vite | 90 | 7.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 66 | 9 |
| P. Hincapié | 71 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 1 |
| M. Caicedo | 90 | 7.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 63 | 4 |
| J. Porozo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Valle | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Plata | 90 | 7.1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 3 |
| W. Pacho | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 1 |
| J. Alcívar | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Ramírez | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F. Torres | 5 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Preciado | 26 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| J. Yeboah | 85 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 |
| A. Franco | 64 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 |
| P. Estupiñán | 19 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| J. Caicedo | 5 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| H. Galíndez | 90 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 0 |
| E. Valencia | 64 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
Germany
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ouédraogo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Pavlović | 45 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 0 |
| F. Wirtz | 73 | 7.1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 1 |
| M. Thiaw | 30 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 2 |
| J. Musiala | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 2 |
| J. Leweling | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| N. Woltemade | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Beier | 26 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
| A. Stiller | 45 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 1 |
| F. Nmecha | 64 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 1 |
| D. Raum | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 1 |
| K. Havertz | 60 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 3 |
| W. Anton | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Undav | 30 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| A. Nübel | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| N. Amiri | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Sané | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 49 | 2 |
| J. Kimmich | 60 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 2 |
| J. Tah | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99 | 2 |
| L. Goretzka | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Rüdiger | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 76 | 1 |
| P. Groß | 17 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 2 |
| O. Baumann | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Neuer | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗World Cup table
Current standings · Group E. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 6 | LLWW |
| 2 |  Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | LWLW |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | LWDL |
| 4 |  Curaçao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 1 | LDL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Ecuador | Draw | Germany |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3.75 | 4.20 | 1.83 |
Snapshot from 24 Jun 2026, 20:04 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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