USA
4/6Wins
2.7Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect USA’s results
FriendliesFriendly InternationalTHE MATCH CENTREUSA vs Germany match centre
90′ · Live
1:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
A. Robinson37′
K. Havertz2′
L. Sane57′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.1%USA
Draw4.3%at full time
Current result estimate95.6%Germany
Another goal8.2%before full time
Next goal: USA 4.5% · no further goal 91.8% · Germany 3.6%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.USAGermany
—Expected goals · API-Football—
4Shots on target4
16Total Shots12
51%Ball Possession49%
10Corner Kicks2
10Fouls7
0Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves3
441Total passes428
366Passes accurate355
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
USA 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Germany 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Germany
7/8Wins
3.0Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Germany’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
USA
6 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.7
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals6 of 6
Both teams scored6 of 6
Past results, not predictions.
Germany
8 matchesResults7 wins · 0 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game3.0
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals5 of 8
Both teams scored2 of 8
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FinlandHome · Friendlies4–0SwitzerlandAway · Friendlies4–3SlovakiaHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe6–0LuxembourgAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe2–0Northern IrelandAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–0LuxembourgHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe4–0Northern IrelandHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe3–1SlovakiaAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe0–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare USA at home with Germany away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 00:24 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Friendlies · 2026/27 · all league matches
USAGermany
2Matches played2
0Points earned6
0Wins2
1.0Goals scored / match3.0
3.5Goals conceded / match2.0
0Clean sheets0
1Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares USA at home with Germany away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
USA
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Mauricio Pochettino
- 24
M. FreeseG - 16
A. FreemanD - 12
M. RobinsonD - 13
T. ReamD - 5
A. RobinsonD - 17
M. TillmanM - 4
T. AdamsM - 2
S. DestM - 8
W. McKennieM - 10
C. PulisicM - 20
F. BalogunF
Substitutes (14)
25 · C. Brady
1 · M. Turner
6 · A. Trusty
9 · R. Pepi
7 · G. Reyna
14 · S. Berhalter
19 · H. Wright
15 · C. Roldan
26 · A. Zendejas
21 · T. Weah
11 · B. Aaronson
22 · M. McKenzie
23 · J. Scally
18 · M. Arfsten
Germany
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Julian Nagelsmann
- 12
O. BaumannG - 6
J. KimmichD - 4
J. TahD - 15
N. SchlotterbeckD - 18
N. BrownD - 23
F. NmechaM - 5
A. PavlovicM - 19
L. SaneM - 10
J. MusialaM - 17
F. WirtzM - 7
K. HavertzF
Substitutes (14)
1 · M. Neuer
21 · A. Nubel
13 · P. Gross
8 · L. Goretzka
2 · A. Rudiger
20 · N. Amiri
14 · M. Beier
24 · M. Thiaw
11 · N. Woltemade
9 · J. Leweling
3 · W. Anton
26 · D. Undav
22 · D. Raum
16 · A. Stiller
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
USA
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Freese | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 32 | — |
| Alexander Freeman | 72 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 34 | 3 |
| Miles Robinson | 62 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 32 | — |
| Tim Ream | 72 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 46 | 1 |
| Antonee Robinson | 63 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 3 |
| Malik Tillman | 72 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 4 |
| Tyler Adams | 72 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 9 |
| Sergiño Dest | 72 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 21 | 1 |
| Weston McKennie | 62 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | 3 |
| Christian Pulišić | 62 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 1 |
| Folarin Balogun | 72 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
| Mark McKenzie | 28 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 1 |
| Giovanni Reyna | 28 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 19 | — |
| Sebastian Berhalter | 28 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Auston Trusty | 27 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Joe Scally | 18 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 |
| Maximilian Arfsten | 18 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Brenden Aaronson | 18 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | — |
| Tim Weah | 18 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 8 | — |
| Cristian Roldán | 18 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Ricardo Pepi | 18 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Matt Turner | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Brady | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Zendejas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Haji Wright | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Germany
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Baumann | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Joshua Kimmich | 61 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 37 | 2 |
| Jonathan Tah | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 40 | — |
| Nico Schlotterbeck | 90 | 8.0 | — | 0 | — | 64 | 5 |
| Nathaniel Brown | 61 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 5 |
| Felix Nmecha | 80 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 26 | 3 |
| Aleksandar Pavlović | 80 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 53 | 4 |
| Leroy Sané | 72 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 2 |
| Jamal Musiala | 80 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 24 | 2 |
| Florian Wirtz | 80 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 44 | 1 |
| Kai Havertz | 61 | 8.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 3 |
| Waldemar Anton | 29 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 1 |
| David Raum | 29 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 1 |
| Deniz Undav | 29 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | — |
| Jamie Leweling | 18 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Angelo Stiller | 10 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 1 |
| Nadiem Amiri | 10 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 6 | — |
| Leon Goretzka | 10 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Maximilian Beier | 10 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Alexander Nübel | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manuel Neuer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Malick Thiaw | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonio Rüdiger | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pascal Groß | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nick Woltemade | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Friendlies table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | USA | Draw | Germany |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 3.80 | 1.60 |
Snapshot from 6 Jun 2026, 02:55 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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