San Diego
4/5Wins
2.4Goals / game
0.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect San Diego’s results
CONCACAF Champions LeagueRound of 16THE MATCH CENTRESan Diego vs Toluca match centre
90′ · Live
3:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
D. Vazquez32′
D. Vazquez46′
A. Dreyer52′
J. Gallardo16′ (pen)
Helinho90′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate93.2%San Diego
Draw6.6%at full time
Current result estimate0.2%Toluca
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: San Diego 1.2% · no further goal 91.9% · Toluca 6.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.San DiegoToluca
1.790Expected goals · API-Football4.600
5Shots on target5
8Total Shots19
34%Ball Possession66%
0Corner Kicks5
15Fouls10
2Yellow Cards4
2Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves1
290Total passes555
202Passes accurate469
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
Round of 16San Diego 3–2 Toluca
→Current progressionSan Diego
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
San Diego 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Toluca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Toluca
7/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Toluca’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
San Diego
5 matchesResults4 wins · 0 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.4
Goals conceded per game0.4
Games with 3+ goals2 of 5
Both teams scored1 of 5
Past results, not predictions.
Toluca
10 matchesResults7 wins · 3 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game0.6
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare San Diego at home with Toluca away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:48 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
CONCACAF Champions League · 2026/27 · all league matches
San DiegoToluca
2Matches played0
3Points earned0
1Wins0
2.0Goals scored / match—
1.0Goals conceded / match—
0Clean sheets0
1Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares San Diego at home with Toluca away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
San Diego
Confirmed formation4-3-3Mikey Varas
- 18
D. FerreeG - 33
O. VerhoevenD - 97
C. McVeyD - 26
M. DuahD - 27
L. BombinoD - 8
O. ValakariM - 6
J. TverskovM - 19
D. VazquezM - 10
A. DreyerF - 7
M. IngvartsenF - 90
A. PellegrinoF
Substitutes (11)
13 · P. Sisniega
1 · C. J. dos Santos
9 · L. Morgan
21 · B. Duke
17 · O. Soe
29 · A. Saidi
25 · I. Pilcher
24 · E. Boateng
77 · A. Mighten
15 · P. Soma
14 · B. B. Zamble
Toluca
Confirmed formation4-4-2Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich Antonio
- 1
H. GonzalezG - 2
D. BarbosaD - 4
Bruno MendezD - 6
F. PereiraD - 25
E. del VillarD - 10
J. AnguloM - 5
F. RomeroM - 14
M. RuizM - 20
J. GallardoM - 26
PaulinhoF - 29
J. DiazF
Substitutes (12)
22 · L. Garcia
13 · Luan
24 · F. Arce
11 · Helinho
15 · P. Perez
3 · A. Briseno
9 · A. Vega
7 · S. Cordova
8 · N. Castro
23 · O. Virgen
27 · F. Rossi
28 · S. Aceves
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
San Diego
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duran Ferree | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 35 | — |
| Oscar Verhoeven | 61 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 2 |
| Christopher McVey | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 47 | 1 |
| Manu Duah | 88 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 4 |
| Luca Bombino | 90 | 7.2 | — | 2 | 1 | 22 | 4 |
| Onni Valakari | 89 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 3 |
| Jeppe Tverskov | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 40 | 2 |
| David Vazquez | 61 | 8.3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | — |
| Anders Dreyer | 89 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | — |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 12 | 3.0 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 1 |
| Amahl Pellegrino | 89 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 11 | — |
| Ian Pilcher | 29 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 2 |
| Lewis Morgan | 29 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 1 |
| Osvald Soe | 9 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Pedro Soma | 9 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Bryce Duke | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Pablo Sisniega | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| CJ dos Santos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Boateng | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bryan Zamblé | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Mighten | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anisse Saidi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Toluca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Gonzalez | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Diego Barbosa | 89 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 47 | 2 |
| Bruno Méndez | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 70 | 2 |
| Federico Pereira | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 90 | 2 |
| Everardo López | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Jesús Ricardo Angulo | 73 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | — |
| Franco Romero | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 54 | — |
| Marcel Ruíz | 41 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 24 | — |
| Jesús Gallardo | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 61 | 2 |
| Paulinho | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | — |
| Jorge Díaz | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Nicolás Castro | 49 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 33 | — |
| Pavel Pérez | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 22 | — |
| Helinho | 45 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 38 | 1 |
| Alexis Vega | 17 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Sebastián Córdova | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Luis García | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonio Briseño | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luan Garcia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Aceves | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fernando Arce Juárez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franco Rossi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oswaldo Virgen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗CONCACAF Champions League table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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