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Liga MXClausura - 15THE MATCH CENTRE

Monterrey vs Pachuca match centre

Monterrey badgeMonterreyHome · 13 in league
DDLLD
Momentum↓ Low19/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:3
UK time · Europe/London
Pachuca badgePachucaAway · 4 in league
WDDWW
Momentum↗ Rising75/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
L. Ocampos21′ (pen)
Kenedy54′
A. Bautista72′
E. Valencia83′
Estadio BBVA · MonterreySeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.0%Monterrey
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate99.9%Pachuca
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Monterrey 4.3% · no further goal 91.9% · Pachuca 3.8%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
MonterreyPachuca
7Corner Kicks4
11Fouls15
2Yellow Cards4
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves4
442Total passes380
378Passes accurate310

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Liga MX, Clausura 2026

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1U.N.A.M. - Pumas17+1736—
2Guadalajara Chivas17+1636—
3CF Pachuca18+834↑ 1
4Cruz Azul17+1333↓ 1
5Toluca17+1230—
6Atlas17-226—
7Tigres UANL17+1025—
8Club America17+325—
9Club Tijuana17+223—
10Leon17-1022—
11Club Queretaro17-420—
12FC Juarez17-619—
13Atletico San Luis17-318↑ 1
14Monterrey18-418↓ 1
15Necaxa17-618—
16Mazatlán17-1515—
17Puebla17-1313—
18Santos Laguna17-1812—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Monterrey 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Pachuca 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Monterrey

1/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect Monterrey’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Pachuca

7/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Pachuca’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Monterrey at home with Pachuca away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 10:07 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Liga MX · 2025/26 · all league matches

MonterreyPachuca
35Matches played33
52Points earned53
15Wins15
1.6Goals scored / match1.4
1.5Goals conceded / match1.1
10Clean sheets7
8Failed to score10

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Monterrey at home with Pachuca away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Monterrey

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Nicolas Sanchez
  1. 22L. CardenasG
  2. 2R. ChavezD
  3. 33S. MedinaD
  4. 13C. SalcedoD
  5. 21L. ReyesD
  6. 8O. TorresM
  7. 5F. AmbrizM
  8. 11L. OrellanoM
  9. 17J. CoronaM
  10. 29L. OcamposM
  11. 27R. de la RosaF
Substitutes (10)

25 · S. Mele

10 · S. Canales

20 · U. Djurdjevic

3 · G. Arteaga

32 · S. Rodriguez

194 · C. Reyes

14 · E. Aguirre

19 · A. Aceves

4 · V. Guzman

246 · O. Galvez

Pachuca

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Jaime Lozano
  1. 25C. MorenoG
  2. 14C. SanchezD
  3. 4Eduardo BauermannD
  4. 2S. D. BarretoD
  5. 12B. A. Garcia CaprizoD
  6. 16C. RiveraM
  7. 8V. GuzmanM
  8. 29KenedyM
  9. 28E. MontielM
  10. 11O. IdrissiM
  11. 23S. RondonF
Substitutes (10)

31 · J. Eulogio

7 · L. Quinones

21 · R. Lopez

187 · G. Alvarez

18 · A. Dominguez

13 · J. Berlanga

10 · E. Valencia

26 · A. Bautista

184 · C. Alfaro

188 · S. Rodriguez

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Monterrey

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Luis Cardenas906.2—0—39—
Ricardo Chávez906.6—01541
Stefan Medina908.3—0—86—
Carlos Salcedo906.5—0—561
Luis Reyes786.0—02422
Oliver Torres906.5—01365
Fidel Ambríz906.9—01411
Luca Orellano786.9—02261
Jesus Corona646.3—0—13—
Lucas Ocampos797.7102325
Roberto de la Rosa906.7—0219—
Sergio Canales266.7—0—17—
Gerardo Arteaga126.2—0—61
Sebastian Rodriguez126.3—0—52
Uros Djurdjevic116.2—0—1—
Santiago Mele———————
Victor Guzmán———————
Alonso Aceves———————
Erick Aguirre———————
Omar Galvez———————
Cristian Reyes———————

Pachuca

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Carlos Moreno907.3—0—30—
Carlos Sánchez906.5—0—383
Eduardo Bauermann906.9—0—402
Sergio Barreto906.7—01371
Brian García906.2—0—59—
Christian Rivera907.3—1—464
Víctor Guzmán906.2—0142—
Kenedy877.610222—
Elías Montiel456.3—0—16—
Oussama Idrissi646.6—0—333
Salomón Rondón766.7—0181
Alan Bautista457.310112—
Alexei Domínguez267.2—1—6—
Enner Valencia146.91012—
Sergio Rodríguez126.7—0—41
Jose Eulogio———————
Jorge Berlanga———————
Cristobal Alfaro———————
René López———————
Gael Álvarez———————
Luis Quinones———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerMonterreyDrawPachuca
Bet3652.203.603.10

Snapshot from 18 Apr 2026, 21:04 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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