Necaxa
3/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Necaxa’s results
Liga MXClausura - 16THE MATCH CENTRENecaxa vs Guadalajara Chivas match centre
90′ · Live
0:0
UK time · Europe/LondonTHE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate1.7%Necaxa
Draw92.6%at full time
Current result estimate5.7%Guadalajara Chivas
Another goal7.5%before full time
Next goal: Necaxa 1.8% · no further goal 92.5% · Guadalajara Chivas 5.7%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.NecaxaGuadalajara Chivas
0.300Expected goals · API-Football0.820
1Shots on target6
8Total Shots19
43%Ball Possession57%
1Corner Kicks4
14Fouls14
3Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
7Goalkeeper Saves1
338Total passes442
264Passes accurate361
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Liga MX, Clausura 2026Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 18 | +16 | 37 | ↑ 1 |
| 2 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 17 | +17 | 36 | ↓ 1 |
| 3 |  Cruz Azul | 17 | +13 | 33 | — |
| 4 |  CF Pachuca | 17 | +6 | 31 | — |
| 5 |  Toluca | 17 | +12 | 30 | — |
| 6 |  Atlas | 17 | -2 | 26 | — |
| 7 |  Tigres UANL | 17 | +10 | 25 | — |
| 8 |  Club America | 17 | +3 | 25 | — |
| 9 |  Club Tijuana | 17 | +2 | 23 | — |
| 10 |  Leon | 17 | -10 | 22 | — |
| 11 |  Club Queretaro | 17 | -4 | 20 | — |
| 12 |  FC Juarez | 17 | -6 | 19 | — |
| 13 | Necaxa | 18 | -6 | 19 | ↑ 2 |
| 14 |  Monterrey | 17 | -2 | 18 | ↓ 1 |
| 15 |  Atletico San Luis | 17 | -3 | 18 | ↓ 1 |
| 16 |  Mazatlán | 17 | -15 | 15 | — |
| 17 |  Puebla | 17 | -13 | 13 | — |
| 18 |  Santos Laguna | 17 | -18 | 12 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Necaxa 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Guadalajara Chivas 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Guadalajara Chivas
6/10Wins
2.3Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Guadalajara Chivas’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Necaxa
10 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
Guadalajara Chivas
10 matchesResults6 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.3
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Necaxa at home with Guadalajara Chivas away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:51 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Liga MX · 2025/26 · all league matches
NecaxaGuadalajara Chivas
32Matches played34
34Points earned64
9Wins20
1.3Goals scored / match1.9
1.7Goals conceded / match1.3
3Clean sheets11
10Failed to score7
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Necaxa at home with Guadalajara Chivas away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Necaxa
Confirmed formation4-4-2Martin Varini
- 22
E. UnsainG - 33
R. MartinezD - 4
A. PenaD - 3
A. OliverosD - 16
C. CalderonD - 30
R. MonrealM - 6
D. LeyvaM - 5
K. GutierrezM - 35
J. RuizM - 8
L. FaravelliF - 9
T. BadaloniF
Substitutes (10)
12 · L. Jimenez
188 · I. Tello
17 · R. Cortez
24 · F. Rossano
10 · A. E. Almendra
7 · K. Rosero
26 · E. Lara
189 · B. Casas
20 · F. Mendez
232 · R. Alonso
Guadalajara Chivas
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Gabriel Milito
- 13
O. WhalleyG - 23
D. AguirreD - 19
D. Campillo Del CampoD - 7
L. RomoD - 5
B. GonzalezD - 28
F. GonzalezM - 11
B. GutierrezM - 37
R. LedezmaM - 17
R. MarinM - 10
E. AlvarezM - 34
A. GonzalezF
Substitutes (10)
1 · R. Rangel
25 · R. Alvarado
4 · M. Tapias
24 · M. Gomez
31 · Y. Padilla
3 · G. Sepulveda
18 · J. Perez
26 · H. Camberos
67 · S. Aguayo
226 · S. Sandoval
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Necaxa
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezequiel Unsaín | 100 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 52 | — |
| Raúl Martínez | 100 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 1 |
| Alexis Peña | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 29 | 1 |
| Agustín Oliveros | 100 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 52 | 1 |
| Cristian Calderón | 74 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 19 | — |
| Ricardo Monreal | 56 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 18 | 1 |
| Danny Leyva | 100 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 1 |
| Kevin Gutiérrez | 82 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 27 | 2 |
| Javier Ruiz | 100 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 1 |
| Lorenzo Faravelli | 100 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 1 |
| Tomás Badaloni | 82 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 11 | — |
| Kevin Rosero | 44 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 7 | 1 |
| Franco Rossano | 26 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 8 | — |
| Agustín Almendra | 18 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Rogelio Cortéz Pineda | 18 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Luis Jimenez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francisco Méndez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emilio Lara | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Alonso | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bryan Roque | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Israel Tello | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Guadalajara Chivas
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Whalley | 100 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 35 | — |
| Richard Ledezma | 62 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 29 | — |
| Daniel Aguirre | 100 | 7.5 | — | — | — | 51 | — |
| Diego Campillo | 100 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 67 | 1 |
| Luis Romo | 100 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 65 | 1 |
| Bryan González | 100 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | 46 | 2 |
| Brian Gutierrez | 62 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 3 |
| Fernando González | 100 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 31 | 2 |
| Efrain Alvarez | 66 | 6.9 | — | — | 5 | 23 | 1 |
| Ricardo Marín | 82 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 12 | — |
| Armando González | 62 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 20 | — |
| Santiago Sandoval | 38 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| Yael Padilla | 38 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 5 | — |
| Roberto Alvarado | 38 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 21 | — |
| Hugo Camberos | 34 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 9 | 1 |
| Sergio Armando Aguayo Castillo | 18 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Raúl Rangel | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Tapias | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Gómez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gilberto Sepúlveda | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Perez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Necaxa | Draw | Guadalajara Chivas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 5.25 | 4.33 | 1.57 |
Snapshot from 22 Apr 2026, 21:02 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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