Manchester City
6/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 8 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Manchester City’s results
FA CupSemi-finalsTHE MATCH CENTREManchester City vs Southampton match centre
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Doku83′
Nico87′
F. Azaz79′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate96.6%Manchester City
Draw3.3%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Southampton
Another goal8.0%before full time
Next goal: Manchester City 4.6% · no further goal 92.0% · Southampton 3.5%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Manchester CitySouthampton
2.270Expected goals · API-Football0.300
6Shots on target3
26Total Shots4
70%Ball Possession30%
9Corner Kicks3
8Fouls7
0Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves3
610Total passes259
554Passes accurate190
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
Semi-finalsManchester City 2–1 Southampton
→Current progressionManchester City
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Manchester City 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Southampton 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Southampton
8/10Wins
2.2Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 7 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Southampton’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Manchester City
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
BurnleyAway · Premier League1–0ArsenalHome · Premier League2–1ChelseaAway · Premier League3–0LiverpoolHome · FA Cup4–0ArsenalAway · League Cup2–0Real MadridHome · UEFA Champions League1–2West HamAway · Premier League1–1Real MadridAway · UEFA Champions League0–3NewcastleAway · FA Cup3–1Nottingham ForestHome · Premier League2–2
Southampton
10 matchesResults8 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.2
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Manchester City at home with Southampton away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:37 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
FA Cup · 2025/26 · all league matches
Manchester CitySouthampton
4Matches played4
12Points earned12
4Wins4
4.7Goals scored / match2.0
0.5Goals conceded / match1.0
2Clean sheets1
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Manchester City at home with Southampton away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Manchester City
Confirmed formation4-3-2-1Pep Guardiola
- 1
J. TraffordG - 27
M. NunesD - 5
J. StonesD - 6
N. AkeD - 21
R. Ait-NouriD - 4
T. ReijndersM - 14
NicoM - 8
M. KovacicM - 10
R. CherkiM - 47
P. FodenM - 7
O. MarmoushF
Substitutes (9)
25 · G. Donnarumma
11 · J. Doku
82 · R. Lewis
33 · N. O'Reilly
20 · B. Silva
9 · E. Haaland
15 · M. Guehi
26 · Savinho
45 · A. Khusanov
Southampton
Confirmed formation5-4-1Tonda Eckert
- 41
D. PeretzG - 18
T. FellowsD - 14
J. BreeD - 6
T. Harwood-BellisD - 15
N. WoodD - 34
WelingtonD - 10
F. AzazM - 48
C. BraggM - 20
C. JanderM - 13
L. ScienzaM - 11
R. StewartF
Substitutes (9)
25 · G. Long
9 · C. Larin
24 · S. Charles
38 · E. Jelert
46 · J. Robinson
19 · C. Archer
23 · S. Edozie
27 · K. Matsuki
17 · J. Quarshie
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Manchester City
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Trafford | 98 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 22 | — |
| Matheus Nunes | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 66 | — |
| John Stones | 98 | 7.5 | — | — | — | 75 | 1 |
| Nathan Ake | 98 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 61 | 1 |
| Rayan Aït-Nouri | 71 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 35 | — |
| Tijjani Reijnders | 85 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 3 | 68 | — |
| Nico González | 98 | 8.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 83 | — |
| Mateo Kovačić | 58 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 64 | — |
| Rayan Cherki | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 1 |
| Phil Foden | 58 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 1 |
| Omar Marmoush | 71 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 12 | — |
| Savinho | 40 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 2 |
| Jérémy Doku | 40 | 10.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 26 | — |
| Nico O'Reilly | 27 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 8 | — |
| Erling Haaland | 27 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 5 | — |
| Bernardo Silva | 13 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 8 | — |
| Gianluigi Donnarumma | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdukodir Khusanov | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marc Guéhi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rico Lewis | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Southampton
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Peretz | 98 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 30 | 1 |
| Tom Fellows | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 15 | 1 |
| James Bree | 89 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 25 | 3 |
| Taylor Harwood-Bellis | 98 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 43 | 2 |
| Nathan Wood | 98 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 34 | — |
| Welington | 76 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 18 | 3 |
| Finn Azaz | 98 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 2 |
| Cameron Bragg | 61 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 20 | 1 |
| Caspar Jander | 98 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 26 | 7 |
| Leo Scienza | 98 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 19 | 2 |
| Ross Stewart | 61 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 1 |
| Shea Charles | 37 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 6 | — |
| Cyle Larin | 37 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Kuryu Matsuki | 22 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Samuel Edozie | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Cameron Archer | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| George Long | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joshua Quarshie | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elias Jelert | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jay Robinson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗FA Cup table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Manchester City | Draw | Southampton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 7.00 | 11.00 |
Snapshot from 25 Apr 2026, 04:01 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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