Apoel Nicosia
3/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Apoel Nicosia’s results
1. DivisionChampionship Group - 32THE MATCH CENTREApoel Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca match centre
79′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Diego Rosa67′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
79′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
Waiting for shots and shots-on-target data
Apoel NicosiaAEK Larnaca
0.650Expected goals · API-Football0.810
—Shots on target—
—Total Shots—
—Ball Possession—
—Corner Kicks—
—Fouls—
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
—Goalkeeper Saves—
—Total passes—
—Passes accurate—
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
1-division: Regular seasonProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Omonia Nicosia | 26 | +46 | 61 | — |
| 2 |  AEK Larnaca | 27 | +26 | 53 | — |
| 3 |  Apollon Limassol | 26 | +14 | 53 | — |
| 4 |  Pafos | 26 | +29 | 51 | — |
| 5 | Apoel Nicosia | 27 | +19 | 48 | — |
| 6 |  Aris | 26 | +22 | 43 | — |
| 7 |  Omonia Aradippou | 26 | -8 | 34 | — |
| 8 |  AEL | 26 | -7 | 33 | — |
| 9 |  Anorthosis | 26 | -10 | 32 | — |
| 10 |  Krasava Ypsonas | 26 | -10 | 28 | — |
| 11 |  Olympiakos | 26 | -15 | 28 | — |
| 12 |  Akritas | 26 | -25 | 26 | — |
| 13 |  Ethnikos Achna | 26 | -19 | 23 | — |
| 14 |  Enosis | 26 | -62 | 1 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Apoel Nicosia 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
AEK Larnaca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
AEK Larnaca
4/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect AEK Larnaca’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Apoel Nicosia
10 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.9
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AEK Larnaca
10 matchesResults4 wins · 5 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game0.6
Games with 3+ goals1 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
ArisHome · 1. Division2–0PafosAway · 1. Division1–1Omonia NicosiaHome · 1. Division0–2Apollon LimassolAway · 1. Division1–1Apoel NicosiaHome · 1. Division1–0Crystal PalaceHome · UEFA Europa Conference League1–1Ethnikos AchnaAway · 1. Division2–0Crystal PalaceAway · UEFA Europa Conference League0–0AkritasHome · 1. Division3–0OlympiakosHome · 1. Division1–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Apoel Nicosia at home with AEK Larnaca away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:03 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
1. Division · 2025/26 · all league matches
Apoel NicosiaAEK Larnaca
31Matches played31
49Points earned61
14Wins18
1.6Goals scored / match1.8
1.2Goals conceded / match0.9
9Clean sheets11
6Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Apoel Nicosia at home with AEK Larnaca away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Apoel Nicosia
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Pablo Garcia
- 1
Gabriel PereiraG - 14
NanuD - 31
F. BrorssonD - 34
K. LaifisD - 6
Vitor MeerD - 20
DalcioM - 29
Diego RosaM - 77
D. ManciniM - 15
M. TomasM - 99
P. OlayinkaM - 9
S. DrazicF
Substitutes (11)
78 · S. Michos
91 · S. Voniatis
2 · E. Antoniou
5 · M. Degenek
11 · Gabriel Maioli
21 · C. Poursaitidis
36 · C. Appiah
38 · Geovane Meurer
45 · K. Yiannacou
89 · N. Koutsakos
23 · P. Kattirtzis
AEK Larnaca
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Stavros Raounas
- 1
Z. AlomerovicG - 22
G. EkpoloD - 15
H. MilicevicD - 27
V. RobergeD - 14
A. GarciaD - 17
P. PonsM - 7
Ledes GustavoM - 21
MiramonM - 32
R. MudrazijaM - 86
A. CarderoM - 11
R. BajicF
Substitutes (12)
51 · A. Paraskevas
12 · K. Komar
41 · Mathias Gonzalez
6 · Jimmy Suarez
23 · J. Izquierdo
29 · G. Naoum
36 · C. Loukaidis
2 · P. Ioannou
8 · M. Rohden
9 · D. Ivanovic
25 · C. Kyriakou
35 · C. Thoma
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Apoel Nicosia
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Pereira | 90 | 8.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 9 | 0 |
| Nanú | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 29 | 0 |
| Franz Denniz Brorsson | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 15 | 0 |
| Konstantinos Laifis | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 0 |
| Vitor Meer | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 33 | 2 |
| Dálcio | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | — | 30 | 0 |
| Diego Rosa | 78 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 1 |
| Daniel Mancini | 69 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 0 |
| Mathías Tomás | 89 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 0 |
| Peter Olayinka | 69 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 10 | 0 |
| Stefan Dražić | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 0 |
| Gabriel Maioli | 29 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Nikolas Koutsakos | 29 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 4 | 0 |
| Evagoras Antoniou | 20 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 |
| Constantinos Poursaitides | 9 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 1 | 0 |
AEK Larnaca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zlatan Alomerović | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 20 | 0 |
| Godswill Ekpolo | 75 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 0 |
| Hrvoje Miličević | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 61 | 0 |
| Valentin Roberge | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 55 | 0 |
| Ángel García | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 0 |
| Pere Pons | 82 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 49 | 0 |
| Gus Ledes | 75 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 0 |
| Jorge Miramón | 90 | 8.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 44 | 0 |
| Robert Mudražija | 82 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 0 |
| Álex Cardero | 63 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 21 | 0 |
| Riad Bajić | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 13 | 0 |
| Đorđe Ivanović | 35 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 10 | 0 |
| Giorgos Naoum | 23 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| Marcus Rohdén | 23 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 14 | 0 |
| Chambos Kyriakou | 16 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| Mathías González | 16 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 3 | 0 |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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