Mexico
8/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
0.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Mexico’s results
World CupRound of 16THE MATCH CENTREMexico vs England match centre
Full time
2:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Quinones42′
R. Jimenez69′ (pen)
J. Bellingham36′
J. Bellingham38′
H. Kane60′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
MexicoEngland
1.870Expected goals · API-Football1.550
5Shots on target5
18Total Shots6
66%Ball Possession34%
10Corner Kicks2
14Fouls7
2Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
440Total passes241
407Passes accurate194
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Mexico 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
England 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
England
8/10Wins
2.2Goals / game
0.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect England’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Mexico
10 matchesResults8 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.1
Goals conceded per game0.2
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored2 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
England
10 matchesResults8 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.2
Goals conceded per game0.4
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Congo DRHome · World Cup2–1PanamaAway · World Cup2–0GhanaHome · World Cup0–0CroatiaHome · World Cup4–2Costa RicaHome · Friendlies3–0New ZealandHome · Friendlies1–0UruguayHome · Friendlies1–1AlbaniaAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe2–0SerbiaHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe2–0LatviaAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe5–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Mexico at home with England away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:09 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
World Cup · 2026/27 · all league matches
MexicoEngland
4Matches played4
12Points earned10
4Wins3
2.0Goals scored / match2.0
0.0Goals conceded / match0.8
4Clean sheets2
0Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Mexico at home with England away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
1 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Mexico
0wins1MEETINGS
England
1winsJul 2026 – Jul 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Mexico first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Mexico
Confirmed formation4-3-3Javier Aguirre
- 1
Raúl RangelG - 2
Jorge SánchezD - 3
César MontesD - 5
Johan VásquezD - 23
Jesús GallardoD - 19
Gilberto MoraM - 6
Erik LiraM - 7
Luis RomoM - 25
Roberto AlvaradoF - 9
Raúl JiménezF - 16
Julián QuiñonesF
Substitutes (15)
4 · Edson Álvarez
26 · Brian Gutiérrez
11 · Santiago Giménez
8 · Álvaro Fidalgo
22 · Guillermo Martínez
12 · Carlos Acevedo
13 · Guillermo Ochoa
15 · Israel Reyes
20 · Mateo Chávez
17 · Orbelín Pineda
18 · Obed Vargas
24 · Luis Chávez
10 · Alexis Vega
21 · César Huerta
14 · Armando González
England
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Thomas Tuchel
- 1
Jordan PickfordG - 26
Jarell QuansahD - 2
Ezri KonsaD - 6
Marc GuéhiD - 3
Nico O'ReillyD - 4
Declan RiceM - 8
Elliot AndersonM - 7
Bukayo SakaM - 10
Jude BellinghamM - 18
Anthony GordonM - 9
Harry KaneF
Substitutes (15)
5 · John Stones
15 · Dan Burn
25 · Djed Spence
17 · Morgan Rogers
13 · Dean Henderson
23 · James Trafford
12 · Trevoh Chalobah
24 · Reece James
14 · Jordan Henderson
16 · Kobbie Mainoo
21 · Eberechi Eze
11 · Marcus Rashford
19 · Ollie Watkins
20 · Noni Madueke
22 · Ivan Toney
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Mexico
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raúl Rangel | 103 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 17 | — |
| Jorge Sánchez | 79 | 5.9 | — | — | — | 24 | 4 |
| César Montes | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 39 | — |
| Johan Vásquez | 103 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 61 | 2 |
| Jesús Gallardo | 103 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 1 |
| Gilberto Mora | 61 | 5.6 | — | — | — | 23 | 2 |
| Erik Lira | 103 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 71 | 2 |
| Luis Romo | 61 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 25 | — |
| Roberto Alvarado | 103 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 51 | 2 |
| Raúl Jiménez | 103 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 6 | 15 | — |
| Julián Quiñones | 81 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 29 | 1 |
| Edson Álvarez | 58 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 2 |
| Brian Gutiérrez | 42 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 14 | — |
| Santiago Giménez | 38 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 2 | — |
| Álvaro Fidalgo | 24 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 28 | — |
| Guillermo Martínez | 22 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Carlos Acevedo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guillermo Ochoa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Israel Reyes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateo Chávez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Orbelín Pineda | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Obed Vargas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Chávez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexis Vega | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| César Huerta | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Armando González | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
England
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Pickford | 103 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 34 | — |
| Jarell Quansah | 54 | 5.3 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 2 |
| Ezri Konsa | 103 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 30 | — |
| Marc Guéhi | 103 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 35 | — |
| Nico O'Reilly | 74 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 1 |
| Declan Rice | 103 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 30 | — |
| Elliot Anderson | 75 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 25 | 5 |
| Bukayo Saka | 57 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 3 |
| Jude Bellingham | 103 | 9.0 | 2 | — | 3 | 24 | 3 |
| Anthony Gordon | 103 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 3 |
| Harry Kane | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
| John Stones | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Dan Burn | 28 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Djed Spence | 29 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Morgan Rogers | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Dean Henderson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James Trafford | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Trevoh Chalobah | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Reece James | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jordan Henderson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kobbie Mainoo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eberechi Eze | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcus Rashford | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ollie Watkins | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noni Madueke | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Toney | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗World Cup table
Current standings · Group A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 9 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 | LWDL |
| 3 |  South Korea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 4 |  Czechia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | LDL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Mexico | Draw | England |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.50 |
Snapshot from 5 Jul 2026, 20:01 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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