Mexico
8/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
0.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Mexico’s results
World CupRound of 32THE MATCH CENTREMexico vs Ecuador match centre
Full time
2:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Quinones22′
R. Jimenez31′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
MexicoEcuador
1.020Expected goals · API-Football0.730
3Shots on target1
15Total Shots7
43%Ball Possession57%
3Corner Kicks8
9Fouls12
0Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves1
310Total passes397
245Passes accurate336
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Mexico 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Ecuador 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Ecuador
4/8Wins
1.3Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Ecuador’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Mexico
10 matchesResults8 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game0.2
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored2 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
Ecuador
8 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game0.5
Games with 3+ goals3 of 8
Both teams scored3 of 8
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Mexico at home with Ecuador away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 00:26 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
World Cup · 2026/27 · all league matches
MexicoEcuador
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Mexico at home with Ecuador away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Mexico
Confirmed formation4-1-2-3Javier Aguirre
- 1
R. RangelG - 2
J. SanchezD - 3
C. MontesD - 5
J. VasquezD - 23
J. GallardoD - 6
E. LiraM - 19
G. MoraM - 7
L. RomoD - 25
R. AlvaradoF - 9
R. JimenezF - 16
J. QuinonesF
Substitutes (15)
13 · G. Ochoa
12 · C. Acevedo
22 · G. Martinez
24 · L. Chavez
15 · I. Reyes
18 · O. Vargas
20 · M. Chavez Garcia
17 · O. Pineda
8 · A. Fidalgo
10 · A. Vega
4 · E. Alvarez
11 · S. Gimenez
21 · C. S. Huerta Valera
26 · B. Gutierrez
14 · A. Gonzalez
Ecuador
Confirmed formationPending
- 1
H. GalindezG - 21
A. FrancoM - 4
J. OrdonezD - 6
W. PachoD - 3
P. HincapieD - 9
J. YeboahM - 15
P. ViteM - 23
M. CaicedoM - 20
N. AnguloF - 19
G. PlataF - 13
E. ValenciaF
Substitutes (15)
22 · G. Valle
12 · M. Ramirez
7 · P. Estupinan
16 · J. Caicedo
17 · A. Preciado
8 · A. Valencia
11 · K. Rodriguez
2 · F. Torres
25 · J. Porozo
5 · J. Alcivar
14 · A. Minda
18 · D. Castillo
26 · Y. Medina
24 · J. Arevalo
10 · K. Paez
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Mexico
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raúl Rangel | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 35 | — |
| Jorge Sánchez | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 3 |
| César Montes | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 29 | 1 |
| Johan Vásquez | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 44 | — |
| Jesús Gallardo | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 20 | — |
| Gilberto Mora | 58 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 25 | 1 |
| Erik Lira | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 1 |
| Luis Romo | 73 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | 1 |
| Roberto Alvarado | 80 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 25 | — |
| Raúl Jiménez | 74 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | — |
| Julián Quiñones | 80 | 8.3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 1 |
| Brian Gutiérrez | 32 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 1 |
| Obed Vargas | 17 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Santiago Giménez | 16 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Israel Reyes | 10 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 1 |
| Orbelín Pineda | 10 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Carlos Acevedo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guillermo Ochoa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateo Chávez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edson Álvarez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Chávez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Fidalgo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| César Huerta | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexis Vega | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Armando González | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guillermo Martínez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Ecuador
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hernán Galíndez | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| Alan Franco | 45 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Joel Ordóñez | 45 | 5.3 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Willian Pacho | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 44 | 1 |
| Piero Hincapié | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 57 | 3 |
| John Yeboah | 79 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 15 | 2 |
| Moisés Caicedo | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 64 | 1 |
| Pedro Vite | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 68 | 1 |
| Nilson Angulo | 79 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 1 |
| Gonzalo Plata | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 1 |
| Enner Valencia | 59 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Yaimar Medina | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | — |
| Ángelo Preciado | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 1 |
| Kevin Rodriguez | 31 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Kendry Páez | 11 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Jordy Caicedo | 11 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Moisés Ramírez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Valle | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jackson Porozo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Félix Torres | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jordy Alcivar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Denil Castillo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pervis Estupiñán | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anthony Valencia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alan Minda | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeremy Arevalo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗World Cup table
Current standings · Group A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 9 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 | LWDL |
| 3 |  South Korea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 4 |  Czechia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | LDL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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