Rio Ave
4/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Rio Ave’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 6THE MATCH CENTRERio Ave vs Estrela match centre
Full time
3:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Francisco Petrasso45+3′
Roland Galcik56′
Jalen Blesa78′ (pen)
Ianis Stoica21′
Abraham Marcus53′
Abraham Marcus61′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated 14 Sep 20:05 UK.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Rio AveEstrela
1.230Expected goals · API-Football1.870
6Shots on target6
11Total Shots20
38%Ball Possession62%
4Corner Kicks5
16Fouls12
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves3
297Total passes475
247Passes accurate421
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Rio Ave 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Estrela 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Estrela
5/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Estrela’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Rio Ave
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Santa ClaraAway · Primeira Liga0–4Sporting CPHome · Primeira Liga0–4EstorilAway · Primeira Liga2–0FC PortoHome · Primeira Liga0–2GIL VicenteAway · Primeira Liga0–1TondelaHome · Friendlies Clubs3–1Al-Ahli JeddahHome · Friendlies Clubs2–2PortimonenseAway · Friendlies Clubs3–0AroucaHome · Friendlies Clubs2–1Casa PiaAway · Primeira Liga1–1
Estrela
10 matchesResults5 wins · 4 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SC BragaHome · Primeira Liga2–1FamalicaoHome · Primeira Liga2–2NacionalAway · Primeira Liga3–2AlvercaAway · Primeira Liga2–2Sporting CPHome · Primeira Liga2–2Al-NassrHome · Friendlies Clubs4–2Lusitano Évora 1911Home · Friendlies Clubs1–0PortimonenseHome · Friendlies Clubs1–1NacionalHome · Friendlies Clubs2–0Casa PiaHome · Friendlies Clubs1–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Rio Ave at home with Estrela away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:30 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2026/27 · all league matches
Rio AveEstrela
5Matches played5
3Points earned9
1Wins2
0.4Goals scored / match2.2
2.2Goals conceded / match1.8
1Clean sheets0
4Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Rio Ave at home with Estrela away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Rio Ave
3wins4MEETINGS
Estrela
1winsDec 2024 – Mar 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Rio Ave first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Rio Ave
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1S. Silaidopoulos
- 99
E. van der GouwG - 20
João ToméD - 23
F. PetrassoD - 3
S. GarciaD - 24
Pedro AmaralD - 44
T. NikitscherM - 5
A. NtoiM - 80
S. ClemmensenM - 79
M. PatricioM - 7
Diogo BezerraM - 11
J. BlesaF
Substitutes (12)
30 · R. Galčík
39 · Gustavo Mancha
6 · N. Abbey
54 · G. Liavas
19 · M. Sellouki
21 · R. Šiler
77 · D. Špikić
9 · Tamble Monteiro
32 · Vitor Hugo
17 · M. Vrousai
70 · A. Wenck
60 · Caike
Estrela
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Pepa
- 24
Léo LinckG - 21
M. ScholzeD - 30
Patrick LuanD - 5
S. LekovićD - 55
Rafa SoaresD - 78
Santiago SerraM - 39
Eddy DoueM - 99
A. MarcusM - 14
L. ZvonarekM - 10
I. StoicaM - 37
L. AntonettiF
Substitutes (12)
4 · Bernardo Schappo
17 · Jefferson Encada
6 · K. Höög Jansson
19 · Joan Jordán
3 · L. Mincarelli Davin
49 · R. Muteba
71 · E. Pedro Vanga
51 · Diogo Pinto
8 · Robinho
93 · B. Souza
80 · Alisson
22 · David Grilo
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Rio Ave
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Amaral | 68 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 |
| E. van der Gouw | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 0 |
| A. Wenck | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Vrousai | 22 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Vitor Hugo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tamble Monteiro | 27 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| D. Špikić | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Šiler | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Sellouki | 22 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| G. Liavas | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gustavo Mancha | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Galčík | 36 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| N. Abbey | 22 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| João Tomé | 68 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 |
| F. Petrasso | 90 | 6.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 1 |
| A. Ntoi | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 2 |
| T. Nikitscher | 68 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 1 |
| S. Garcia | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 53 | 0 |
| Diogo Bezerra | 90 | 8.2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 0 |
| S. Clemmensen | 54 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| J. Blesa | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 |
| Caike | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Patricio | 63 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 2 |
Estrela
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernardo Schappo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jefferson Encada | 18 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
| David Grilo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| K. Höög Jansson | 19 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 0 |
| Joan Jordán | 27 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 3 |
| L. Mincarelli Davin | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Muteba | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| E. Pedro Vanga | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Diogo Pinto | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Robinho | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| B. Souza | 6 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Alisson | 6 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| L. Zvonarek | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 1 |
| I. Stoica | 84 | 8.1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 1 |
| Santiago Serra | 72 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 42 | 3 |
| M. Scholze | 71 | 6.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 3 |
| Rafa Soares | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 44 | 2 |
| A. Marcus | 84 | 9.1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 37 | 3 |
| Patrick Luan | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 2 |
| S. Leković | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 63 | 1 |
| Eddy Doue | 63 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 1 |
| L. Antonetti | 90 | 7.5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 0 |
| Léo Linck | 90 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Primeira Liga table
Current standings · Primeira Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 7 | 15 | 16 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 15 | DDWWW |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 15 | DWWDW |
| 5 |  Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 11 | DLDWL |
| 6 |  SC Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 11 | DWLWW |
| 7 |  Academico Viseu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 | WWWLD |
| 8 | Estrela | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 10 | LDWDW |
| 9 |  GIL Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 | DLLDW |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 | WWLDL |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 | DLLLD |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 8 | DWLLW |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 | WDDDL |
| 14 |  Vitória SC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 | DLDLW |
| 15 |  Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 18 |  Estoril | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 2 | LLDLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Rio Ave | Draw | Estrela |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.70 |
Snapshot from 14 Sep 2026, 12:59 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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