Nacional
1/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Nacional’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 7THE MATCH CENTRENacional vs Famalicao match centre
Full time
0:4
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Georgios Koutsias7′
Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura13′
Georgios Koutsias40′
Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura67′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 10:56 UK.
Odds updated 19 Sep 11:39 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 6 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
NacionalFamalicao
1.230Expected goals · API-Football1.450
3Shots on target7
11Total Shots12
55%Ball Possession45%
7Corner Kicks3
11Fouls10
1Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves3
486Total passes374
433Passes accurate317
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Nacional 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Famalicao 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 18 Sep, 23:08 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Famalicao
1/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Famalicao’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Nacional
10 matchesResults1 wins · 4 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AlvercaHome · Primeira Liga1–3Sporting CPAway · Primeira Liga0–2EstrelaHome · Primeira Liga2–3Vitória SCAway · Primeira Liga0–1EstorilHome · Primeira Liga2–0Santa ClaraAway · Primeira Liga2–2EstrelaAway · Friendlies Clubs0–2LeganesHome · Friendlies Clubs0–0TondelaAway · Friendlies Clubs1–1LeixoesHome · Friendlies Clubs3–3
Famalicao
10 matchesResults1 wins · 6 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game0.8
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Sporting CPHome · Primeira Liga1–1EstrelaAway · Primeira Liga2–2GIL VicenteHome · Primeira Liga0–0Santa ClaraAway · Primeira Liga0–1MaritimoHome · Primeira Liga1–2EstorilAway · Primeira Liga1–1ComoHome · Como Cup2–3LensAway · Como Cup0–0Crystal PalaceHome · Como Cup0–0TondelaHome · Friendlies Clubs1–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Nacional at home with Famalicao away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 08:43 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2026/27 · all league matches
NacionalFamalicao
6Matches played6
4Points earned4
1Wins0
1.2Goals scored / match0.9
1.9Goals conceded / match1.2
1Clean sheets1
2Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Nacional at home with Famalicao away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Nacional
1wins4MEETINGS
Famalicao
2winsSep 2024 – Mar 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Nacional first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Nacional
Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Alexandre Santos
- 1
Renato BellucciG - 2
Daniel Isai de la Cruz de la CruzD - 33
Francisco GonçalvesD - 38
Zé VitorD - 5
José GomesD - 6
Matheus DiasM - 8
Miguel BaezaM - 15
C. LabidiM - 20
Matchoi DjalóM - 12
Song Min-KyuM - 9
A. ObandoF
Substitutes (11)
31 · D. Dongmo
14 · Ivanildo Fernandes
11 · S. Gavriel
7 · M. Jensen
13 · João Gonçalves
21 · W. Kokolo
23 · Mateus Iseppe
50 · Kevyn
99 · Pablo Ruan
52 · Wesley Gasolina
10 · Daniel Júnior
Famalicao
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Carlos Carvalhal
- 25
L. CarevićG - 17
Rodrigo PinheiroD - 15
Víctor RofinoD - 4
F. van BreemenD - 28
Pedro FranciscoD - 8
Marcos PeñaM - 21
Tamás SzücsM - 23
Gil DiasM - 14
Mathias De AmorimM - 7
SorrisoM - 70
G. KoutsiasF
Substitutes (12)
3 · L. Realpe
33 · P. Salas
10 · Pedro Santos
1 · I. Zlobin
5 · L. Meyer
19 · Paulo Moreira
24 · Mathis Jangeal
2 · Gustavo Garcia
9 · U. Abubakar
22 · Gabriel
36 · M. Mattara
11 · Óscar Aranda
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Famalicao
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Óscar Aranda | 10 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Mathias De Amorim | 90 | 8.6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 35 | 4 |
| Gil Dias | 73 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 2 |
| G. Koutsias | 80 | 9.3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 1 |
| Pedro Francisco | 73 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 1 |
| Marcos Peña | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 1 |
| Rodrigo Pinheiro | 83 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 2 |
| Víctor Rofino | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 52 | 1 |
| Sorriso | 80 | 9.8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 2 |
| Tamás Szücs | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 1 |
| F. van Breemen | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 52 | 1 |
| U. Abubakar | 10 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| L. Carević | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 0 |
| Gustavo Garcia | 7 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 |
| Mathis Jangeal | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Meyer | 17 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 |
| Paulo Moreira | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Realpe | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| P. Salas | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pedro Santos | 17 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
| I. Zlobin | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gabriel | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Mattara | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Nacional
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Baeza | 90 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 0 |
| Matchoi Djaló | 61 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 1 |
| Francisco Gonçalves | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 77 | 0 |
| José Gomes | 45 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 0 |
| C. Labidi | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 43 | 6 |
| Matheus Dias | 77 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 67 | 1 |
| A. Obando | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
| Song Min-Kyu | 45 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
| Zé Vitor | 45 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 55 | 1 |
| Renato Bellucci | 90 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 |
| D. Dongmo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ivanildo Fernandes | 45 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 1 |
| S. Gavriel | 45 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 |
| M. Jensen | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| João Gonçalves | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| W. Kokolo | 45 | 5.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 0 |
| Mateus Iseppe | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kevyn | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pablo Ruan | 29 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 |
| Wesley Gasolina | 18 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 |
| Daniel Júnior | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Isai de la Cruz de la Cruz | 72 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 1 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Primeira Liga table
Current standings · Primeira Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 7 | 15 | 16 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 15 | DDWWW |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 15 | DWWDW |
| 5 |  Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 11 | DLDWL |
| 6 |  SC Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 11 | DWLWW |
| 7 |  Academico Viseu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 | WWWLD |
| 8 |  Estrela | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 10 | LDWDW |
| 9 |  GIL Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 | DLLDW |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 | WWLDL |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 | DLLLD |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 8 | DWLLW |
| 13 | Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 | WDDDL |
| 14 |  Vitória SC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 | DLDLW |
| 15 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 18 |  Estoril | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 2 | LLDLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Nacional | Draw | Famalicao |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 3.60 | 3.10 | 2.05 |
| Bet365 | 3.70 | 3.40 | 2.05 |
| Marathonbet | 3.72 | 3.24 | 2.01 |
| BetVictor | 3.60 | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.95 | 3.31 | 2.09 |
Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 11:39 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST
Open practice slip +Try it with virtual funds
Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗
Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →