NAC Breda
2/10Wins
0.7Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect NAC Breda’s results
EredivisieMatchweek 33THE MATCH CENTRENAC Breda vs Heerenveen match centre
85′ · Live
2:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
B. Kemper36′
B. Kemper74′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
85′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate99.7%NAC Breda
Draw0.3%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Heerenveen
Another goal17.7%before full time
Next goal: NAC Breda 9.6% · no further goal 82.3% · Heerenveen 8.1%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.NAC BredaHeerenveen
—Expected goals · API-Football—
4Shots on target2
19Total Shots8
50%Ball Possession50%
6Corner Kicks2
8Fouls9
1Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves2
312Total passes329
238Passes accurate254
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
EredivisieProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 33 | +52 | 81 | — |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 33 | +24 | 62 | — |
| 3 |  Twente | 33 | +23 | 58 | — |
| 4 |  NEC Nijmegen | 33 | +23 | 56 | — |
| 5 |  Ajax | 33 | +21 | 55 | — |
| 6 |  AZ Alkmaar | 33 | +7 | 51 | — |
| 7 |  Utrecht | 33 | +11 | 50 | — |
| 8 |  Heerenveen | 34 | +2 | 50 | — |
| 9 |  Groningen | 33 | +3 | 45 | — |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -21 | 43 | — |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -12 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 33 | +2 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 33 | -25 | 37 | — |
| 14 |  Excelsior | 33 | -14 | 35 | — |
| 15 |  Telstar | 33 | -7 | 34 | — |
| 16 |  FC Volendam | 33 | -19 | 32 | — |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 34 | -21 | 31 | — |
| 18 |  Heracles | 33 | -49 | 19 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Reported absences can change the picture. Check confirmed lineups before kickoff. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
NAC Breda 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Heerenveen 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Heerenveen
7/10Wins
2.2Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Heerenveen’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
NAC Breda
10 matchesResults2 wins · 3 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game0.7
Goals conceded per game1.9
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
UtrechtAway · Eredivisie0–2AjaxHome · Eredivisie0–2Fortuna SittardAway · Eredivisie1–1Sparta RotterdamHome · Eredivisie0–0PEC ZwolleAway · Eredivisie1–2GO Ahead EaglesAway · Eredivisie0–6FeyenoordHome · Eredivisie3–3TelstarAway · Eredivisie0–3FC VolendamHome · Eredivisie1–0HeraclesAway · Eredivisie1–0
Heerenveen
10 matchesResults7 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.2
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FC VolendamAway · Eredivisie2–0Fortuna SittardHome · Eredivisie2–1AZ AlkmaarAway · Eredivisie0–3HeraclesHome · Eredivisie4–1NEC NijmegenAway · Eredivisie2–2TelstarHome · Eredivisie3–0ExcelsiorAway · Eredivisie2–1Sparta RotterdamHome · Eredivisie2–1PSV EindhovenAway · Eredivisie1–3PEC ZwolleHome · Eredivisie4–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare NAC Breda at home with Heerenveen away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 5 Oct, 08:39 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Eredivisie · 2025/26 · all league matches
NAC BredaHeerenveen
32Matches played31
25Points earned47
5Wins13
1.0Goals scored / match1.8
1.7Goals conceded / match1.6
5Clean sheets3
14Failed to score6
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares NAC Breda at home with Heerenveen away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Awaiting lineupsLineups & formations
The provider has not published confirmed XIs for this fixture yet. We are continuing to check.
NAC Breda
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
Heerenveen
Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied
Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
NAC Breda
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Bielica | 82 | 7.7 | — | — | — | 36 | — |
| Denis Odoi | 82 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 32 | 3 |
| Enes Mahmutović | 82 | 7.5 | — | — | — | 35 | 2 |
| Rio Hillen | 82 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 32 | 2 |
| Cherrion Valerius | 82 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 24 | 1 |
| Kamal Sowah | 82 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 2 |
| Maximilien Balard | 82 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 2 |
| Boy Kemper | 82 | 8.2 | 2 | — | 2 | 30 | 2 |
| Lewis Holtby | 78 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 28 | — |
| André Ayew | 82 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 26 | — |
| Moussa Soumano | 78 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 2 |
| Pepijn Reulen | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brahim Ghalidi | 4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Jayden Candelaria | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kostas Lamprou | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roy Kortsmit | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fredrik Jensen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juho Talvitie | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Clint Leemans | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amine Salama | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Charles-Andreas Brym | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Heerenveen
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernt Klaverboer | 82 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 40 | — |
| Oliver Braude | 82 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 39 | 1 |
| Sam Kersten | 82 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 32 | 2 |
| Maas Willemsen | 82 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 54 | 1 |
| Vasilios Zagaritis | 81 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 29 | 3 |
| Luuk Brouwers | 82 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 21 | 3 |
| Marcus Linday | 82 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 38 | 3 |
| Jacob Trenskow | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 1 |
| Ringo Meerveld | 81 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 22 | — |
| Luca Oyen | 62 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 2 |
| Dylan Vente | 82 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 19 | — |
| Hristiyan Petrov | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 8 | — |
| Lasse Selvåg Nordås | 20 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 3 | — |
| Nolhan Courtens | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eser Gürbüz | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nordin Bakker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Timo Schreuder | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mats Egbring | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ingmar Mulder | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isaiah Ahmed | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Clayton Bonevacia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | NAC Breda | Draw | Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.75 | 2.55 |
Snapshot from 9 May 2026, 20:08 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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