Heerenveen
7/10Wins
2.2Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Heerenveen’s results
EredivisieMatchweek 34THE MATCH CENTREHeerenveen vs Ajax match centre
90′ · Live
0:0
UK time · Europe/LondonTHE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate3.7%Heerenveen
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.8%Ajax
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Heerenveen 3.8% · no further goal 92.3% · Ajax 3.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.HeerenveenAjax
1.610Expected goals · API-Football1.840
5Shots on target5
15Total Shots21
53%Ball Possession47%
7Corner Kicks6
9Fouls8
0Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
5Goalkeeper Saves4
537Total passes482
459Passes accurate420
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
EredivisieProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 33 | +52 | 81 | — |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 33 | +24 | 62 | — |
| 3 |  Twente | 33 | +23 | 58 | — |
| 4 |  NEC Nijmegen | 33 | +23 | 56 | — |
| 5 |  Ajax | 34 | +21 | 56 | — |
| 6 |  AZ Alkmaar | 33 | +7 | 51 | — |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 34 | +4 | 51 | ↑ 1 |
| 8 |  Utrecht | 33 | +11 | 50 | ↓ 1 |
| 9 |  Groningen | 33 | +3 | 45 | — |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -21 | 43 | — |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -12 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 33 | +2 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  PEC Zwolle | 33 | -25 | 37 | — |
| 14 |  Excelsior | 33 | -14 | 35 | — |
| 15 |  Telstar | 33 | -7 | 34 | — |
| 16 |  FC Volendam | 33 | -19 | 32 | — |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 33 | -23 | 28 | — |
| 18 |  Heracles | 33 | -49 | 19 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Heerenveen 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Ajax 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Ajax
3/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Ajax’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Heerenveen
10 matchesResults7 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.2
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FC VolendamAway · Eredivisie2–0Fortuna SittardHome · Eredivisie2–1AZ AlkmaarAway · Eredivisie0–3HeraclesHome · Eredivisie4–1NEC NijmegenAway · Eredivisie2–2TelstarHome · Eredivisie3–0ExcelsiorAway · Eredivisie2–1Sparta RotterdamHome · Eredivisie2–1PSV EindhovenAway · Eredivisie1–3PEC ZwolleHome · Eredivisie4–2
Ajax
10 matchesResults3 wins · 4 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Heerenveen at home with Ajax away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:55 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Eredivisie · 2025/26 · all league matches
HeerenveenAjax
32Matches played32
50Points earned55
14Wins14
1.8Goals scored / match1.9
1.6Goals conceded / match1.2
4Clean sheets9
6Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Heerenveen at home with Ajax away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Heerenveen
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Robin Veldman
- 22
B. KlaverboerG - 45
O. BraudeD - 4
S. KerstenD - 3
M. WillemsenD - 19
V. ZagaritisD - 16
M. LindayM - 6
J. van OvereemM - 20
J. TrenskowM - 10
R. MeerveldM - 11
L. OyenM - 9
D. VenteF
Substitutes (12)
44 · A. Noppert
31 · N. Bakker
8 · L. Brouwers
28 · H. Petrov
17 · N. Hopland
15 · M. Egbring
36 · N. Courtens
38 · I. Mulder
35 · I. Ahmed
50 · E. Gurbuz
18 · L. Nordas
40 · C. Bonevacia
Ajax
Confirmed formation4-3-3Oscar Garcia Junyent
- 26
M. PaesG - 3
A. GaaeiD - 4
K. ItakuraD - 15
Y. BaasD - 2
L. RosaD - 48
S. SteurM - 24
J. MokioM - 18
D. KlaassenM - 23
S. BerghuisF - 25
W. WeghorstF - 11
M. GodtsF
Substitutes (12)
52 · P. Reverson
58 · V. van der Velde
9 · K. Dolberg
32 · T. Tomiyasu
43 · R. Bounida
45 · R. van de Pavert
30 · A. Bouwman
50 · M. Muzungu
6 · Y. Regeer
10 · O. Gloukh
7 · M. Carrizo
19 · D. Konadu
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Heerenveen
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernt Klaverboer | 90 | 9.0 | — | 0 | — | 46 | — |
| Oliver Braude | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 61 | 6 |
| Sam Kersten | 90 | 8.2 | — | 0 | — | 56 | 4 |
| Maas Willemsen | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 74 | — |
| Vasilios Zagaritis | 75 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 38 | — |
| Marcus Linday | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 62 | 4 |
| Joris van Overeem | 90 | 8.9 | — | 0 | — | 70 | 2 |
| Jacob Trenskow | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 4 | 39 | 1 |
| Ringo Meerveld | 84 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 34 | — |
| Luca Oyen | 84 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 31 | — |
| Dylan Vente | 84 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 3 | 25 | — |
| Hristiyan Petrov | 15 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 2 |
| Luuk Brouwers | 13 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 1 |
| Eser Gürbüz | 13 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Lasse Selvåg Nordås | 13 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Andries Noppert | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nordin Bakker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ingmar Mulder | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mats Egbring | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikolai Soyset Hopland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nolhan Courtens | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isaiah Ahmed | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Clayton Bonevacia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Ajax
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maarten Paes | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 41 | — |
| Anton Gaaei | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 3 | 49 | 1 |
| Ko Itakura | 90 | 8.2 | — | 0 | — | 56 | 2 |
| Youri Baas | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 52 | 2 |
| Lucas Rosa | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 47 | 1 |
| Sean Steur | 79 | 7.9 | — | 0 | 4 | 48 | 1 |
| Jorthy Mokio | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 52 | 7 |
| Davy Klaassen | 69 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 2 |
| Steven Berghuis | 69 | 8.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 43 | 2 |
| Wout Weghorst | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 31 | — |
| Mika Godts | 85 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Youri Regeer | 21 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Rayane Bounida | 21 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 1 |
| Kasper Dolberg | 11 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Maher Carrizo | 12 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | — | — |
| Paul Reverson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Valentijn van der Velde | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marvyn Muzungu | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Takehiro Tomiyasu | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Bouwman | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan van de Pavert | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oscar Gloukh | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Don-Angelo Konadu | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Heerenveen | Draw | Ajax |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.90 | 2.10 |
Snapshot from 16 May 2026, 20:07 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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